Alien Disguise
This is another one of my articles which attempt to derive reasonable technical explanations for historical UFO phenomena whose reports lie dormant and virtually unused in our several sightings databases.
Anyone who has read this blog knows that I have a strong belief that alien beings are the occupants of the unexplained UFO sightings. The main reason for such a strong belief is that I started my study of the phenomenon by collecting Close Encounters of the Third Kind (CE3), and after filtering less than credible encounters, wound up with about 300 such events, all of which involved aliens on the ground performing some kind of activity, witnessed most of the time by more than one witness. Are all of these events, collected over a 60+ year time span (1933-1996)**, fakes? For sure, some of them are, but it only takes one for the phenomenon to be validated. Along the way, I have had to accept some findings that make no sense, and that I don’t like. For example, it makes no sense to me that aliens are almost entirely have humanoid shapes. I don’t like believing that there is a coverup. I don’t like believing that abductions may be occurring at a pretty high rate. And so on. I have forced myself to follow the UFO and CE3 evidence and data to a logical conclusion, and some of these conclusions can be disturbing.
But we must forge forward, and try to find out as much as we can about our visitors.
If aliens are visiting us, then we must confront the possibility that some of them are among us in disguise, posing as human. Let us analyze this further.
There are some UFO stories and many Hollywood movies which deal with the disguises that aliens use which allow them to physically live and work (spy?) among us. In this writeup, I have categorized these disguises into 4 areas, and try to use reasoning and sighting data to eliminate a couple of these areas as being not feasible, and therefore, not something to give much credence to as one ponders the nature of alien contact. These four areas are shapeshifters, mental image projection, genetic alteration over several birth cycles, and aliens who are already human enough to pass for an earthling.
Shapeshifters
UFO craft often exhibit shapeshifting properties. This can occur in stranger ways than the common explanations for the phenomenon can explain. These common explanations are that 1) we are seeing a varying ionization field around the craft or 2) the craft is presenting a different cross section of itself to the viewer. An example of strangeness is two UFOs merging into one with the resultant single image being no larger than either of the original UFOs. In fact, the excellent ufologist Ivan Sanderson even hypothesized that the craft themselves could be living entities which could change shape just like any other animal can. E.g. once a bird spreads its wings, it sure looks a lot different than when its wings are folded. I doubt that Sanderson really believed this was a majority occurrence in UFO sightings, but I think he put this idea out there just for consideration and to show that he had thought of it first and wanted it documented. Well , if the craft can change shape, then why not its occupants?
For an entity to shapeshift I would think that there are severe biological requirements imposed upon that entity. It would have to have a very fleshy musculature superimposed upon either no skeleton or a very thin internal skeleton. For sure, it would not have a chitinous exoskeleton due to its rigidity. It would take a great deal of continuous muscle flexing and mental capacity for that being to maintain its disguise. It would have to maintain control of all of the fleshy parts of its body almost continuously, and that includes the epidermal color changing cells for color matching. A big percentage of its brain would have to be dedicated to this activity. If it had no internal skeleton, then that would allow more freedom to shape shift, but that would impose even greater requirements upon the stamina of the muscles because the skeleton could not be relied upon to allow the muscles to rest while in a standing position. We humans rely upon our skeleton quite a bit to save energy.
We have a shapeshifter on our planet that has been evolving for 400 million years-- the octopus. Videos of it disguising itself show that it sometimes is ok at it, and other times is bad at it, depending on the octopus species and what it is trying to emulate. Note that even though this is one of the smartest creatures in the sea which has had 400 million years of evolution to perfect shapeshifting, it still has mediocre results. Plus it still requires the support of the water around it to maintain its shape even though it is a very muscular mollusk. Aliens have better brains than octopi, but wouldn’t you think that this mental load of maintaining a human appearance while functioning in our society is a bit much? Furthermore, the stories of a big creature which has shapeshifted into a smaller human form belies conservation of mass. And what would the majority of aliens, who are smaller than us, do to achieve our larger size? Create a big air bladder to pump up its volume? Overall, my final opinion about alien shapeshifters is that we don’t have any here working among us, and the likelihood of not having any here is way up there near 100%. Sure, there could be something really far out, such as an alien having as its first step being to “program” for itself its own internal skeleton and then solidify these new skeletal bones to support the muscles, followed by a second step to use the new skeleton’s surrounding muscles to achieve the proper form desired, followed by a color match third step. Once completed, it would then switch these setting over to its autonomous nervous system for unconscious control, leaving its conscious brain freed up for other thoughts. Just think of the energy expenditure required to do all of this. All in all, even though the mental capacity of aliens appears to be greater than our own, I think the additional requirements of shapeshifting when imposed upon both its alien brain and its torso pushes this pop culture idea into the realm of imagination.
