Alien Species Estimate ©
I follow a UFO blog that is quite good, and I like to read the comments from fellow readers of that blog. The motivation to write this article came because of a recent blog comment that bothered me. It bothered me because I have done research on this very item for which this person is announcing his skepticism. Here is the comment: “The entire Disclosure/Exopolitics thing is rife with people making all sorts of wild assertions (57 species of aliens, dontcha know!) breeding even wilder assertions.”
First of all, I don’t have a problem with the Exopolitics part of his remark. Exopolitics puts the cart before the horse because it deals with politically interfacing with our alien visitors. How about getting them to publicly come forward in the first place, after which we can think about playing our politics with them? Exopolitics does make wild assertions which are not data driven, and some of them appear to have been plagiarized from the work of non-Exopolitics ufologists. Unfortunately, I am embarrassed to admit that my own data driven research has compelled me to conclude that a couple of Exopolitics’ major tenets about aliens might be true. Rather than critique the Exopolitics movement any further, what I want to write about is that “57 species of aliens” remark.
A couple of things that have always bugged me about UFOs are the question of the number of alien species visiting earth and the large variety of craft shapes. Regarding craft shape, if there is only a couple of species visiting here, it is illogical to think that all those different reported craft shapes and sizes belong to just them. In fact, it is so illogical that it makes one actually disbelieve that UFOs are real. Furthermore, UFO encounters cause inconsistent trace evidence, such as some or no electrical effects, some or no magnetized metals, some or no radioactivity, and some or no medical effects. But it does not take a genius to figure out that if the number of visiting species is large, then one could logically expect that the number of observed craft shapes and sizes and will be large also, as well as those craft having a varying effect on the environment. After all, the cars designed by Detroit look different from the cars designed by Porsche or Fiat as would the craft designs from one planet to the next. I have seen lots of estimates on the number of species visiting earth, ranging from 2 or 6 up to the 160s or so. The number I have seen most commonly is about 60. What I have never seen is how any of these separate numbers were derived, so I set out to derive my own number. It is also interesting to note that the number of alleged species has increased steadily over the years, from 2 described in the Majestic document, SOM1-1, in 1954, to six some years later, and now it is popularly about five dozen.
My own number was not derived simply by taking an average of all of the extant numbers that are out there in UFO literature. What was done is to find books by the most revered of old fashioned ufologists, such as Jacques Vallee, Gordon Creighton, Richard Hall, Timothy Good, and Coral Lorenzen and filter the Close Encounters of the 3rd Kind (CE3) that are described in their books. These guys were the pillars of nuts and bolts ufology in their day, and the case studies in the books that I used were investigated much more thoroughly than case studies of today. You can see that when you compare their case studies with those of the present day, because the CE3 sighting reports of today usually don’t get investigated to any depth; consequently, there is little quantitative data in them. Before I studied these books, I established filtering criteria to objectively reject bad data, i.e. irrelevant reports and some untrustworthy reports. Among these criteria were that a UFO had to be in close proximity to the alien sighting, no sightings from children would be used, and no hypnotic recovery cases would be accepted. These criteria are more fully explained in my book, “Alien Radix”. I collected almost 300 good CE3 case studies out of maybe a thousand total, put them into a spreadsheet, and then inspected them for obviously different alien species. Some of the choices were obvious, such as a 3 eyed alien versus a one eyed alien, or an alien needing a breathing helmet versus one walking around helmet free, or a 7 foot alien versus a 3 foot alien. I counted 48 different alien species in these 300 cases. I tried to make this investigation as scientifically objective as I could, and you can see the result. It does not depend on some questionable pundit’s opinion on the matter for it was derived straight from raw case studies with no one’s intervening opinion on the matter. It is what it is. I will admit that it does depend on the truthfulness/accuracy of the original reports which goes without saying because that is the way of all reported phenomena.
There were many case studies that I wanted to use but could not due to may filtering criteria. Some of the kids’ reports fell into this category. After all, kids spend a lot more of their time outdoors than adults do, and that is where the sightings are. There were a couple that I definitely did not want to use but had to, also due to my filtering criteria. For example, there was a case where some guy in Minnesota claimed to have witnessed some beer can shaped and sized robot aliens who emerged from a UFO that was shaped like a V2 rocket. I really hated to include that case at all. This shows that my filtering criteria, which were chosen to increase the veracity of the selected cases, still allowed some stories from nuts and liars (notice that I call hoaxers “liars” for that is what they are) to sneak through. I prefer to think that I rejected more good case studies (true negatives) than I accepted bad ones (false positives.)
Wednesday, April 4, 2012
Friday, March 9, 2012
PHOENIX LIGHTS RENDEZVOUS by Charles Tromblee
PHOENIX LIGHTS RENDEZVOUS March 9, 2012
In this writeup, I will speculate about a fantastic sighting covered in my book, Alien Radix. My book’s coverage was simply that the sighting occurred, gives a few salient facts about the sighting, and then uses it as a vehicle to introduce my theory about the probable causes of how and why UFOs frequently vanish right before the observer’s eyes. I thought that the Phoenix Lights part of the story woud have generated some buzz, but nothing happened and this has disappointed me. This time the story will be carried to a more speculative conclusion, completely unsupported by any evidence whatsoever, just like a UFO nut job would do. I am personally acquainted with the experiencers in this story for 6 years, and I am 100% convinced that this sighting actually did occur.
Mr. and Mrs. X were on their front porch in Chino Valley, Arizona around March, 1997. It was spring, early evening, getting dark, and a clear sky. Their porch faced west. The neighborhood was sparsely settled, with houses every few acres. Suddenly above their house right in front of them a large UFO appeared. It was a huge, oval shaped object which suddenly was just there. It was totally silent and its sudden appearance was also silent. It was black in color, but the evening sky still was light enough to allow viewing it as a structured object, but it was too dark out to see if it had rivets or seams. They viewed it for about 2 minutes. Mr. X said, “It was three times bigger than a blimp.” Mr. X, currently age 61, has flown on a blimp, so he is familiar with how large they can be. When most people compare something to a blimp, they usually mean the Goodyear blimp even though many blimps are much smaller. The Goodyear blimp is 192 feet long, so 3 times bigger could mean almost 600 feet. It had two rows of lights or windows one above the other of about 15-20 windows per row. In addition, it had lights on the bottom. They could not make a more quantitative estimate of its dimensions, height, or distance. They stared at the hovering object for about 2 minutes after which it disappeared instantly.
They did not report their sighting. Mr. and Mrs. X, however, claimed that it was on the news the next day from Tucson to back east, so this meant that they had no need to report their sighting because so many others already had. However, the only Chino Valley sighting with wide news coverage was the Phoenix Lights sighting in 1997 (not the alleged flares, but the boomerang shape that occurred a few hours before the flares.) I collected this story in a personal interview with Mr. and Mrs. X in 2009. Their initial recollection of when it occurred was about fall of ’93 or ’95. They could not remember better than that. After the interview, I went home and tried to find if there ever was a nationally broadcast UFO sighting in which Chino Valley was included. I searched to see if someone else reported this sighting, and no reference was found. The only one involving Chino was the Phoenix Lights incident which reported the boomerang object. This occurred in the spring of ’97. I re-contacted Mr. and Mrs. X to tell them my findings and ask for more exact date research. She remembered that they had been in this house for only a few months starting a few months before and they had just obtained their new dog which was with them. She had looked up her paperwork for both the house and dog. This research puts the sighting into March of 1997. No further refinement is possible to narrow the date to 3/13/97, the date of the Phoenix Lights.
It is possible that their sighting is totally independent of the Phoenix Lights which may have occurred within a few days of their own (meaning their memories incorrectly combined their sighting with the news of the Phoenix Lights) OR their sighting actually occurred on March 13, 1997, and is a previously unknown part of the Phoenix Lights famous sighting. Chino Valley was the second northernmost town in AZ that reported the boomerang object (Paulden being the farthest north, 10 miles farther), but no one has ever reported a huge oval UFO as part of that famous sighting. It is a mystery.
Either way, their sighting is a completely unknown one to this time.
Believe me when I say that this event, when coupled with the Phoenix Lights event of the same evening, was probably one of the most significant alien events of our whole modern UFO history. Here is a double decker 500-600’ disc or ellipsoid shaped craft which undoubtedly had a rendezvous with the mile wide chevron ufo. The rendezvous point was somewhere in the northern half of Arizona.
The Phoenix Lights event was really two events as you all probably know. There is the early evening sighting of the big chevron as it leisurely flew at low altitude from Paulden, AZ through Chino, Prescott, Phoenix, and so forth. This was followed about two hours later by some flares in the sky over Phoenix, allegedly as part of a military exercise. Many believe that the flares were deployed to provide a cover story to the fantastic chevron sighting. If so, it worked like a charm because the media swallowed it hook, line and sinker as they always do when confronted with government obfuscation. As far as I know, there is only one video of the chevron.
That this was a meeting of some importance in the alien world is evidenced by the huge sizes of the crafts. The radical design differences of the two craft suggest that at least two different alien races were involved. Using the ultra crude “alien estimator” in my book, I estimated that the disc held about 205 aliens and the chevron had 750 occupants. Huge mothership size UFO sightings are quite rare, and even the several hundred foot discs are pretty uncommon. Yet here are one of each sighted in the same evening over a small Arizona town.
What was this alien summit conference about? For sure, it must have been about earth and/or its dominant life form (that’s us). Were they deciding what to do with the planet? Were they worried about us? Were they dividing up our resources, including us, among themselves? Were they meeting to decide upon revealing themselves to us? Were they voting to include us in the Galactic Federation? We will never know. One last bit of speculation: this same craft may have visited Austin, Texas eleven years previously as you will see in the footnote below.*
*A few months after I interviewed Mr & Mrs X, I stumbled across the following sighting at the “UFO Chronicles” website and sent it to Mr & Mrs X. They both agreed it sounded like their sighting. Enjoy. By the way, I think it is kind of strange that this unreported sighting talks about kooks as I do in the paragraphs above, and also mentions the word “blimp” as well.
“"Reader Submitted Report
[Unedited]
4-20-10 This is an old sighting I had when I lived in Austin in 1986. Moreover, its so incredible that if you were telling me I may not want to believe it either, but it has made such an impression in my belief system that I want to share some of it. Actually it is 2 odd sightings with one being a huge solid vessel several people saw in the bright almost cloudless after sky. I saw it from arrival to departure and only now after after seeing tons of vids on the net can I saw my sighting was truly awe inspiring.
This thing instantly, and I mean INSTANTLY appeared in front of me as I was looking out west from N. Austin. It stayed completely motionless just like it was a big rock sitting on a ledge. It was positioned above a tree (only the craft was several hundred feet away and higher up just at the lowest cloud level. I used the tree as a benchmark to see if this thing was swaying with the wind and it did not move at all. No noise either and Ive seen blimps at this height and you can still hear the engine motor. No wings, not props, no jets, no windows, no lights, no nothing that was recognizable. Well it did remind me of a submarine, about the same color too, dark grey-blue-charcoal shiny and reflecting the orange sun off its western edge.
I took no pics or vids and I never spoke to the other people in the parking lot around me about this. I'm just now getting financially able to stop working and attempt some type of investigation on this.
There was a military airbase in S. Austin, Berstrom AFB (now the Austin Int. Airport) I called the AFB back at the time but they said nothing of theirs was in the air at that time.
I must restate how significant this sighting was. No doubt there was a huge dark object, like a flattened-out jellybean. When it left, well it went just like you have heard so many times now. It just was gone in the blink of an eye, only I know I didn't blink and back then I totally could not accept this type of "flight". Only recently, in the last few years have I heard of other sightings describing this kind of flight. I only knew of star trek and star wars SFX and it was not like that at all, way less dramatic.
I did not report it as I told my most trusting co-worker the next day and he thought I was seeing things. I never told anyone until 2 years ago I told my parents, and they only believed me when my wife admitted she saw it too. Well thats it. Hope you found this interesting and please don't steer any kooks my way. I went to a MUFON meeting and I know this subject brings out the wackos. Sad but true. Thanks for your website I'll have a look over it now."
Mrs X’s response to this sighting is as follows:
Hi chuck,
Wow I read it to (husband’s name.). It does sound like what we saw except for windows. What we saw was dark same shape and came and went just like he described. It is strange how people are afraid to say anything or believe it. I think most people do believe but don't want to look stupid. Hope you are having a good week. Let XXXX know I will be around this weekend and will call.
