ALIEN RADIX: The Shape of Things That Come

ALIEN RADIX: The Shape of Things That Come
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Tuesday, April 17, 2012


visible ufos—stealth mode mistakes or something else? © April, 2012

When the Civil War started, many generals were ineffective because they just could not adjust to the large numbers of casualties in the battles. Lincoln stated that they could not handle the arithmetic. After WWII, some people could not comprehend or believe that the holocaust occurred due to its pure evil and huge numbers of murders. Then we come to UFO abductions. I personally cannot adjust to the huge numbers of abductions that may be occurring, not only because it is a silent and invisible process, but because the estimate of 2% of the population is abductees that emerged from Hopkins’ and Jacobs’ research is just mind boggling. I, too, cannot handle the arithmetic. Even if these high numbers have to be significantly scaled back, say, by 80% or so, it still results in a lot more UFOs in our skies than the ones we see.

One realization that has slowly overtaken me in the last two years is that there must be many more UFOs here than we realize. My first clue that this might be true is the abduction phenomenon. Professionally done surveys have indicated that the numbers of abductions are staggering. When these abduction numbers are translated to an estimate of how many UFOs it takes to support the phenomenon, we find that the number of overflights of UFOs required greatly exceeds the numbers of visual sightings. How can this seemingly disparate data be reconciled? Read on.

An irritating peripheral question about UFOs is that they have a stealth mode, so why don’t they use it all the time? The late Budd Hopkins recognized this tough question too and had no answer. I do not think the question is IF they have a stealth mode, because there have been way too many sightings that instantaneously vanish, plus there have been many sightings where the stealth mode appeared to be compromised in some way such as an edge view or an occultation of stars in a triangle shape or just a partial see through of the UFO.

Here is some reasoning for you believers. We all agree that UFOs don’t wish to be seen. We all agree that there are several thousand visual sightings per year. We all agree that they have a stealth mode of both visual and radar invisibility. Then the logical question is why are there any sightings at all? The only way to tie all of this into a logical bundle is the following hypothesis: stealth mode is the principal operating mode of all UFOs. Occasionally, the UFO pilot encounters a reason to come out of stealth mode or else he/she/it forgets to turn on the cloaking device, and a visual sighting results. This means that the visuals of UFOs are only a small percentage of all UFOs due to possibly forgetfulness, so that the visual sightings are the exception and not the rule. If sightings are the exception and not the rule, this also means there are thousands more UFOs in our skies than we have ever conceived of. This conclusion is independent of whether one believes in abductions or not. If you buy into this, it means that we are infested with UFOs invisibly flying around in our skies, and we don’t even know about it.

But there could be a more technological reason than simple forgetfulness for why we see visible UFOs. Stealth mode may be the UFO’s preferred mode of operation only under certain “safe” operating conditions. Operating in stealth mode may impose a restriction on the pilot’s ability to gather information about the region surrounding his craft, so if he is operating in a relatively “unsafe” condition, such as very high speed, or high traffic, or complex maneuvering , he/she/it would prefer to not be in stealth mode. My belief is that stealth mode in UFOs is achieved by routing the surrounding electromagnetic energy (light, radar) around the craft so that there is no bouncing of that energy back from the craft, OR the craft’s hull can be made to absorb all electromagnetic energy that hits it (no reflections).* Now if, for example, all incoming light is being diverted around the craft, then what is the pilot going to use to “see” outside the craft? He/she/it would have to have probes or portals (“peepholes”) through the field which gather some outside energy so as to detect the outside world, and these peepholes would give only a restricted view of that world. This theory also inherently implies that there are imperfections (discontinuities) in stealth mode due to allowing for sensors to probe the outside world through the field that diverts the light. That said, we still occasionally see hovering UFOs, and hovering would certainly be a safe operational mode for the UFO. Therefore, the forgetfulness theory still remains feasible because hovering should be a completely safe operating condition during which stealth mode would be very desirable. We can deduce from this that aliens make mistakes just like we do, and sometimes they forget to turn on stealth mode. We can further deduce that stealth mode in UFO flight over earth must be a pilot’s choice, and not an automatic mode of travel for the aliens. That is, the default condition on visibility/invisibility for a UFO is visibility even though most flights require invisibility. Or the explanation could be something else entirely. Perhaps stealth mode is so complex that malfunctions occasionally occur which allow visibility. Or perhaps there is some other operational requirement imposed by stealth mode, such as using up energy that could otherwise be applied to acceleration, so if they have to accelerate fast, then they have to get out of stealth mode first. I don’t know—just speculating.

Getting back to what was claimed earlier—that there could be many, many more overflights of UFOs than we ever imagined. I will attempt to quantify what I’m talking about. Based on the work of Budd Hopkins and Dr. David Jacobs, I have extrapolated their work to estimate that several thousand UFO flights occur over the USA per DAY. (This is discussed in my book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come”, in the chapter “Abductions: Negativity and Pessimism”.) Now compare that figure to my worldwide estimate of roughly 15,000 valid sightings per YEAR over the WORLD and you can see that there is a BIG discrepancy. If you take the numbers from that chapter of my book, you can calculate that good visual UFO sightings constitute only about 0.029% of the overflights of UFOs across the USA. The other 99.971% are overflights in stealth mode (and/or super high speed) which we never see. Putting this another way, only one UFO flight in 3448 flights has a pilot who forgets to turn on stealth mode, and this means that for every good sighting, then there are 3448 invisible non-sightings. Yikes! This small number of visuals certainly puts the forgetfulness theory into the realm of human possibility. Who knows? If a human could forget to do something that is routine and simple one out of 3500 times, then maybe a humanoid could forget to turn on his cloaking device too. I further believe that our government knows these numbers as well, and feels helpless and hopeless about it. They are effete in the face of all of this.