Mental Image Projection
Occasionally we run across a movie or theory that an alien keeps its natural shape but simply mentally projects its desired physical image of a human that it wishes to be. Or, if its human acquaintances are few, it has previously hypnotized them into believing that it is a human. For sure, abduction literature tells us of aliens that have imposed post hypnotic commands upon the abductees so that the abductees remember their captors as human. Plus there are even stories of humans who believed in real time that the “person” that they were associating with was human, but upon further analysis was most likely an alien of far different appearance than they realized. According to abduction researchers Budd Hopkins and David Jacobs, aliens use post hypnotic commands all the time. But in our population centers our present society has imposed electromechanical constraints on ourselves which would “out” this type of interloper, such as surveillance cameras all over the place which would be immune to such projection and hypnosis, employee blood samples for drug testing, airport x-rays, and so forth. Furthermore, what if the alien is in a crowd (necessitating a huge crowd control false image), or what if there are lots of mirrors around, or what if someone views the alien from long distance with binoculars? Therefore, it is my judgment that this type of being does not function in our society at all. It may be doing abductions while working out of a base or mother ship (or living in remote and rural areas where it would encounter only a few people so as to control them), but as far as functioning with us in our day to day activities, this just does not happen.
However, what about alien invisibility? An invisible alien could travel around among us with impunity. We know their craft have stealth invisibility capability, so could this craft technology be miniaturized down to a smaller size such that an alien could be outfitted with a portable type of apparatus which affords him invisibility? There are a very few stories where this has apparently happened, but only a very few. In the Alberto Rosales website, “Humanoid Reports & Journal of Humanoid Studies”***, there are about 9000 story summaries which average about a half page long, perhaps about half or a third of which involve alien encounters. I have read all of these in my search for CE3 data. So many are obviously the product of hoaxers and impaired individuals that filtering criteria had to be established to sort out the more credible ones. Here are a couple of such encounters from Mr. Rosales’ website for your consideration:
223.
Location. Puente San Miguel, Cantabria Spain
Date: December 1 1977
Time: 0450A
The principal witness, Emilio Ruiz was suddenly awakened by the barking of the dogs in the neighborhood and a clear luminosity that shone through the window. The witness then saw a gigantic being looking at him through the window, the being stood in a crouched down position. The figure was man like and appeared to have a huge oval shaped head, huge black oval shaped eyes and a silvery white mustache. It then walked backwards several feet looked around and vanished. He wore a khaki colored uniform with a white ring or collar around the neck and a white stripe on one side; it was easily at least 3 meters tall. At the same time another independent witness Balbina Noriega spotted a bright white disc shaped object rising up from the center of a nearby empty field. Strange tracks were found at the site the next day.
HC addition # 360
Source: Juan Jose Benitez, "Tempestad en Bonanza"
46.
Location. Kamloops British Columbia, Canada
Date: January 16 1989
Time: 2300
A woman was walking her dog on a cloudy night, when she saw an intense bright light on a nearby hill; the light suddenly turned and flew off from the hill at high speed. The witness went back home but could not go to sleep and was very restless, she walked over to the bedroom window and briefly saw a figure standing in the shadow of a pine tree in her yard, the figure suddenly vanished. It was described as very tall and slim. She also saw a dark metallic rectangular shaped object with lighted windows as it left the area silently.
HC addition # 119
Source: Lawrence Fenwick, CUFOM Bulletin 9/10-90
Most of the reports that have humanoids who vanish probably are hallucinations brought about by any of the many stresses of life, such as sickness, intense dreams, and other possible impairments. The two I chose for this article are not very convincing but are better than most because they have what could be a sighted UFO to go along with the humanoid sighting. Most vanishing humanoid stories have no UFO at all in them, and most of the stories that do have UFOs in them have the alien vanish immediately before or at the time that the UFO takes off. This indicates that the humanoid was most likely transported back into the UFO, and is not lingering around in an invisible state. Most all these vanishing alien cases have only one witness, further reducing their believability.
Because there are so few of these types of stories, I am putting this possibility in the “gray basket” a la Stanton Friedman. It could be possible, but probably is not happening here to any significant extent if at all.