Take care.
In this writeup, I will speculate about a fantastic sighting covered in my book, Alien Radix. My book’s coverage was simply that the sighting occurred, gives a few salient facts about the sighting, and then uses it as a vehicle to introduce my theory about the probable causes of how and why UFOs frequently vanish right before the observer’s eyes. I thought that the Phoenix Lights part of the story woud have generated some buzz, but nothing happened and this has disappointed me. This time the story will be carried to a more speculative conclusion, completely unsupported by any evidence whatsoever, just like a UFO nut job would do. I am personally acquainted with the experiencers in this story for 6 years, and I am 100% convinced that this sighting actually did occur.
Mr. and Mrs. X were on their front porch in Chino Valley, Arizona around March, 1997. It was spring, early evening, getting dark, and a clear sky. Their porch faced west. The neighborhood was sparsely settled, with houses every few acres. Suddenly above their house right in front of them a large UFO appeared. It was a huge, oval shaped object which suddenly was just there. It was totally silent and its sudden appearance was also silent. It was black in color, but the evening sky still was light enough to allow viewing it as a structured object, but it was too dark out to see if it had rivets or seams. They viewed it for about 2 minutes. Mr. X said, “It was three times bigger than a blimp.” Mr. X, currently age 61, has flown on a blimp, so he is familiar with how large they can be. When most people compare something to a blimp, they usually mean the Goodyear blimp even though many blimps are much smaller. The Goodyear blimp is 192 feet long, so 3 times bigger could mean almost 600 feet. It had two rows of lights or windows one above the other of about 15-20 windows per row. In addition, it had lights on the bottom. They could not make a more quantitative estimate of its dimensions, height, or distance. They stared at the hovering object for about 2 minutes after which it disappeared instantly.
They did not report their sighting. Mr. and Mrs. X, however, claimed that it was on the news the next day from Tucson to back east, so this meant that they had no need to report their sighting because so many others already had. However, the only Chino Valley sighting with wide news coverage was the Phoenix Lights sighting in 1997 (not the alleged flares, but the boomerang shape that occurred a few hours before the flares.) I collected this story in a personal interview with Mr. and Mrs. X in 2009. Their initial recollection of when it occurred was about fall of ’93 or ’95. They could not remember better than that. After the interview, I went home and tried to find if there ever was a nationally broadcast UFO sighting in which Chino Valley was included. I searched to see if someone else reported this sighting, and no reference was found. The only one involving Chino was the Phoenix Lights incident which reported the boomerang object. This occurred in the spring of ’97. I re-contacted Mr. and Mrs. X to tell them my findings and ask for more exact date research. She remembered that they had been in this house for only a few months starting a few months before and they had just obtained their new dog which was with them. She had looked up her paperwork for both the house and dog. This research puts the sighting into March of 1997. No further refinement is possible to narrow the date to 3/13/97, the date of the Phoenix Lights.
It is possible that their sighting is totally independent of the Phoenix Lights which may have occurred within a few days of their own (meaning their memories incorrectly combined their sighting with the news of the Phoenix Lights) OR their sighting actually occurred on March 13, 1997, and is a previously unknown part of the Phoenix Lights famous sighting. Chino Valley was the second northernmost town in AZ that reported the boomerang object (Paulden being the farthest north, 10 miles farther), but no one has ever reported a huge oval UFO as part of that famous sighting. It is a mystery.
Either way, their sighting is a completely unknown one to this time.
Believe me when I say that this event, when coupled with the Phoenix Lights event of the same evening, was probably one of the most significant alien events of our whole modern UFO history. Here is a double decker 500-600’ disc or ellipsoid shaped craft which undoubtedly had a rendezvous with the mile wide chevron ufo. The rendezvous point was somewhere in the northern half of Arizona.
The Phoenix Lights event was really two events as you all probably know. There is the early evening sighting of the big chevron as it leisurely flew at low altitude from Paulden, AZ through Chino, Prescott, Phoenix, and so forth. This was followed about two hours later by some flares in the sky over Phoenix, allegedly as part of a military exercise. Many believe that the flares were deployed to provide a cover story to the fantastic chevron sighting. If so, it worked like a charm because the media swallowed it hook, line and sinker as they always do when confronted with government obfuscation. As far as I know, there is only one video of the chevron.
That this was a meeting of some importance in the alien world is evidenced by the huge sizes of the crafts. The radical design differences of the two craft suggest that at least two different alien races were involved. Using the ultra crude “alien estimator” in my book, I estimated that the disc held about 205 aliens and the chevron had 750 occupants. Huge mothership size UFO sightings are quite rare, and even the several hundred foot discs are pretty uncommon. Yet here are one of each sighted in the same evening over a small Arizona town.
What was this alien summit conference about? For sure, it must have been about earth and/or its dominant life form (that’s us). Were they deciding what to do with the planet? Were they worried about us? Were they dividing up our resources, including us, among themselves? Were they meeting to decide upon revealing themselves to us? Were they voting to include us in the Galactic Federation? We will never know. One last bit of speculation: this same craft may have visited Austin, Texas eleven years previously as you will see in the footnote below.*
*A few months after I interviewed Mr & Mrs X, I stumbled across the following sighting at the “UFO Chronicles” website and sent it to Mr & Mrs X. They both agreed it sounded like their sighting. Enjoy. By the way, I think it is kind of strange that this unreported sighting talks about kooks as I do in the paragraphs above, and also mentions the word “blimp” as well.
“"Reader Submitted Report
[Unedited]
4-20-10 This is an old sighting I had when I lived in Austin in 1986. Moreover, its so incredible that if you were telling me I may not want to believe it either, but it has made such an impression in my belief system that I want to share some of it. Actually it is 2 odd sightings with one being a huge solid vessel several people saw in the bright almost cloudless after sky. I saw it from arrival to departure and only now after after seeing tons of vids on the net can I saw my sighting was truly awe inspiring.
This thing instantly, and I mean INSTANTLY appeared in front of me as I was looking out west from N. Austin. It stayed completely motionless just like it was a big rock sitting on a ledge. It was positioned above a tree (only the craft was several hundred feet away and higher up just at the lowest cloud level. I used the tree as a benchmark to see if this thing was swaying with the wind and it did not move at all. No noise either and Ive seen blimps at this height and you can still hear the engine motor. No wings, not props, no jets, no windows, no lights, no nothing that was recognizable. Well it did remind me of a submarine, about the same color too, dark grey-blue-charcoal shiny and reflecting the orange sun off its western edge.
I took no pics or vids and I never spoke to the other people in the parking lot around me about this. I'm just now getting financially able to stop working and attempt some type of investigation on this.
There was a military airbase in S. Austin, Berstrom AFB (now the Austin Int. Airport) I called the AFB back at the time but they said nothing of theirs was in the air at that time.
I must restate how significant this sighting was. No doubt there was a huge dark object, like a flattened-out jellybean. When it left, well it went just like you have heard so many times now. It just was gone in the blink of an eye, only I know I didn't blink and back then I totally could not accept this type of "flight". Only recently, in the last few years have I heard of other sightings describing this kind of flight. I only knew of star trek and star wars SFX and it was not like that at all, way less dramatic.
I did not report it as I told my most trusting co-worker the next day and he thought I was seeing things. I never told anyone until 2 years ago I told my parents, and they only believed me when my wife admitted she saw it too. Well thats it. Hope you found this interesting and please don't steer any kooks my way. I went to a MUFON meeting and I know this subject brings out the wackos. Sad but true. Thanks for your website I'll have a look over it now."
Mrs X’s response to this sighting is as follows:
Hi chuck,
Wow I read it to (husband’s name.). It does sound like what we saw except for windows. What we saw was dark same shape and came and went just like he described. It is strange how people are afraid to say anything or believe it. I think most people do believe but don't want to look stupid. Hope you are having a good week. Let XXXX know I will be around this weekend and will call.
Take care.
ALIEN ERROR by Charles Tromblee
ALIEN ERROR 3/9/12
When I was a young kid and before UFOs were even on my radar, I read A.E. van Vogt’s “Voyage of the Space Beagle” , which is a 1950 SciFi novel about 4 alien encounters. Because it was so long ago, I have forgotten 90% of its content, but one thing about the book that I do remember is that the humans involved in at least one of these alien encounters initially were not sure that an alien could make a mistake. Apparently, the concept of alien life was so far out there at the time that some people’s perception of an alien, with its high tech and high IQ, was that maybe, just maybe, they were mentally perfect.
Nowadays, we do not dwell on alien mistakes or intelligence for that matter very often if at all. Most of our UFO thoughts are on the human side of the equation, such as how to achieve Disclosure, government secrets, how can the media continue to do such a bad job, who said what about a rumored crash or significant encounter, etc. Most of the rest of our UFO thinking is about the crafts themselves, and not what is in them.
Aliens can and do make mistakes. Visual sightings occur quite often despite the known fact that they have stealth invisibility capability. Ditto for radar “sightings.” Therefore, my educated guess is that sightings must be mistakes, given that UFOs continue to operate in stealth. How about those UFO crashes? We probably did not shoot all of them down, so the remainder have to be equipment malfunctions (sort of a mistake) or operator error (a definite mistake.)
My opinion about their mistakes is that they make fewer of them than we do. Why is that? I think that they are more intelligent than we are. Those big brains and their high tech are highly suggestive of that. Just look at what is going on in Washington DC to confirm that we are not the sharpest knives in the drawer. Did you know that the human brain has shrunk in volume by 10% over the last 10,000 years? Also assisting in error mitigation is their high tech. I assume that they have double or triple redundancy backup systems and other safeguards to help override a bad decision or malfunction. I also assume that the reliability of their technology is higher than ours.
We should be glad that they make mistakes because a mistake of the right type at the right place and time will cause Disclosure. You know that Talking Heads song, “Heaven Is a Place Where Nothing Ever Happens”? Well, UFOs seems to be a place where nothing ever happens. It has been those UFO mistakes that have moved the whole issue along at its snail’s pace since the beginning.
When I was a young kid and before UFOs were even on my radar, I read A.E. van Vogt’s “Voyage of the Space Beagle” , which is a 1950 SciFi novel about 4 alien encounters. Because it was so long ago, I have forgotten 90% of its content, but one thing about the book that I do remember is that the humans involved in at least one of these alien encounters initially were not sure that an alien could make a mistake. Apparently, the concept of alien life was so far out there at the time that some people’s perception of an alien, with its high tech and high IQ, was that maybe, just maybe, they were mentally perfect.
Nowadays, we do not dwell on alien mistakes or intelligence for that matter very often if at all. Most of our UFO thoughts are on the human side of the equation, such as how to achieve Disclosure, government secrets, how can the media continue to do such a bad job, who said what about a rumored crash or significant encounter, etc. Most of the rest of our UFO thinking is about the crafts themselves, and not what is in them.
Aliens can and do make mistakes. Visual sightings occur quite often despite the known fact that they have stealth invisibility capability. Ditto for radar “sightings.” Therefore, my educated guess is that sightings must be mistakes, given that UFOs continue to operate in stealth. How about those UFO crashes? We probably did not shoot all of them down, so the remainder have to be equipment malfunctions (sort of a mistake) or operator error (a definite mistake.)
My opinion about their mistakes is that they make fewer of them than we do. Why is that? I think that they are more intelligent than we are. Those big brains and their high tech are highly suggestive of that. Just look at what is going on in Washington DC to confirm that we are not the sharpest knives in the drawer. Did you know that the human brain has shrunk in volume by 10% over the last 10,000 years? Also assisting in error mitigation is their high tech. I assume that they have double or triple redundancy backup systems and other safeguards to help override a bad decision or malfunction. I also assume that the reliability of their technology is higher than ours.
We should be glad that they make mistakes because a mistake of the right type at the right place and time will cause Disclosure. You know that Talking Heads song, “Heaven Is a Place Where Nothing Ever Happens”? Well, UFOs seems to be a place where nothing ever happens. It has been those UFO mistakes that have moved the whole issue along at its snail’s pace since the beginning.