*Notice that I have speculated that the UFO can either divert electromagnetic energy around itself or absorb it. These are two separate modes of invisibility. Radar invisibility could work with either of these two methods, whereas sight invisibility would have to work with the diversion method; otherwise the UFO might appear as a black object. I emphasize the word “might” because I could not find a clear explanation of this, and yes, I know a little about blackbodies and black holes and the information available about them and their invisibility.

Wednesday, April 4, 2012


Alien Species Estimate ©

I follow a UFO blog that is quite good, and I like to read the comments from fellow readers of that blog. The motivation to write this article came because of a recent blog comment that bothered me. It bothered me because I have done research on this very item for which this person is announcing his skepticism. Here is the comment: “The entire Disclosure/Exopolitics thing is rife with people making all sorts of wild assertions (57 species of aliens, dontcha know!) breeding even wilder assertions.”

First of all, I don’t have a problem with the Exopolitics part of his remark. Exopolitics puts the cart before the horse because it deals with politically interfacing with our alien visitors. How about getting them to publicly come forward in the first place, after which we can think about playing our politics with them? Exopolitics does make wild assertions which are not data driven, and some of them appear to have been plagiarized from the work of non-Exopolitics ufologists. Unfortunately, I am embarrassed to admit that my own data driven research has compelled me to conclude that a couple of Exopolitics’ major tenets about aliens might be true. Rather than critique the Exopolitics movement any further, what I want to write about is that “57 species of aliens” remark.

A couple of things that have always bugged me about UFOs are the question of the number of alien species visiting earth and the large variety of craft shapes. Regarding craft shape, if there is only a couple of species visiting here, it is illogical to think that all those different reported craft shapes and sizes belong to just them. In fact, it is so illogical that it makes one actually disbelieve that UFOs are real. Furthermore, UFO encounters cause inconsistent trace evidence, such as some or no electrical effects, some or no magnetized metals, some or no radioactivity, and some or no medical effects. But it does not take a genius to figure out that if the number of visiting species is large, then one could logically expect that the number of observed craft shapes and sizes and will be large also, as well as those craft having a varying effect on the environment. After all, the cars designed by Detroit look different from the cars designed by Porsche or Fiat as would the craft designs from one planet to the next. I have seen lots of estimates on the number of species visiting earth, ranging from 2 or 6 up to the 160s or so. The number I have seen most commonly is about 60. What I have never seen is how any of these separate numbers were derived, so I set out to derive my own number. It is also interesting to note that the number of alleged species has increased steadily over the years, from 2 described in the Majestic document, SOM1-1, in 1954, to six some years later, and now it is popularly about five dozen.

My own number was not derived simply by taking an average of all of the extant numbers that are out there in UFO literature. What was done is to find books by the most revered of old fashioned ufologists, such as Jacques Vallee, Gordon Creighton, Richard Hall, Timothy Good, and Coral Lorenzen and filter the Close Encounters of the 3rd Kind (CE3) that are described in their books. These guys were the pillars of nuts and bolts ufology in their day, and the case studies in the books that I used were investigated much more thoroughly than case studies of today. You can see that when you compare their case studies with those of the present day, because the CE3 sighting reports of today usually don’t get investigated to any depth; consequently, there is little quantitative data in them. Before I studied these books, I established filtering criteria to objectively reject bad data, i.e. irrelevant reports and some untrustworthy reports. Among these criteria were that a UFO had to be in close proximity to the alien sighting, no sightings from children would be used, and no hypnotic recovery cases would be accepted. These criteria are more fully explained in my book, “Alien Radix”. I collected almost 300 good CE3 case studies out of maybe a thousand total, put them into a spreadsheet, and then inspected them for obviously different alien species. Some of the choices were obvious, such as a 3 eyed alien versus a one eyed alien, or an alien needing a breathing helmet versus one walking around helmet free, or a 7 foot alien versus a 3 foot alien. I counted 48 different alien species in these 300 cases. I tried to make this investigation as scientifically objective as I could, and you can see the result. It does not depend on some questionable pundit’s opinion on the matter for it was derived straight from raw case studies with no one’s intervening opinion on the matter. It is what it is. I will admit that it does depend on the truthfulness/accuracy of the original reports which goes without saying because that is the way of all reported phenomena.

There were many case studies that I wanted to use but could not due to may filtering criteria. Some of the kids’ reports fell into this category. After all, kids spend a lot more of their time outdoors than adults do, and that is where the sightings are. There were a couple that I definitely did not want to use but had to, also due to my filtering criteria. For example, there was a case where some guy in Minnesota claimed to have witnessed some beer can shaped and sized robot aliens who emerged from a UFO that was shaped like a V2 rocket. I really hated to include that case at all. This shows that my filtering criteria, which were chosen to increase the veracity of the selected cases, still allowed some stories from nuts and liars (notice that I call hoaxers “liars” for that is what they are) to sneak through. I prefer to think that I rejected more good case studies (true negatives) than I accepted bad ones (false positives.)