Genetic Alteration Over Several Birth Cycles
Abduction researchers David Jacobs and Budd Hopkins plus several others have concluded that at least one alien group is developing alien-human hybrids who look just like us and can function within our society. They are achieving this through gene splicing over about 5 generations of breeding. The end result is a being with apparently only a small percentage of alien DNA, but whose mind, thought processes, and allegiances are totally alien. As far as is known, no one has caught one of these 4th or 5th generation hybrids and tested it for its DNA to see what alien markers it has so as to prove what the abduction scholars believe. The possibility of alien/human hybrids being here right now is a very strong and disturbing one mainly because so much abduction research by independent investigators points to it, and it bespeaks of a long term project with an unknown end goal.
Aliens Who Are Already Human Enough in Appearance to Pass
The percentage of alien species (of those that have been seen visiting earth) who can pass for human is amazingly high, possibly about 24%*. My logic tells me that it should be in the zero percent range. When you consider that they must breathe our air, withstand our gravity, see in our light, function in our temperature range, and (if they live among us) withstand our microbes and eat our food is absolutely astounding. It seems like a bit much. When you remove the pass-for-human constraint (i.e. include the smalls and the giants) and calculate what percentage of all CE3 aliens can survive our earth environmental conditions , the percentage reaches a mind boggling 80%*. And while we are on the subject, why would any alien want to live here among us? With the bazillions of planets that exist, there may be a very few aliens who might be wish to live here, but it seems to me that the majority that are here probably stay in their secret bases or mother ships. The only reason that any might live in one of our population centers is for surveillance and espionage. That is, they are on assignment; i.e. a mission.
In conclusion, I think that the alien-human hybrids and aliens who are naturally human looking could indeed be here functioning in our society as scouts or spies. I do not believe for a second in shapeshifters. Invisible aliens or aliens telepathically projecting a human image to the people around them are only a very small likelihood, and probably not worth further consideration.
*From my book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come”, 2011.
**For a list of these encounters, see my spreadsheet at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aj0F2i1zgohJdEVzNko2YWswUnVTRS0yUDF6OURDalE&hl=en#gid=0
*** http://www.ufoinfo.com/humanoid/index.shtml
Friday, May 4, 2012
Tuesday, April 17, 2012
VISIBLE UFOS--STEALTH MODE MISTAKES OR SOMETHING ELSE? by Charles Tromblee
visible ufos—stealth mode mistakes or something else? © April, 2012
When the Civil War started, many generals were ineffective because they just could not adjust to the large numbers of casualties in the battles. Lincoln stated that they could not handle the arithmetic. After WWII, some people could not comprehend or believe that the holocaust occurred due to its pure evil and huge numbers of murders. Then we come to UFO abductions. I personally cannot adjust to the huge numbers of abductions that may be occurring, not only because it is a silent and invisible process, but because the estimate of 2% of the population is abductees that emerged from Hopkins’ and Jacobs’ research is just mind boggling. I, too, cannot handle the arithmetic. Even if these high numbers have to be significantly scaled back, say, by 80% or so, it still results in a lot more UFOs in our skies than the ones we see.
One realization that has slowly overtaken me in the last two years is that there must be many more UFOs here than we realize. My first clue that this might be true is the abduction phenomenon. Professionally done surveys have indicated that the numbers of abductions are staggering. When these abduction numbers are translated to an estimate of how many UFOs it takes to support the phenomenon, we find that the number of overflights of UFOs required greatly exceeds the numbers of visual sightings. How can this seemingly disparate data be reconciled? Read on.
An irritating peripheral question about UFOs is that they have a stealth mode, so why don’t they use it all the time? The late Budd Hopkins recognized this tough question too and had no answer. I do not think the question is IF they have a stealth mode, because there have been way too many sightings that instantaneously vanish, plus there have been many sightings where the stealth mode appeared to be compromised in some way such as an edge view or an occultation of stars in a triangle shape or just a partial see through of the UFO.