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
THE LEVELS OF UFO BELIEF by Charles Tromblee
The Levels of UFO Belief ©
My preference when writing about UFOs is to try to focus on the alien beings and their crafts as quantitatively as possible. Ufologists who specialize in Disclosure rarely present data that further illuminates any alien facts, especially quantitative facts; instead their focus is to get the government to admit what it knows, which is considerable. It could be that this approach, if ever successful, would result in faster progress than the direct approach of having laymen looking at the craft and close encounter data for trends and new revelations.
This article will focus solely on humanity’s mental steps on dealing with the UFO phenomenon, so unfortunately it will reveal nothing about our alien visitors.
As people become educated on the UFO phenomenon, some will advance to various levels of belief and acceptance on the matter. These are my conclusions about my fellow man regarding his approach to UFOs.
THE LEVELS OF UFO BELIEF ARE AS FOLLOWS:
LEVEL 1: AWARE OF THE PHENOMENON: Almost every adult on earth is aware that occasional unidentified objects are seen in our skies. Lots of people never advance out of this level (simple awareness), preferring to believe that all such sightings can be explained using known, earthly explanations. Still another portion of this group is just not interested in the phenomenon. Or they were like me, waiting for someone else or else a great sighting to prove it one way or the other. I was at this level for at least 40 years. Lots of people at this level believe the “explanations” that occasionally are put forth. Sometimes the explanations are prosaic, such as Chinese lanterns, and sometimes their explanations require some fancier beliefs such as top secret test aircraft, NAZI UFOs, or even plasma balls generated by a natural earthly process. Explanations such as these (i.e. non-extraterrestrial) are correct 80-90% of the time. All true UFO skeptics are in this first level. This level also harbors the vocal skeptics who think that they are protecting humanity or the government by stonewalling the UFO phenomenon. These people actually believe in the phenomenon (or are very afraid that it is real), so these fakers actually belong at one of the next levels. Almost everyone at this level believes that there is no government cover-up of UFOs.
LEVEL 2: STRONGLY SUSPECT THAT THE PHENOMENON IS UNEXPLAINABLE BY EARTHLY CAUSES: These people include the ones who say, “All I’m saying is that the phenomenon needs a lot more scientific study.” They are aware of the Extraterrestrial Hypothesis (ETH) and that it is but one of several possible explanations including those of Level 1. I was at this level for about a year once I made the commitment to actually study the issue objectively, and this study forced me to move to the next level. I think at least 70% of humanity falls into the total of Level 1 + level 2. Surprisingly, many UFO experts are in this level. One of my favorite UFO blogs is by such a person, and he does good work too. This is the “safe” level for those who have interest in UFOs to be at because all you are doing at this level is calling for scientific studies to be done, and it shows you have not made the total commitment to believe in alien visitation. They are UFO agnostics. You can probably avoid most public ridicule by being here and hang onto your job as well for it preserves one’s political correctness. For sure, this level also harbors some closet Level 3 people who don’t want to be branded as kooks. Most Level 2 people believe that there is a government UFO cover-up.
LEVEL 3: ACCEPTANCE OF THE ETH: This group has figured out that we are being visited by non-human beings. I am at this level. Some people who have had spectacular or even a very good sighting immediately advance from Level 1 to Level 3 because they know what they saw. People can even regress from this level to a previous level. This level should come with a warning because it is filled with pitfalls which can cause a believer to “go off into left field” and never return. By this I mean that once at this level, the person now might feel compelled to choose among several popular alternatives about the beings who are piloting the crafts, and most of these alternatives are wrong, or so I believe. At this level, you might believe that the beings are native to earth and have been keeping themselves secret from us since recorded history began (yes, I know that such alien beings would not be “extraterrestrial”). You can choose to believe that the beings are sent here by God, and that they are nephilim, or you can take a pure nuts-and-bolts interpretation of the phenomenon. You can also believe that they are simply evolved human time travelers from the future. All UFO nut jobs are at this level. This level should probably be broken up into the separate beliefs categories that prevail: Level 3 Paranormal or Spiritual, Level 3 Nuts and Bolts, Level 3 etc. Not surprisingly, some ufologists are at this level, and even they can succumb to the dangers of being in it as they are gradually seduced by the easy answers (read “easy” to mean “no investigative work required”) of the Level 3 Paranormal or Spiritual. Almost everyone at this level also believes in the government UFO cover-up, although there are some notable exceptions at this level to that belief such as Col. John Alexander and Dr. David Jacobs, abduction researcher.
Because this article can be criticized for trying to put people into slots, let me now now increase the criticism by envisioning a hypothetical UFO symposium where everyone who attends has to wear a name tag with their belief about UFOs coded per this article. My name tag would have my first name and underneath it would say: ”Level 3-Nuts and Bolts-GC”. The “GC” means that I believe there is a government cover-up.
My preference when writing about UFOs is to try to focus on the alien beings and their crafts as quantitatively as possible. Ufologists who specialize in Disclosure rarely present data that further illuminates any alien facts, especially quantitative facts; instead their focus is to get the government to admit what it knows, which is considerable. It could be that this approach, if ever successful, would result in faster progress than the direct approach of having laymen looking at the craft and close encounter data for trends and new revelations.
This article will focus solely on humanity’s mental steps on dealing with the UFO phenomenon, so unfortunately it will reveal nothing about our alien visitors.
As people become educated on the UFO phenomenon, some will advance to various levels of belief and acceptance on the matter. These are my conclusions about my fellow man regarding his approach to UFOs.
THE LEVELS OF UFO BELIEF ARE AS FOLLOWS:
LEVEL 1: AWARE OF THE PHENOMENON: Almost every adult on earth is aware that occasional unidentified objects are seen in our skies. Lots of people never advance out of this level (simple awareness), preferring to believe that all such sightings can be explained using known, earthly explanations. Still another portion of this group is just not interested in the phenomenon. Or they were like me, waiting for someone else or else a great sighting to prove it one way or the other. I was at this level for at least 40 years. Lots of people at this level believe the “explanations” that occasionally are put forth. Sometimes the explanations are prosaic, such as Chinese lanterns, and sometimes their explanations require some fancier beliefs such as top secret test aircraft, NAZI UFOs, or even plasma balls generated by a natural earthly process. Explanations such as these (i.e. non-extraterrestrial) are correct 80-90% of the time. All true UFO skeptics are in this first level. This level also harbors the vocal skeptics who think that they are protecting humanity or the government by stonewalling the UFO phenomenon. These people actually believe in the phenomenon (or are very afraid that it is real), so these fakers actually belong at one of the next levels. Almost everyone at this level believes that there is no government cover-up of UFOs.
LEVEL 2: STRONGLY SUSPECT THAT THE PHENOMENON IS UNEXPLAINABLE BY EARTHLY CAUSES: These people include the ones who say, “All I’m saying is that the phenomenon needs a lot more scientific study.” They are aware of the Extraterrestrial Hypothesis (ETH) and that it is but one of several possible explanations including those of Level 1. I was at this level for about a year once I made the commitment to actually study the issue objectively, and this study forced me to move to the next level. I think at least 70% of humanity falls into the total of Level 1 + level 2. Surprisingly, many UFO experts are in this level. One of my favorite UFO blogs is by such a person, and he does good work too. This is the “safe” level for those who have interest in UFOs to be at because all you are doing at this level is calling for scientific studies to be done, and it shows you have not made the total commitment to believe in alien visitation. They are UFO agnostics. You can probably avoid most public ridicule by being here and hang onto your job as well for it preserves one’s political correctness. For sure, this level also harbors some closet Level 3 people who don’t want to be branded as kooks. Most Level 2 people believe that there is a government UFO cover-up.
LEVEL 3: ACCEPTANCE OF THE ETH: This group has figured out that we are being visited by non-human beings. I am at this level. Some people who have had spectacular or even a very good sighting immediately advance from Level 1 to Level 3 because they know what they saw. People can even regress from this level to a previous level. This level should come with a warning because it is filled with pitfalls which can cause a believer to “go off into left field” and never return. By this I mean that once at this level, the person now might feel compelled to choose among several popular alternatives about the beings who are piloting the crafts, and most of these alternatives are wrong, or so I believe. At this level, you might believe that the beings are native to earth and have been keeping themselves secret from us since recorded history began (yes, I know that such alien beings would not be “extraterrestrial”). You can choose to believe that the beings are sent here by God, and that they are nephilim, or you can take a pure nuts-and-bolts interpretation of the phenomenon. You can also believe that they are simply evolved human time travelers from the future. All UFO nut jobs are at this level. This level should probably be broken up into the separate beliefs categories that prevail: Level 3 Paranormal or Spiritual, Level 3 Nuts and Bolts, Level 3 etc. Not surprisingly, some ufologists are at this level, and even they can succumb to the dangers of being in it as they are gradually seduced by the easy answers (read “easy” to mean “no investigative work required”) of the Level 3 Paranormal or Spiritual. Almost everyone at this level also believes in the government UFO cover-up, although there are some notable exceptions at this level to that belief such as Col. John Alexander and Dr. David Jacobs, abduction researcher.
Because this article can be criticized for trying to put people into slots, let me now now increase the criticism by envisioning a hypothetical UFO symposium where everyone who attends has to wear a name tag with their belief about UFOs coded per this article. My name tag would have my first name and underneath it would say: ”Level 3-Nuts and Bolts-GC”. The “GC” means that I believe there is a government cover-up.
ALIEN CONFLICT, part 2
July 15,2011 ©
Alien Conflict: Earth versus the Aliens
My book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come” has a chapter in it entitled, “Alien Conflict” which is a compilation of reports of alien-on-alien hostilities. This article deals with the other side of the picture, which would be alien-on-human hostilities.
I have read and watched many scifi books and movies over the years and can attest to the large quantities of fiction that have been created to cover the possible alien invasion and takeover of earth. Then it dawned on me, almost startling me, that none of the UFO books that I’ve read have ever covered the scenario of such a thing. Sure there might be a mention of it, but no reasoned out scenario. Of course, there is probably something that has been done that I do not know about, but I have read a lot of these UFO books and there has been nothing about it so far. It is pretty obvious that this is one of those psychological avoidance issues so common in the UFO field. This is a very unpleasant thing to think about and so maybe that is why no one has covered it yet, until now. For sure, our government has generated lots of reports and studies on this very subject because it is their job to look for threats, and this would be a threat of the highest priority. But in the public domain, there is hardly anything about what such a takeover attempt might be like.
After giving this some thought, it became clear that most of the bullet points that will be developed in this paper will state what the conflict will not be like, instead of what it will be like. In many cases the bullet points will state what may not occur which is weaker but the best I can do. Along the way, I will also give my opinion on alien-human warfare as well.
So let me begin my bullet points of the type of war we would have with aliens who wish to take over the earth.
A WAR BETWEEN EARTH AND AN ALIEN FORCE:
1. WOULD BE ASYMMETRIC.
An asymmetric war is a lopsided war, where one side has disproportionate resources or uses a weapon or tactic that the other side is not ready for. Wikipedia has a good treatment of asymmetric war, so I will not go deeply into it. Our armed forces are mainly structured for large scale confrontations with similarly equipped hostile forces. We have an army, navy and air force, but so does every other major power in the world. A guerilla war allows a weaker force to hassle a more powerful one, and if it lasts long enough, the major power might give up the conflict in frustration. So an asymmetric war can sometimes be won by a weaker power simply due to the asymmetry involved. In my opinion, the end of WWII became asymmetric when we deployed our super weapon, the A-bomb, which the enemy was not ready for. We were not the weaker power, but used asymmetry to our advantage nevertheless. Nowadays, wars can have an asymmetric component that works in harmony with the conventional components. Cyber warfare departments exist in the USA, China, USSR, North Korea, and several other places. A physical attack from a hostile country which also has the cyber warfare department would occur with that department hacking and destroying what they can of our military command and control structure. They would also disrupt the power grid to deny electricity to big parts of the country. They will do their best to deter and disrupt military and domestic operations through electronic means, thereby reducing the effectiveness of any response. A quote from the book, “Cyber War”, by Richard A. Clarke* and Robert Knake follows: “In the case of cyber war, the power of the offense is largely secret...” You may remember Richard A. Clarke. He is the guy who warned Condoleezza Rice that a terror attack might occur soon against the USA about 8 months before 9/11/2001. Now, we are discussing alien war here, so substitute the word “alien” for the word “cyber” and you get the main crux of the problem with alien warfare: “In the case of alien war, the power of the offense is largely secret...” We simply don’t have a clue what weapons of offense the aliens have. In the movie, “Independence Day”, the aliens had a primary weapon which would somehow cause an explosion to radiate outward from the targeted center of every major city. In the remake of “The Day the Earth Stood Still”, the aliens had an undefensible weapon like a cloud of insects or nano-technology particles that would eat everything in sight. In the book, “Battlefield Earth” by L. Ron Hubbard, the aliens simply put a lot of poison gas into a single rocket which traveled a few hundred miles an hour around the globe for several weeks, killing almost all life. Attempts to destroy it were ineffective because the outer hull of the rocket existed partially in another dimension so an A-bomb exploded against it had no effect. And so forth. Needless to say, in all of these works, the fictional earthlings were caught by surprise at the nature of the alien weaponry, and so it would be in real life.
2. WILL NOT BE KINETIC
Our wars are now mainly kinetic, meaning they depend largely on kinetic energy weapons, such as exploding bombs and high velocity projectiles. Sure, other forms of weapons exist also, such as biological (diseases), and chemical (gas), and we really hate it when other countries use them. Aliens might use not only these types of weapons, but they also could use far out things as well. For example, they could project powerful telepathic commands to the humans, or deploy their antigravity technology to crush and destroy. In the movie, “The Arrival”, they used weather wrecking apparatus to heat up the world more to their liking. Of course, we will attempt to make our resistance as kinetic as possible, but the aliens will not. As far as I know, there has never been a case where a UFO is seen dropping a bomb or firing a projectile. They only are known to use fields and rays, so that is what I expect their weapons to be based on. It is known that they do have heat rays, and that is very kinetic, but I am restricting my definition of kinetic weapons to be explosives and projectiles.
3. WILL NOT OBEY THE GENEVA CONVENTIONS
Civilians will be treated about the same as military. After all, when we steal honey from a hive, we do not distinguish between their soldier bees and any other bees.
4. WILL NOT BE THERMONUCLEAR
There are many true reports reaching back decades (and still continuing) of UFOs hovering around our nuclear plants, military nuclear powered ships, and military and missile bases where nuclear weapons are stored. They are quite interested in our nuclear items, but that does not mean that they would use weapons of nuclear fusion or fission. Throughout their short public history here, their focus has been on the planet, its fauna and flora, and when discussing the grays, ourselves. They will not use weapons which scar and pollute this place, or so I believe. Their past behavior as gleaned from Close Encounters of the Third Kind show no tendency to destroy this place. There is even a report that a UFO aimed a ray at the newly destroyed Chernobyl reactor and lessened its radiation by a significant percentage. I do not know how true that report is, but that, plus the CE3 report history, plus the fact that only a few UFO reports mention atomic radiation leads me to believe that the thermonuclear scenario is not going to happen.
5. WOULD CAUSE US TO FINALLY DEPLOY OUR SECRET WEAPONS
At long last, if no other alternatives are available for us, the USA would finally deploy its weapons based on ET captured technology. Our own black triangles, our directed energy weapons from our Star Wars program, and our weaponized space installations would be brought into action. Our secret underground bases would become less secret as more and more use is made of them. Even during an alien war, the USA would still try to keep this stuff under wraps as much as possible because they know repercussions would occur if the war ever ended favorably.
6. MAY NOT EVEN BE NOTICEABLE
Did you ever consider that we may be in a war with aliens right now? Why do our jets chase them? Is the abduction program evidence of a slow, long term attempt at takeover by infiltration? Infiltration aimed at takeover is a slow war. Abductions are now into their 6th decade or so. Would we even notice an alien takeover program that lasts 60 years? 600 years? It would be especially hard to notice because both our government and the aliens themselves do not want us to notice anything out of the ordinary.
7. WILL NOT HAVE A CYBER COMPONENT
There are almost 200 countries on this planet, and “over twenty nations’ militaries and intelligence services have created offensive cyber war units …” according to authors Clarke and Knake in their book, “Cyber War”, c2010. Cyber warfare capability is now a very big deal in military strategy and intelligence gathering these days. These 20 countries include the biggest and most powerful nations in the world plus some rogue nations. The problem for these cyber departments in an alien war is simply what would they connect to? There appears to be nothing. The best form of cyber war defense is to disconnect from the internet. Conversely, if we can not connect to the alien computer system at all, then our cyber expertise will be useless against them. In the movie, “Independence Day”, cyber war was used to upload a virus into the alien mothership. I think that this is pretty far fetched, and that it is safe to say that during an alien war, these cyber departments would not have anything to do directly against the aliens. There is also another reason that I say this which will be addressed in number 9 following.
One last item of interest regarding cyber war against aliens might be that in an entirely telepathic culture as many aliens are thought to be from, there probably would not be any beings who would purposely put viruses onto their computer network as there are in our human culture. That is because telepathy would reveal their guilt pretty quickly. Therefore, if their network were available to our human hackers, it might be completely wide open to implantation of human computer viruses.
8. WILL REVEAL TACTICS BORNE OF AN OVERWHELMING ESPIONAGE ADVANTAGE FOR THE ALIENS
The history of UFOs snooping around military installations has already been mentioned. The amazing thing about this is that the aliens appear to have the capability to analyze what is secretly stored at these bases. They have the capability to detect, activate, or control items that are behind solid, closed, opaque barriers. You may recall the UFO at Rendlesham forest in the UK in 1980. It was not publicly revealed until well after the incident that this base was storing nuclear weapons. Apparently the aliens knew what the public did not. Now add to this the persistent stories about human looking aliens among us, some of whom are naturally human appearing and others who may be alien hybrids created by the abduction program who are bred to be human appearing, and who probably have 99+% human DNA after several generational cycles of breeding. These “people” will have espionage on their agenda, for sure, if there is to be an alien conflict. Now take a look at our own infiltration of the aliens. There isn’t any. We cannot plant a human spy into their ranks. They have telepathy which would reveal our spy even if we could find someone who could act and speak the part. It would have to be a turncoat alien, and I bet we have none of those. When we do catch a live alien, we pump it for all it’s worth trying to extract information. That’s not really espionage even though it is bonafide intelligence gathering. I also doubt very highly that we can insert data into their communication stream (if we even have found any such streams) or even interpret their data streams so as to snoop, deter, and disrupt like hackers do.
The main espionage that we may have to use against aliens is our remote viewing program, allegedly cancelled by our CIA in 1995, but it is undoubtedly still in use if and only if it was deemed effective. And yes, it probably was deemed effective because the CIA kept it for 20 years before they cancelled it. Also, our remote viewers kept bumping into UFOs and aliens while they worked, and this was irritating and a distraction. Why did they cancel remote viewing? Because it leaked, so they had to avoid embarrassment while it was taken further into blackness.
9. MAY NOT HAVE ANY CONFLICT
How could a war not have any conflict? By this I mean a large amount of physical conflict. Here is my opinion on the likelihood of physical conflict in an alien war. In the scifi book, “The Alien Years” by Robert Silverberg, he relates how beings come to earth and conquer the planet by simply stopping the operation of electricity, and that includes battery stoppage. The result was that there was no meaningful resistance whatsoever against the invasion. We know that UFOs are strongly associated with stoppage of electricity, plus there are many stories of UFOs having been observed before electrical power grid failure. We know that humans can stop electricity too, albeit crudely, through the use of electromagnetic pulses (EMP). My opinion regarding electricity stoppage is that it is a natural outgrowth of being near the fields generated by the craft’s propulsion system, and that it is NOT a deliberate goal imposed by the aliens on our electrical grid and machinery. UFOs also appear to have the capability to suck power from our power grid. These field effects from the UFOs are not weapons; however, they certainly could be weaponized by them and maybe already have been. Another example of a war-stopper secret weapon could be a biological weapon like a virus that attacks and kills humans in just a few hours. But here is the main point of this section: aliens might have a weapon so universal, so thorough, so quick, and so dominant, that in just a few hours after its deployment there would be no opposition at all. And that is what I think will be most likely.
I have used a lot of movies and books to illustrate some of my points. I had to do this because I know of no UFO books that do. A few of the other invasion/takeover movies that I did not use in this writeup are ”Invasion of the Bodysnatchers”, “War of the Worlds”, “Plan 9 from Outer Space” (thought by some to be the worst movie ever made), Transformers”, and “Skyline.” I could go on. Of recent movies, the one that violates most of the points in this writeup is “Battle: LA”. It was horrible, packed with clichés, and simply showed an alien force using conventional earth tactics such as a command and control center which was controlling an alien infantry and aircraft, all shooting projectile weapons. One could just as well have substituted a human invasion force doing pretty much the same things as the aliens. It also mentioned that they are here to steal our liquid water, when everyone knows that there is plenty of frozen water in outer space. No originality whatsoever.
* I thought it would be interesting to include the following footnote although it has nothing to do with aliens. This book, Cyber War, released in April, 2010, states that bin Laden is hiding in a villa and not a cave. I presume that if it were released in 2010, then it may have been written in 2009. Furthermore, Christiane Amanpour on October 3, 2008, stated that bin Laden was hiding in a villa in Pakistan. A YouTube video of this is at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-ySteY3r9I. Here are two serious public figures whose careers depend on their credibility making these declarative statements. It makes one wonder.
Alien Conflict: Earth versus the Aliens
My book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come” has a chapter in it entitled, “Alien Conflict” which is a compilation of reports of alien-on-alien hostilities. This article deals with the other side of the picture, which would be alien-on-human hostilities.
I have read and watched many scifi books and movies over the years and can attest to the large quantities of fiction that have been created to cover the possible alien invasion and takeover of earth. Then it dawned on me, almost startling me, that none of the UFO books that I’ve read have ever covered the scenario of such a thing. Sure there might be a mention of it, but no reasoned out scenario. Of course, there is probably something that has been done that I do not know about, but I have read a lot of these UFO books and there has been nothing about it so far. It is pretty obvious that this is one of those psychological avoidance issues so common in the UFO field. This is a very unpleasant thing to think about and so maybe that is why no one has covered it yet, until now. For sure, our government has generated lots of reports and studies on this very subject because it is their job to look for threats, and this would be a threat of the highest priority. But in the public domain, there is hardly anything about what such a takeover attempt might be like.
After giving this some thought, it became clear that most of the bullet points that will be developed in this paper will state what the conflict will not be like, instead of what it will be like. In many cases the bullet points will state what may not occur which is weaker but the best I can do. Along the way, I will also give my opinion on alien-human warfare as well.
So let me begin my bullet points of the type of war we would have with aliens who wish to take over the earth.
A WAR BETWEEN EARTH AND AN ALIEN FORCE:
1. WOULD BE ASYMMETRIC.
An asymmetric war is a lopsided war, where one side has disproportionate resources or uses a weapon or tactic that the other side is not ready for. Wikipedia has a good treatment of asymmetric war, so I will not go deeply into it. Our armed forces are mainly structured for large scale confrontations with similarly equipped hostile forces. We have an army, navy and air force, but so does every other major power in the world. A guerilla war allows a weaker force to hassle a more powerful one, and if it lasts long enough, the major power might give up the conflict in frustration. So an asymmetric war can sometimes be won by a weaker power simply due to the asymmetry involved. In my opinion, the end of WWII became asymmetric when we deployed our super weapon, the A-bomb, which the enemy was not ready for. We were not the weaker power, but used asymmetry to our advantage nevertheless. Nowadays, wars can have an asymmetric component that works in harmony with the conventional components. Cyber warfare departments exist in the USA, China, USSR, North Korea, and several other places. A physical attack from a hostile country which also has the cyber warfare department would occur with that department hacking and destroying what they can of our military command and control structure. They would also disrupt the power grid to deny electricity to big parts of the country. They will do their best to deter and disrupt military and domestic operations through electronic means, thereby reducing the effectiveness of any response. A quote from the book, “Cyber War”, by Richard A. Clarke* and Robert Knake follows: “In the case of cyber war, the power of the offense is largely secret...” You may remember Richard A. Clarke. He is the guy who warned Condoleezza Rice that a terror attack might occur soon against the USA about 8 months before 9/11/2001. Now, we are discussing alien war here, so substitute the word “alien” for the word “cyber” and you get the main crux of the problem with alien warfare: “In the case of alien war, the power of the offense is largely secret...” We simply don’t have a clue what weapons of offense the aliens have. In the movie, “Independence Day”, the aliens had a primary weapon which would somehow cause an explosion to radiate outward from the targeted center of every major city. In the remake of “The Day the Earth Stood Still”, the aliens had an undefensible weapon like a cloud of insects or nano-technology particles that would eat everything in sight. In the book, “Battlefield Earth” by L. Ron Hubbard, the aliens simply put a lot of poison gas into a single rocket which traveled a few hundred miles an hour around the globe for several weeks, killing almost all life. Attempts to destroy it were ineffective because the outer hull of the rocket existed partially in another dimension so an A-bomb exploded against it had no effect. And so forth. Needless to say, in all of these works, the fictional earthlings were caught by surprise at the nature of the alien weaponry, and so it would be in real life.
2. WILL NOT BE KINETIC
Our wars are now mainly kinetic, meaning they depend largely on kinetic energy weapons, such as exploding bombs and high velocity projectiles. Sure, other forms of weapons exist also, such as biological (diseases), and chemical (gas), and we really hate it when other countries use them. Aliens might use not only these types of weapons, but they also could use far out things as well. For example, they could project powerful telepathic commands to the humans, or deploy their antigravity technology to crush and destroy. In the movie, “The Arrival”, they used weather wrecking apparatus to heat up the world more to their liking. Of course, we will attempt to make our resistance as kinetic as possible, but the aliens will not. As far as I know, there has never been a case where a UFO is seen dropping a bomb or firing a projectile. They only are known to use fields and rays, so that is what I expect their weapons to be based on. It is known that they do have heat rays, and that is very kinetic, but I am restricting my definition of kinetic weapons to be explosives and projectiles.
3. WILL NOT OBEY THE GENEVA CONVENTIONS
Civilians will be treated about the same as military. After all, when we steal honey from a hive, we do not distinguish between their soldier bees and any other bees.
4. WILL NOT BE THERMONUCLEAR
There are many true reports reaching back decades (and still continuing) of UFOs hovering around our nuclear plants, military nuclear powered ships, and military and missile bases where nuclear weapons are stored. They are quite interested in our nuclear items, but that does not mean that they would use weapons of nuclear fusion or fission. Throughout their short public history here, their focus has been on the planet, its fauna and flora, and when discussing the grays, ourselves. They will not use weapons which scar and pollute this place, or so I believe. Their past behavior as gleaned from Close Encounters of the Third Kind show no tendency to destroy this place. There is even a report that a UFO aimed a ray at the newly destroyed Chernobyl reactor and lessened its radiation by a significant percentage. I do not know how true that report is, but that, plus the CE3 report history, plus the fact that only a few UFO reports mention atomic radiation leads me to believe that the thermonuclear scenario is not going to happen.
5. WOULD CAUSE US TO FINALLY DEPLOY OUR SECRET WEAPONS
At long last, if no other alternatives are available for us, the USA would finally deploy its weapons based on ET captured technology. Our own black triangles, our directed energy weapons from our Star Wars program, and our weaponized space installations would be brought into action. Our secret underground bases would become less secret as more and more use is made of them. Even during an alien war, the USA would still try to keep this stuff under wraps as much as possible because they know repercussions would occur if the war ever ended favorably.
6. MAY NOT EVEN BE NOTICEABLE
Did you ever consider that we may be in a war with aliens right now? Why do our jets chase them? Is the abduction program evidence of a slow, long term attempt at takeover by infiltration? Infiltration aimed at takeover is a slow war. Abductions are now into their 6th decade or so. Would we even notice an alien takeover program that lasts 60 years? 600 years? It would be especially hard to notice because both our government and the aliens themselves do not want us to notice anything out of the ordinary.
7. WILL NOT HAVE A CYBER COMPONENT
There are almost 200 countries on this planet, and “over twenty nations’ militaries and intelligence services have created offensive cyber war units …” according to authors Clarke and Knake in their book, “Cyber War”, c2010. Cyber warfare capability is now a very big deal in military strategy and intelligence gathering these days. These 20 countries include the biggest and most powerful nations in the world plus some rogue nations. The problem for these cyber departments in an alien war is simply what would they connect to? There appears to be nothing. The best form of cyber war defense is to disconnect from the internet. Conversely, if we can not connect to the alien computer system at all, then our cyber expertise will be useless against them. In the movie, “Independence Day”, cyber war was used to upload a virus into the alien mothership. I think that this is pretty far fetched, and that it is safe to say that during an alien war, these cyber departments would not have anything to do directly against the aliens. There is also another reason that I say this which will be addressed in number 9 following.
One last item of interest regarding cyber war against aliens might be that in an entirely telepathic culture as many aliens are thought to be from, there probably would not be any beings who would purposely put viruses onto their computer network as there are in our human culture. That is because telepathy would reveal their guilt pretty quickly. Therefore, if their network were available to our human hackers, it might be completely wide open to implantation of human computer viruses.
8. WILL REVEAL TACTICS BORNE OF AN OVERWHELMING ESPIONAGE ADVANTAGE FOR THE ALIENS
The history of UFOs snooping around military installations has already been mentioned. The amazing thing about this is that the aliens appear to have the capability to analyze what is secretly stored at these bases. They have the capability to detect, activate, or control items that are behind solid, closed, opaque barriers. You may recall the UFO at Rendlesham forest in the UK in 1980. It was not publicly revealed until well after the incident that this base was storing nuclear weapons. Apparently the aliens knew what the public did not. Now add to this the persistent stories about human looking aliens among us, some of whom are naturally human appearing and others who may be alien hybrids created by the abduction program who are bred to be human appearing, and who probably have 99+% human DNA after several generational cycles of breeding. These “people” will have espionage on their agenda, for sure, if there is to be an alien conflict. Now take a look at our own infiltration of the aliens. There isn’t any. We cannot plant a human spy into their ranks. They have telepathy which would reveal our spy even if we could find someone who could act and speak the part. It would have to be a turncoat alien, and I bet we have none of those. When we do catch a live alien, we pump it for all it’s worth trying to extract information. That’s not really espionage even though it is bonafide intelligence gathering. I also doubt very highly that we can insert data into their communication stream (if we even have found any such streams) or even interpret their data streams so as to snoop, deter, and disrupt like hackers do.
The main espionage that we may have to use against aliens is our remote viewing program, allegedly cancelled by our CIA in 1995, but it is undoubtedly still in use if and only if it was deemed effective. And yes, it probably was deemed effective because the CIA kept it for 20 years before they cancelled it. Also, our remote viewers kept bumping into UFOs and aliens while they worked, and this was irritating and a distraction. Why did they cancel remote viewing? Because it leaked, so they had to avoid embarrassment while it was taken further into blackness.
9. MAY NOT HAVE ANY CONFLICT
How could a war not have any conflict? By this I mean a large amount of physical conflict. Here is my opinion on the likelihood of physical conflict in an alien war. In the scifi book, “The Alien Years” by Robert Silverberg, he relates how beings come to earth and conquer the planet by simply stopping the operation of electricity, and that includes battery stoppage. The result was that there was no meaningful resistance whatsoever against the invasion. We know that UFOs are strongly associated with stoppage of electricity, plus there are many stories of UFOs having been observed before electrical power grid failure. We know that humans can stop electricity too, albeit crudely, through the use of electromagnetic pulses (EMP). My opinion regarding electricity stoppage is that it is a natural outgrowth of being near the fields generated by the craft’s propulsion system, and that it is NOT a deliberate goal imposed by the aliens on our electrical grid and machinery. UFOs also appear to have the capability to suck power from our power grid. These field effects from the UFOs are not weapons; however, they certainly could be weaponized by them and maybe already have been. Another example of a war-stopper secret weapon could be a biological weapon like a virus that attacks and kills humans in just a few hours. But here is the main point of this section: aliens might have a weapon so universal, so thorough, so quick, and so dominant, that in just a few hours after its deployment there would be no opposition at all. And that is what I think will be most likely.
I have used a lot of movies and books to illustrate some of my points. I had to do this because I know of no UFO books that do. A few of the other invasion/takeover movies that I did not use in this writeup are ”Invasion of the Bodysnatchers”, “War of the Worlds”, “Plan 9 from Outer Space” (thought by some to be the worst movie ever made), Transformers”, and “Skyline.” I could go on. Of recent movies, the one that violates most of the points in this writeup is “Battle: LA”. It was horrible, packed with clichés, and simply showed an alien force using conventional earth tactics such as a command and control center which was controlling an alien infantry and aircraft, all shooting projectile weapons. One could just as well have substituted a human invasion force doing pretty much the same things as the aliens. It also mentioned that they are here to steal our liquid water, when everyone knows that there is plenty of frozen water in outer space. No originality whatsoever.
* I thought it would be interesting to include the following footnote although it has nothing to do with aliens. This book, Cyber War, released in April, 2010, states that bin Laden is hiding in a villa and not a cave. I presume that if it were released in 2010, then it may have been written in 2009. Furthermore, Christiane Amanpour on October 3, 2008, stated that bin Laden was hiding in a villa in Pakistan. A YouTube video of this is at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-ySteY3r9I. Here are two serious public figures whose careers depend on their credibility making these declarative statements. It makes one wonder.
Thursday, January 20, 2011
A Retrospective on “Huge UFOs Near the Sun” by Ufonalyzer 1/2011
A Retrospective on “Huge UFOs Near the Sun”
©
Last January, 2010, there were many stories about the huge UFOs near the sun that appeared in some of NASA’s sun images. (For reasons that will be explained later, I am going to name these hypothetical UFOs “Vulcan UFOs”.) Recall that NASA’s response at the time was that these images were an image processing software artifact of some sort and that they really weren’t physically there. NASA’s press release on the matter was poorly written and used terms that only a software writer for image processing might understand. It may have been designed to technologically overwhelm the public to a) make it sound believable and b) humble the public into silence. It was an amateurish attempt at damage control which may have been the truth, but the event deserved a better response than NASA gave it. It did not explain why these spheres surrounding the sun looked perfectly round with highlights. One would have expected the software error that caused these planet sized UFOs to appear and look so perfect would have resulted in a smudge or scribble or some other visual form other than a perfect sphere that was consistent with everything else that was in the image, including the sun. Their response was very dissatisfying and dismissive and did not put the “nail in the coffin” on this event.*
Since the time when “Huge UFOs Near the Sun” was written in January, 2010, more reports have come in which are available on YouTube about the same thing. Most of these reports deal with the January, 2010, news story, but a few of the reports claim that these large UFO sightings are still occurring. The short clip at http://www.cyberspaceorbit.com/behemoth.htm, allegedly filmed 10 years before the huge UFO story, shows an image that looks the same thing that was shown in the January 2010 video. So maybe these are real objects and NASA is contributing to the UFO coverup. {Digression: Does it bother you that many UFO videos, stories, and photos are not date stamped and are about old events that are being recycled and put “back on the market” as if they were new? Sometimes it’s hard to tell what is new and what is not.}
The rest of this writeup will discuss these huge UFO images in light of historical information for images that have been seen transiting the sun.
Morris Jessup theorized in his book, “The Case for the UFOs” c1955, that one time sun transiting bodies are really very large UFOs near the earth. These were mistaken by astronomers who reported them as being near the sun, but in reality they are huge UFOs most likely in the upper reaches of our atmosphere. This explains why only one astronomer sees them and are not seen by any of the other astronomers who regularly observe the sun (quantity unknown). This sounds like a pretty good explanation, but there might be other explanations as well.
The book, “Wonders in the Sky” c2009 by Jacques Vallee and Chris Aubeck, is a compilation of 500 ancient celestial sightings ranging from 1460 b.c.e. to 1880 c.e. The 500, by the way, have been filtered by the authors from numerous large bodies of sightings as being the most likely to be true and the most representative of having analyzable merit. About 80% of the data that they analyzed was not used/rejected for inclusion into their book. One frequent category of sightings in this book are transits of the sun by unknown objects. These were addressed by Morris Jesseup’s book, “The Case for the UFO” mentioned previously. In fact, their frequency in history was one of Jessup’s motivations in writing his book in the first place. In Vallee’s/Aubeck’s book, 25 of the 500 events were such transits. Transits are nice astronomical events as they are invariably recorded by excellent professional and amateur astronomers, and not by wild eyed nut jobs. Unfortunately, many transits can’t be verified, because they appear to be singular events. If caused by orbiting, passive celestial objects, they should be reoccurring at predictable intervals, but these 25 were not reoccurring.
Almost all of the transits listed in the Vallee/Aubeck book were observed using a telescope. The telescope was invented in about 1608. Galileo first applied its use to look at the sun in 1609 and promptly found that sunspots were on the surface of the sun and were not transits. Sunspots had been seen numerous times before the invention of the telescope. However, most if not all transits have been observed after the invention of the telescope. The 25 transits in “Wonders of the Sky” account for 11% of the 227 odd celestial occurrences listed in this book seen after the telescope’s invention. The sun transit data from the book is as follows:
Sighting No. Listed in Book Year
273 1661
347 1762
349 1762
352 1764
364 1791
365 1793
370 1798
376 1802
377 1802
396 1819
398 1820
402 1822
420 1836
422 1837
425 1839
430 1845
438 1847
444 1849
446 1849
448 1849
451 1850
456 1850
462 1859
490 1876
496 1879
-- 1880 (from internet)
-- 1883 “ “
-- 1888 “ “
-- 1989 “ “
By simple visual inspection of the preceding dates, you can note that from 1661 to 1762, there were no unknown transits of the sun, at least recorded in the “Wonders of the Sky” book.
There are periods of time in history where almost no sunspots were observed. One such period was from 1645 to 1715 and is known as the Maunder Minimum. The coincidence of this period with the 100 year absence of unknown transits from 1661 to 1762 is very highly suggestive that many of the unknown transits outside of this period were sunspots, and not objects crossing in front of the sun. However, it is surprising that these unknown sun transits would be mistaken sunspots because most of these discoverers of these sightings were amateur and professional astronomers who undoubtedly knew about sunspots, even in the 1700s. Also mitigating the mistaken sunspot theory is that there was also a sunspot minimum period from roughly 1795 to 1830 known as the Dalton Minimum during which we see that there was no corresponding reduction in unknown transits. On the opposite side of the coin, there were no unknown transits recorded from 1888 to 1989 (internet search) and there were plenty of sunspots during that century, again showing that misidentification of sunspots did not occur then either. One last observation is needed here: Most of these transits were observed as one time events on one day. The sun rotates once every 27 days, so a sunspot could take as long as 13.5 days to get from one side to the other. Some sunspots last only a few hours, but others can last as long as 6 months. This means an astronomer could see some sunspots over a several day period on average, and not just for a single day event. Therefore, all in all, these transits were probably not sunspots. Then what were they?
Well, they could be astronomer errors. We all remember the astronomer who “saw” all those canals on Mars. Another explanation that I saw was that they were “weak comets”. What is a weak comet? I can only guess that it is either a captured comet in orbit around the sun or it is one that has come in from space so many times on its elliptical orbit that it no longer can outgas like it used to. The average comet is about 6 miles diameter. We are talking about earth sized UFOs here, and the earth is 8000 miles diameter. A comet would have to outgas a lot to expand its apparent size to earth size, but a “weak” comet which has expended its volatile gaseous material load would not present a visual close to earth size. (Of course, a captured comet would have expended its gaseous material content early in its captured revolutions around the sun, so that would not be the explanation either.)
Around 1860, it was theorized that there was a planet even closer to the sun than Mercury, and it was given the name Vulcan. That is why I am calling these apparent huge UFOs near the sun “Vulcan UFOs”. The planet Vulcan was invented not because of these transit sightings, but because of variations in Mercury’s orbit thought to be due to Vulcan’s gravitational effect. We now know that the perturbations of Mercury’s orbit were due to the Einstein-predicted bending of light rays as they pass near the sun. Therefore, as the reasoning goes, if all of Mercury’s orbit variations are now explained by light ray bending due to the sun’s gravitation, then there must be nothing of large mass between Mercury and the sun. But if there were earth sized UFOs near the sun, they might not gravitationally affect Mercury because as we know UFOs need not obey anything about the law of gravity.
There is another historical phenomenon in the solar system which also supports the Vulcan UFO theory. There have been many objects seen rotating around Venus as well, yet Venus is known to be moonless. There’s been so many that this Venusian satellite was given the name “Neith”. Once again, from “Wonders in the Sky”, the sightings are as follows:
Sighting No. Listed in Book Year
287 1672
300 1686
332 1740
342 1749
344 1761
345 1761
350 1764
351 1764
355 1768
404 1823
If the Vulcan UFOs were real, then why couldn’t one or more of them occasionally fly to Venus for some mission to be identified as its moon, Neith, on rare occasions?
The information contained in “Wonders in the Sky” adds a little more believability to the story of “Huge UFOs Near the Sun”. Maybe those monstrous Vulcan UFOs really are there. For sure, if they are there, NASA will be doing a better job of altering the data to show that they aren’t, and we won’t be getting much more proof from them one way or the other to answer this question. If any of these old transit sightings really are of those earth sized Vulcan UFOs near the sun, then we can take some comfort that over the last 350 years or more that they have been there, they have made no moves to interfere with us and our planet.
* (Dr.) Joseph B. Gurman, NASA STEREO Project Scientist responded to the images of giant UFOs near the Sun with the following technical explanation (reported January 21, 2010). Dr. Gurman wrote, "What you're seeing is the difference between "beacon mode" (near real-time, heavily compressed, binned [I believe 512 x 512 or smaller]) images and normal playback telemetry images (2048 x 2048 native mode, less heavily but still lossily compressed).
On January 18, at 21:47 UT, the 'central data recorder' at DSN, that stores all the playback data from all the missions DSN supports, failed. A backup CDR took over, but apparently started working on data from January 10, instead of just the four previous hours, as designed. (The last I heard, the DSN engineers don't understand why, but it certainly sounds like a software issue.) For some reason, DSN is unable to reset a pointer and say, please start processing from this time instead of that time. So we, and all the other missions supported by DSN, are waiting for our playback data from January 18 and all following days. As soon as we get it, and the instrument teams have reformatted the telemetry into scientifically useful formats (that allow, for instance, making SECCHI EUVI data into images), we will post the images and other STEREO browse data in the normal places. And no, I don't know why DSN designed such an inflexible CDR system. I suspect they may modify it after this experience."
©
Last January, 2010, there were many stories about the huge UFOs near the sun that appeared in some of NASA’s sun images. (For reasons that will be explained later, I am going to name these hypothetical UFOs “Vulcan UFOs”.) Recall that NASA’s response at the time was that these images were an image processing software artifact of some sort and that they really weren’t physically there. NASA’s press release on the matter was poorly written and used terms that only a software writer for image processing might understand. It may have been designed to technologically overwhelm the public to a) make it sound believable and b) humble the public into silence. It was an amateurish attempt at damage control which may have been the truth, but the event deserved a better response than NASA gave it. It did not explain why these spheres surrounding the sun looked perfectly round with highlights. One would have expected the software error that caused these planet sized UFOs to appear and look so perfect would have resulted in a smudge or scribble or some other visual form other than a perfect sphere that was consistent with everything else that was in the image, including the sun. Their response was very dissatisfying and dismissive and did not put the “nail in the coffin” on this event.*
Since the time when “Huge UFOs Near the Sun” was written in January, 2010, more reports have come in which are available on YouTube about the same thing. Most of these reports deal with the January, 2010, news story, but a few of the reports claim that these large UFO sightings are still occurring. The short clip at http://www.cyberspaceorbit.com/behemoth.htm, allegedly filmed 10 years before the huge UFO story, shows an image that looks the same thing that was shown in the January 2010 video. So maybe these are real objects and NASA is contributing to the UFO coverup. {Digression: Does it bother you that many UFO videos, stories, and photos are not date stamped and are about old events that are being recycled and put “back on the market” as if they were new? Sometimes it’s hard to tell what is new and what is not.}
The rest of this writeup will discuss these huge UFO images in light of historical information for images that have been seen transiting the sun.
Morris Jessup theorized in his book, “The Case for the UFOs” c1955, that one time sun transiting bodies are really very large UFOs near the earth. These were mistaken by astronomers who reported them as being near the sun, but in reality they are huge UFOs most likely in the upper reaches of our atmosphere. This explains why only one astronomer sees them and are not seen by any of the other astronomers who regularly observe the sun (quantity unknown). This sounds like a pretty good explanation, but there might be other explanations as well.
The book, “Wonders in the Sky” c2009 by Jacques Vallee and Chris Aubeck, is a compilation of 500 ancient celestial sightings ranging from 1460 b.c.e. to 1880 c.e. The 500, by the way, have been filtered by the authors from numerous large bodies of sightings as being the most likely to be true and the most representative of having analyzable merit. About 80% of the data that they analyzed was not used/rejected for inclusion into their book. One frequent category of sightings in this book are transits of the sun by unknown objects. These were addressed by Morris Jesseup’s book, “The Case for the UFO” mentioned previously. In fact, their frequency in history was one of Jessup’s motivations in writing his book in the first place. In Vallee’s/Aubeck’s book, 25 of the 500 events were such transits. Transits are nice astronomical events as they are invariably recorded by excellent professional and amateur astronomers, and not by wild eyed nut jobs. Unfortunately, many transits can’t be verified, because they appear to be singular events. If caused by orbiting, passive celestial objects, they should be reoccurring at predictable intervals, but these 25 were not reoccurring.
Almost all of the transits listed in the Vallee/Aubeck book were observed using a telescope. The telescope was invented in about 1608. Galileo first applied its use to look at the sun in 1609 and promptly found that sunspots were on the surface of the sun and were not transits. Sunspots had been seen numerous times before the invention of the telescope. However, most if not all transits have been observed after the invention of the telescope. The 25 transits in “Wonders of the Sky” account for 11% of the 227 odd celestial occurrences listed in this book seen after the telescope’s invention. The sun transit data from the book is as follows:
Sighting No. Listed in Book Year
273 1661
347 1762
349 1762
352 1764
364 1791
365 1793
370 1798
376 1802
377 1802
396 1819
398 1820
402 1822
420 1836
422 1837
425 1839
430 1845
438 1847
444 1849
446 1849
448 1849
451 1850
456 1850
462 1859
490 1876
496 1879
-- 1880 (from internet)
-- 1883 “ “
-- 1888 “ “
-- 1989 “ “
By simple visual inspection of the preceding dates, you can note that from 1661 to 1762, there were no unknown transits of the sun, at least recorded in the “Wonders of the Sky” book.
There are periods of time in history where almost no sunspots were observed. One such period was from 1645 to 1715 and is known as the Maunder Minimum. The coincidence of this period with the 100 year absence of unknown transits from 1661 to 1762 is very highly suggestive that many of the unknown transits outside of this period were sunspots, and not objects crossing in front of the sun. However, it is surprising that these unknown sun transits would be mistaken sunspots because most of these discoverers of these sightings were amateur and professional astronomers who undoubtedly knew about sunspots, even in the 1700s. Also mitigating the mistaken sunspot theory is that there was also a sunspot minimum period from roughly 1795 to 1830 known as the Dalton Minimum during which we see that there was no corresponding reduction in unknown transits. On the opposite side of the coin, there were no unknown transits recorded from 1888 to 1989 (internet search) and there were plenty of sunspots during that century, again showing that misidentification of sunspots did not occur then either. One last observation is needed here: Most of these transits were observed as one time events on one day. The sun rotates once every 27 days, so a sunspot could take as long as 13.5 days to get from one side to the other. Some sunspots last only a few hours, but others can last as long as 6 months. This means an astronomer could see some sunspots over a several day period on average, and not just for a single day event. Therefore, all in all, these transits were probably not sunspots. Then what were they?
Well, they could be astronomer errors. We all remember the astronomer who “saw” all those canals on Mars. Another explanation that I saw was that they were “weak comets”. What is a weak comet? I can only guess that it is either a captured comet in orbit around the sun or it is one that has come in from space so many times on its elliptical orbit that it no longer can outgas like it used to. The average comet is about 6 miles diameter. We are talking about earth sized UFOs here, and the earth is 8000 miles diameter. A comet would have to outgas a lot to expand its apparent size to earth size, but a “weak” comet which has expended its volatile gaseous material load would not present a visual close to earth size. (Of course, a captured comet would have expended its gaseous material content early in its captured revolutions around the sun, so that would not be the explanation either.)
Around 1860, it was theorized that there was a planet even closer to the sun than Mercury, and it was given the name Vulcan. That is why I am calling these apparent huge UFOs near the sun “Vulcan UFOs”. The planet Vulcan was invented not because of these transit sightings, but because of variations in Mercury’s orbit thought to be due to Vulcan’s gravitational effect. We now know that the perturbations of Mercury’s orbit were due to the Einstein-predicted bending of light rays as they pass near the sun. Therefore, as the reasoning goes, if all of Mercury’s orbit variations are now explained by light ray bending due to the sun’s gravitation, then there must be nothing of large mass between Mercury and the sun. But if there were earth sized UFOs near the sun, they might not gravitationally affect Mercury because as we know UFOs need not obey anything about the law of gravity.
There is another historical phenomenon in the solar system which also supports the Vulcan UFO theory. There have been many objects seen rotating around Venus as well, yet Venus is known to be moonless. There’s been so many that this Venusian satellite was given the name “Neith”. Once again, from “Wonders in the Sky”, the sightings are as follows:
Sighting No. Listed in Book Year
287 1672
300 1686
332 1740
342 1749
344 1761
345 1761
350 1764
351 1764
355 1768
404 1823
If the Vulcan UFOs were real, then why couldn’t one or more of them occasionally fly to Venus for some mission to be identified as its moon, Neith, on rare occasions?
The information contained in “Wonders in the Sky” adds a little more believability to the story of “Huge UFOs Near the Sun”. Maybe those monstrous Vulcan UFOs really are there. For sure, if they are there, NASA will be doing a better job of altering the data to show that they aren’t, and we won’t be getting much more proof from them one way or the other to answer this question. If any of these old transit sightings really are of those earth sized Vulcan UFOs near the sun, then we can take some comfort that over the last 350 years or more that they have been there, they have made no moves to interfere with us and our planet.
* (Dr.) Joseph B. Gurman, NASA STEREO Project Scientist responded to the images of giant UFOs near the Sun with the following technical explanation (reported January 21, 2010). Dr. Gurman wrote, "What you're seeing is the difference between "beacon mode" (near real-time, heavily compressed, binned [I believe 512 x 512 or smaller]) images and normal playback telemetry images (2048 x 2048 native mode, less heavily but still lossily compressed).
On January 18, at 21:47 UT, the 'central data recorder' at DSN, that stores all the playback data from all the missions DSN supports, failed. A backup CDR took over, but apparently started working on data from January 10, instead of just the four previous hours, as designed. (The last I heard, the DSN engineers don't understand why, but it certainly sounds like a software issue.) For some reason, DSN is unable to reset a pointer and say, please start processing from this time instead of that time. So we, and all the other missions supported by DSN, are waiting for our playback data from January 18 and all following days. As soon as we get it, and the instrument teams have reformatted the telemetry into scientifically useful formats (that allow, for instance, making SECCHI EUVI data into images), we will post the images and other STEREO browse data in the normal places. And no, I don't know why DSN designed such an inflexible CDR system. I suspect they may modify it after this experience."
SIGHTINGS: KNOWNS VS UNKNOWNS
SIGHTINGS: KNOWNS VS UNKNOWNS
©
This writeup will be about that category of aerial sightings classified as “unknowns”. As you all know, it is the “unknown” category which contains the UFOs. It will end with a discussion of nighttime versus daytime “unknowns”.
Over the years different collections of strange aerial phenomena have been compiled and studied with the objective of understanding them all. What always results is a small residue of sightings that cannot be explained through our familiar explanations. This is the “unknown” category. It can also be called the “UAP” category, for Unexplained Aerial Phenomena. UFOs make up the largest part of the UAP, or unknown, category.
UFO debunkers and coverup personnel strive to make the unknown category be as small as possible. If it can be gotten down to a few percent, then most people will be satisfied to attribute that small portion to be an acceptable error margin that must be explainable by conventional means and then forget about it, no further investigation required. That is obviously the strategy behind the Project Blue Book Special Report #14 (hereafter referred to as “PBBSR14”) introduction where it states in its 3rd sentence that “of the 131 sightings reported during the first four months of 1955 only three per cent were listed as unknown.” Of course, that writer does not mention that after Edward Ruppelt left Bluebook in late ’53, the whole project changed to a debunking goal of 100% conventional explanations of those unknowns simply by force fitting the explanation to the sighting, often resulting in ludicrous and embarrassingly stupid explanations.
Stanton Friedman points out that the PBBSR14 data shows that the unknown category percentage is 21.5% and that number is published right within the body of the report. Such a large percentage cannot be ignored and explained away as an acceptable margin of error. Later on in this writeup, this percentage will be revisited and changed by the Ufonalyzer to 16% (still very large) and it will be explained why this was done. And please be reminded that now we know that the best reports were always routed away from Blue Book for secret investigation, and these reports would have raised the percentage even higher if they had not been excluded. Furthermore, those numerous cases which had been intentionally force fitted into the “known” category have never been retrieved from this category and placed back into the “unknown” category by any investigator, nor have they been quantified as far as this writer knows. This writer believes that other reports have published similar unknown percentages in the double digits as well. One exception is the COMETA report.
Early in 2010 when Leslie Kean released her book, “UFOs: Generals, Pilots and Government Officials Go on the Record”, she had several TV interviews in which she stated the unknown percentage was 5%. This percentage certainly is radically smaller than PBBSR14’s percentage. After reading reviews of her book and hearing what she said about it, the Ufonalyzer, although glad she wrote it, decided that he was not going to read it because it appeared to be another of the many fine books which list UFO encounters, interviews with high ranking, sometimes retired people, and which mention many of the official documents suggesting the reality of UFOs which we, as UFO believers, all are familiar with. In other words, it is written for the general public and those people who are deciding whether to believe in UFOs or not. Since that decision, chunks of her book’s text are now on Google Books, and these pieces verify the Ufonalyzer’s initial opinion. It is a very pleasant surprise, indeed, to see the positive impact that her book has caused in the UFO world, so we should all be grateful to her. Her book’s text gives every indication that she is using the COMETA report’s published percentage for its unknowns, which is 4-5% unknowns. It is this writer’s opinion that she should have used the percentage from PBBSR14 and not COMETA’s percentage because the 5% figure is much too close to what most folks would agree is a small but acceptable measurement error. She would have been perfectly justified if she had done this because the PBBSR14 study is much more scientific than the COMETA study and covers a much bigger sample size. The only drawback would be that the PBBSR14 study is based on data ending in 1952, and the COMETA study uses much more contemporary data. But, given the success and impact of her book, this is a small point which need not be mentioned anymore.
The vast majority of sighting reports can be explained by many different phenomena. Most of these explanations are correct when honestly investigated and objectively applied to the sighting. Back in the day of Blue Book, the categories listed in the report are as follows:
Balloon
Astronomical
Aircraft
Light Phenomena (mirages, sun dogs, inversion layer images, distortions)
Birds
Clouds, dirt, etc
Psychological (fanatics, publicity seekers, imagination)
Insufficient Info
Unknown
Other (kites, contrails, fireworks, flares, rockets, small tornadoes)
Since Blue Book’s time, other additional and/or refined categories have come into existence. Do you recall TST, or Tectonic Strain Theory? This theory has two parts, both based on earth’s strata being under a pressure or bending force. Rock is crystalline in nature, so the force sets up piezoelectric voltages in the strained rock crystalline structure. The theory is that these voltages can ionize gases near the rocks and cause plasma balls to appear. The plasma balls look like UFOs. The second part is that the electric fields themselves can act directly on the brain and induce hallucinatory visions of things that aren’t there such as UFOs. Tectonic strain actually can cause lights that are seen prior to earthquakes, but no one has ever proven a plasma ball from tectonic strain. As an aside, famed debunker Philip Klass was a big plasma advocate. Another theory is mentioned elsewhere in this blog in which UFOs are the imaginary product of sexual maladjustment. Theories like these are little more than scientific masturbation which panders to the mainstream public and to the egos of the scientists who come up with such crap. Regarding plasmas, ball lightning is believed to exist and it IS a plasma ball. However, the average size of a landed UFO is usually 20 feet plus or minus, and the diameter of ball lightning is never more than a few feet, although one source says 8 feet. Ball lightning, if seen from a distance, could be mistaken for a UFO. There was a recent article on the internet whose title screamed “UFOs Explained.” The explanation was that it was one of the phenomena of sprites, jets and elves. Having seen videos of sprites and jets, this writer can tell you that this article was ridiculous. The Majestic Documents website contains the forward of a never-published book by Vernon Bowen. The CIA took it seriously and annotated it liberally. Bowen was a UFO debunker, and came up with simply impractical theories on the nature of UFOs (e.g. the Coanda effect.) Temperature inversion layers used to be used all the time to explain UFO sightings. Debunker and Majestic 12 agent Donald Menzel used to invoke this false explanation all the time. Although it is a real phenomenon, believer James MacDonald proved that Menzel’s frequent use of this explanation could not be possible in most of Menzel’s explanations. Menzel probably was aware that he was lying but hoped to dupe the public anyway. It is doubtful that he really believed in his own explanations. These are more examples of scientific masturbation.
As we inspect the categories used by the Blue Book investigators, we see “flares” in the “Other” category. This explanation has risen to be a major player in explanations these days. Some people believe that when a significant UFO event occurs, the military runs out and drops a bunch of flares to confuse the public into thinking that the UFO was flares all along (e.g. this possibly occurred during the Phoenix Lights incident.) A subset of the “flares” category in our modern times are Chinese lanterns.
We also see “fanatics” in the “Psychological” category. Fanatical religious explanations of UFOs have always been with us since the beginning, and it is kind of disappointing and sometimes frightening to see the large segment of UFO believers that this thinking still controls.
We now come the the second part of this writeup.
The Ufonalyzer has stated a couple of times in this blog that night sightings of UFOs are pretty useless because hardly any data can be extracted from them, and one is rarely sure that the night light isn’t something ordinary. Most UFO sightings occur at night. The following clever graphs from Vallee’s 1966 book, “The UFO Enigma” shows when most occur at night. (Type I and Type III sightings are Vallee’s own UFO classification system which never caught on like Hynek’s did. (This writer does not like either one because their categories are not mutually exclusive.)) This is followed by a histogram (Figure 41) from PBBSR14 which also clearly shows the same thing. The PBBSR14 data stops at 1952, and the Vallee graph was published in 1966.
Consider the following hypothetical daytime sighting. A large disc is seen flying by in broad daylight at a low speed. It stops to hover, witnessed by a few people, and then resumes its flight. What looks like windows can be seen around its periphery. This is a good sighting. This sighting would be hard to explain away by the categories listed earlier. Therefore, it probably would be listed as “unknown”. In other words, the better the data, the more likely it could not be force fit into conventional earthly categories, so it would wind up as “unknown” because it is so good. One can reason from this is that daytime sightings should have a higher percentage of “unknowns” than nighttime sightings because daytime sightings have the potential to yield far more data than nighttime. Let’s check out the Ufonalyzer’s opnion that daytime sightings yield a higher percentage of “unknowns” than nighttime by analyzing Figure 41 from the PBBSR14. This is the only set of data that this writer has seen which separates “known” and “unknown” by time of day.
The data from the histogram was analyzed by separating night from day along the horizontal axis. Daytime was selected as being from 6:30am to 6:30pm. There were 798 daytime sightings and 1348 nighttime sightings. Daytime “unknowns” were 128 and nighttime “unknowns” were 215. These numbers were counted off of the histograms. The percentage “unknowns” for daytime sightings therefore is 16.04%, and he percentage “unknowns” for nighttime sightings therefore is 15.95%. In other words, they’re equal. What??!! How can this be?? This shows that nighttime sightings are just as effective at yielding UFO sightings that hold up to analysis as the daytime does. This just does not make sense. It looks like from now on the Ufonalzyer will have to shut his piehole and stop criticizing all those nighttime UFO videos that are all over YouTube.
By the way, on page 10 of the PBBSR14 document, it states that the total of object sightings should be 2199 so this means that the count from the histogram should equal 2199. Instead, it equals 1348 + 798 = 2146 which is off by only 53 and is good counting accuracy from such a small graph.
Earlier it was mentioned that Stanton Friedman’s reporting on PBBSR14 came up with an “unknown” percentage of 21.5%. This is based on 3201 sightings (page ii of the PBBSR14.) Page 15 gives further data about these 3201 which filters the 3201 down to 2199 “unknowns”. This is because the 3201 contains double counting; e.g. if an “unknown” was sighted by, say, 2 witnesses, then that is counted as two “unknowns” in the 3201 sightings, but only counted as one “unknown” in the 2199 sightings. Similarly, if two UFOs were simultaneously spotted by one witness, then that sighting would count as two “unknowns” in the 3201 sightings.
In conclusion, although UFOs come in a variety of shapes and sizes, it is highly likely that we are observing only one phenomenon when they are seen. In this writer’s opinion it is the phenomenon of visiting extraterrestrial craft under intelligent control. Although a variety of explanations exist for curious phenomena which, after investigation, turn out to be the “knowns”, the residue (i.e. the “unknowns”) are very likely explained by only one phenomenon (i.e. the ETH.) If the totality of the UFO phenomenon is explained away with anything but the ETH, then that explanation requires many separate explanations all cobbled together. It is much simpler, cleaner, and more elegant, and therefore more believable to go with the ETH for the whole UFO explanation. With this you have one single explanation and not a collection of parts put forth by those who have obviously not studied the issue, and by some of whom who wish to display their erudition on their specialty, which is repugnant. However, even this writer admits that even the ETH is not adequate if one restricts the ETH to only one alien species visiting earth. It fails because of the huge variety of different craft that are seen. The variety of craft is far beyond what one would expect a single species to have designed for its mission on earth. The ETH fails until one hypothesizes several visiting species overlapping one another in their visitations. Fortunately, the additional data gleaned from Close Encounters of the Third Kind “proves” that there are many races visiting earth with crafts of many shapes and sizes.
©
This writeup will be about that category of aerial sightings classified as “unknowns”. As you all know, it is the “unknown” category which contains the UFOs. It will end with a discussion of nighttime versus daytime “unknowns”.
Over the years different collections of strange aerial phenomena have been compiled and studied with the objective of understanding them all. What always results is a small residue of sightings that cannot be explained through our familiar explanations. This is the “unknown” category. It can also be called the “UAP” category, for Unexplained Aerial Phenomena. UFOs make up the largest part of the UAP, or unknown, category.
UFO debunkers and coverup personnel strive to make the unknown category be as small as possible. If it can be gotten down to a few percent, then most people will be satisfied to attribute that small portion to be an acceptable error margin that must be explainable by conventional means and then forget about it, no further investigation required. That is obviously the strategy behind the Project Blue Book Special Report #14 (hereafter referred to as “PBBSR14”) introduction where it states in its 3rd sentence that “of the 131 sightings reported during the first four months of 1955 only three per cent were listed as unknown.” Of course, that writer does not mention that after Edward Ruppelt left Bluebook in late ’53, the whole project changed to a debunking goal of 100% conventional explanations of those unknowns simply by force fitting the explanation to the sighting, often resulting in ludicrous and embarrassingly stupid explanations.
Stanton Friedman points out that the PBBSR14 data shows that the unknown category percentage is 21.5% and that number is published right within the body of the report. Such a large percentage cannot be ignored and explained away as an acceptable margin of error. Later on in this writeup, this percentage will be revisited and changed by the Ufonalyzer to 16% (still very large) and it will be explained why this was done. And please be reminded that now we know that the best reports were always routed away from Blue Book for secret investigation, and these reports would have raised the percentage even higher if they had not been excluded. Furthermore, those numerous cases which had been intentionally force fitted into the “known” category have never been retrieved from this category and placed back into the “unknown” category by any investigator, nor have they been quantified as far as this writer knows. This writer believes that other reports have published similar unknown percentages in the double digits as well. One exception is the COMETA report.
Early in 2010 when Leslie Kean released her book, “UFOs: Generals, Pilots and Government Officials Go on the Record”, she had several TV interviews in which she stated the unknown percentage was 5%. This percentage certainly is radically smaller than PBBSR14’s percentage. After reading reviews of her book and hearing what she said about it, the Ufonalyzer, although glad she wrote it, decided that he was not going to read it because it appeared to be another of the many fine books which list UFO encounters, interviews with high ranking, sometimes retired people, and which mention many of the official documents suggesting the reality of UFOs which we, as UFO believers, all are familiar with. In other words, it is written for the general public and those people who are deciding whether to believe in UFOs or not. Since that decision, chunks of her book’s text are now on Google Books, and these pieces verify the Ufonalyzer’s initial opinion. It is a very pleasant surprise, indeed, to see the positive impact that her book has caused in the UFO world, so we should all be grateful to her. Her book’s text gives every indication that she is using the COMETA report’s published percentage for its unknowns, which is 4-5% unknowns. It is this writer’s opinion that she should have used the percentage from PBBSR14 and not COMETA’s percentage because the 5% figure is much too close to what most folks would agree is a small but acceptable measurement error. She would have been perfectly justified if she had done this because the PBBSR14 study is much more scientific than the COMETA study and covers a much bigger sample size. The only drawback would be that the PBBSR14 study is based on data ending in 1952, and the COMETA study uses much more contemporary data. But, given the success and impact of her book, this is a small point which need not be mentioned anymore.
The vast majority of sighting reports can be explained by many different phenomena. Most of these explanations are correct when honestly investigated and objectively applied to the sighting. Back in the day of Blue Book, the categories listed in the report are as follows:
Balloon
Astronomical
Aircraft
Light Phenomena (mirages, sun dogs, inversion layer images, distortions)
Birds
Clouds, dirt, etc
Psychological (fanatics, publicity seekers, imagination)
Insufficient Info
Unknown
Other (kites, contrails, fireworks, flares, rockets, small tornadoes)
Since Blue Book’s time, other additional and/or refined categories have come into existence. Do you recall TST, or Tectonic Strain Theory? This theory has two parts, both based on earth’s strata being under a pressure or bending force. Rock is crystalline in nature, so the force sets up piezoelectric voltages in the strained rock crystalline structure. The theory is that these voltages can ionize gases near the rocks and cause plasma balls to appear. The plasma balls look like UFOs. The second part is that the electric fields themselves can act directly on the brain and induce hallucinatory visions of things that aren’t there such as UFOs. Tectonic strain actually can cause lights that are seen prior to earthquakes, but no one has ever proven a plasma ball from tectonic strain. As an aside, famed debunker Philip Klass was a big plasma advocate. Another theory is mentioned elsewhere in this blog in which UFOs are the imaginary product of sexual maladjustment. Theories like these are little more than scientific masturbation which panders to the mainstream public and to the egos of the scientists who come up with such crap. Regarding plasmas, ball lightning is believed to exist and it IS a plasma ball. However, the average size of a landed UFO is usually 20 feet plus or minus, and the diameter of ball lightning is never more than a few feet, although one source says 8 feet. Ball lightning, if seen from a distance, could be mistaken for a UFO. There was a recent article on the internet whose title screamed “UFOs Explained.” The explanation was that it was one of the phenomena of sprites, jets and elves. Having seen videos of sprites and jets, this writer can tell you that this article was ridiculous. The Majestic Documents website contains the forward of a never-published book by Vernon Bowen. The CIA took it seriously and annotated it liberally. Bowen was a UFO debunker, and came up with simply impractical theories on the nature of UFOs (e.g. the Coanda effect.) Temperature inversion layers used to be used all the time to explain UFO sightings. Debunker and Majestic 12 agent Donald Menzel used to invoke this false explanation all the time. Although it is a real phenomenon, believer James MacDonald proved that Menzel’s frequent use of this explanation could not be possible in most of Menzel’s explanations. Menzel probably was aware that he was lying but hoped to dupe the public anyway. It is doubtful that he really believed in his own explanations. These are more examples of scientific masturbation.
As we inspect the categories used by the Blue Book investigators, we see “flares” in the “Other” category. This explanation has risen to be a major player in explanations these days. Some people believe that when a significant UFO event occurs, the military runs out and drops a bunch of flares to confuse the public into thinking that the UFO was flares all along (e.g. this possibly occurred during the Phoenix Lights incident.) A subset of the “flares” category in our modern times are Chinese lanterns.
We also see “fanatics” in the “Psychological” category. Fanatical religious explanations of UFOs have always been with us since the beginning, and it is kind of disappointing and sometimes frightening to see the large segment of UFO believers that this thinking still controls.
We now come the the second part of this writeup.
The Ufonalyzer has stated a couple of times in this blog that night sightings of UFOs are pretty useless because hardly any data can be extracted from them, and one is rarely sure that the night light isn’t something ordinary. Most UFO sightings occur at night. The following clever graphs from Vallee’s 1966 book, “The UFO Enigma” shows when most occur at night. (Type I and Type III sightings are Vallee’s own UFO classification system which never caught on like Hynek’s did. (This writer does not like either one because their categories are not mutually exclusive.)) This is followed by a histogram (Figure 41) from PBBSR14 which also clearly shows the same thing. The PBBSR14 data stops at 1952, and the Vallee graph was published in 1966.
Consider the following hypothetical daytime sighting. A large disc is seen flying by in broad daylight at a low speed. It stops to hover, witnessed by a few people, and then resumes its flight. What looks like windows can be seen around its periphery. This is a good sighting. This sighting would be hard to explain away by the categories listed earlier. Therefore, it probably would be listed as “unknown”. In other words, the better the data, the more likely it could not be force fit into conventional earthly categories, so it would wind up as “unknown” because it is so good. One can reason from this is that daytime sightings should have a higher percentage of “unknowns” than nighttime sightings because daytime sightings have the potential to yield far more data than nighttime. Let’s check out the Ufonalyzer’s opnion that daytime sightings yield a higher percentage of “unknowns” than nighttime by analyzing Figure 41 from the PBBSR14. This is the only set of data that this writer has seen which separates “known” and “unknown” by time of day.
The data from the histogram was analyzed by separating night from day along the horizontal axis. Daytime was selected as being from 6:30am to 6:30pm. There were 798 daytime sightings and 1348 nighttime sightings. Daytime “unknowns” were 128 and nighttime “unknowns” were 215. These numbers were counted off of the histograms. The percentage “unknowns” for daytime sightings therefore is 16.04%, and he percentage “unknowns” for nighttime sightings therefore is 15.95%. In other words, they’re equal. What??!! How can this be?? This shows that nighttime sightings are just as effective at yielding UFO sightings that hold up to analysis as the daytime does. This just does not make sense. It looks like from now on the Ufonalzyer will have to shut his piehole and stop criticizing all those nighttime UFO videos that are all over YouTube.
By the way, on page 10 of the PBBSR14 document, it states that the total of object sightings should be 2199 so this means that the count from the histogram should equal 2199. Instead, it equals 1348 + 798 = 2146 which is off by only 53 and is good counting accuracy from such a small graph.
Earlier it was mentioned that Stanton Friedman’s reporting on PBBSR14 came up with an “unknown” percentage of 21.5%. This is based on 3201 sightings (page ii of the PBBSR14.) Page 15 gives further data about these 3201 which filters the 3201 down to 2199 “unknowns”. This is because the 3201 contains double counting; e.g. if an “unknown” was sighted by, say, 2 witnesses, then that is counted as two “unknowns” in the 3201 sightings, but only counted as one “unknown” in the 2199 sightings. Similarly, if two UFOs were simultaneously spotted by one witness, then that sighting would count as two “unknowns” in the 3201 sightings.
In conclusion, although UFOs come in a variety of shapes and sizes, it is highly likely that we are observing only one phenomenon when they are seen. In this writer’s opinion it is the phenomenon of visiting extraterrestrial craft under intelligent control. Although a variety of explanations exist for curious phenomena which, after investigation, turn out to be the “knowns”, the residue (i.e. the “unknowns”) are very likely explained by only one phenomenon (i.e. the ETH.) If the totality of the UFO phenomenon is explained away with anything but the ETH, then that explanation requires many separate explanations all cobbled together. It is much simpler, cleaner, and more elegant, and therefore more believable to go with the ETH for the whole UFO explanation. With this you have one single explanation and not a collection of parts put forth by those who have obviously not studied the issue, and by some of whom who wish to display their erudition on their specialty, which is repugnant. However, even this writer admits that even the ETH is not adequate if one restricts the ETH to only one alien species visiting earth. It fails because of the huge variety of different craft that are seen. The variety of craft is far beyond what one would expect a single species to have designed for its mission on earth. The ETH fails until one hypothesizes several visiting species overlapping one another in their visitations. Fortunately, the additional data gleaned from Close Encounters of the Third Kind “proves” that there are many races visiting earth with crafts of many shapes and sizes.
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