Here is some reasoning for you believers. We all agree that UFOs don’t wish to be seen. We all agree that there are several thousand visual sightings per year. We all agree that they have a stealth mode of both visual and radar invisibility. Then the logical question is why are there any sightings at all? The only way to tie all of this into a logical bundle is the following hypothesis: stealth mode is the principal operating mode of all UFOs. Occasionally, the UFO pilot encounters a reason to come out of stealth mode or else he/she/it forgets to turn on the cloaking device, and a visual sighting results. This means that the visuals of UFOs are only a small percentage of all UFOs due to possibly forgetfulness, so that the visual sightings are the exception and not the rule. If sightings are the exception and not the rule, this also means there are thousands more UFOs in our skies than we have ever conceived of. This conclusion is independent of whether one believes in abductions or not. If you buy into this, it means that we are infested with UFOs invisibly flying around in our skies, and we don’t even know about it.
But there could be a more technological reason than simple forgetfulness for why we see visible UFOs. Stealth mode may be the UFO’s preferred mode of operation only under certain “safe” operating conditions. Operating in stealth mode may impose a restriction on the pilot’s ability to gather information about the region surrounding his craft, so if he is operating in a relatively “unsafe” condition, such as very high speed, or high traffic, or complex maneuvering , he/she/it would prefer to not be in stealth mode. My belief is that stealth mode in UFOs is achieved by routing the surrounding electromagnetic energy (light, radar) around the craft so that there is no bouncing of that energy back from the craft, OR the craft’s hull can be made to absorb all electromagnetic energy that hits it (no reflections).* Now if, for example, all incoming light is being diverted around the craft, then what is the pilot going to use to “see” outside the craft? He/she/it would have to have probes or portals (“peepholes”) through the field which gather some outside energy so as to detect the outside world, and these peepholes would give only a restricted view of that world. This theory also inherently implies that there are imperfections (discontinuities) in stealth mode due to allowing for sensors to probe the outside world through the field that diverts the light. That said, we still occasionally see hovering UFOs, and hovering would certainly be a safe operational mode for the UFO. Therefore, the forgetfulness theory still remains feasible because hovering should be a completely safe operating condition during which stealth mode would be very desirable. We can deduce from this that aliens make mistakes just like we do, and sometimes they forget to turn on stealth mode. We can further deduce that stealth mode in UFO flight over earth must be a pilot’s choice, and not an automatic mode of travel for the aliens. That is, the default condition on visibility/invisibility for a UFO is visibility even though most flights require invisibility. Or the explanation could be something else entirely. Perhaps stealth mode is so complex that malfunctions occasionally occur which allow visibility. Or perhaps there is some other operational requirement imposed by stealth mode, such as using up energy that could otherwise be applied to acceleration, so if they have to accelerate fast, then they have to get out of stealth mode first. I don’t know—just speculating.
Getting back to what was claimed earlier—that there could be many, many more overflights of UFOs than we ever imagined. I will attempt to quantify what I’m talking about. Based on the work of Budd Hopkins and Dr. David Jacobs, I have extrapolated their work to estimate that several thousand UFO flights occur over the USA per DAY. (This is discussed in my book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come”, in the chapter “Abductions: Negativity and Pessimism”.) Now compare that figure to my worldwide estimate of roughly 15,000 valid sightings per YEAR over the WORLD and you can see that there is a BIG discrepancy. If you take the numbers from that chapter of my book, you can calculate that good visual UFO sightings constitute only about 0.029% of the overflights of UFOs across the USA. The other 99.971% are overflights in stealth mode (and/or super high speed) which we never see. Putting this another way, only one UFO flight in 3448 flights has a pilot who forgets to turn on stealth mode, and this means that for every good sighting, then there are 3448 invisible non-sightings. Yikes! This small number of visuals certainly puts the forgetfulness theory into the realm of human possibility. Who knows? If a human could forget to do something that is routine and simple one out of 3500 times, then maybe a humanoid could forget to turn on his cloaking device too. I further believe that our government knows these numbers as well, and feels helpless and hopeless about it. They are effete in the face of all of this.
*Notice that I have speculated that the UFO can either divert electromagnetic energy around itself or absorb it. These are two separate modes of invisibility. Radar invisibility could work with either of these two methods, whereas sight invisibility would have to work with the diversion method; otherwise the UFO might appear as a black object. I emphasize the word “might” because I could not find a clear explanation of this, and yes, I know a little about blackbodies and black holes and the information available about them and their invisibility.
When the Civil War started, many generals were ineffective because they just could not adjust to the large numbers of casualties in the battles. Lincoln stated that they could not handle the arithmetic. After WWII, some people could not comprehend or believe that the holocaust occurred due to its pure evil and huge numbers of murders. Then we come to UFO abductions. I personally cannot adjust to the huge numbers of abductions that may be occurring, not only because it is a silent and invisible process, but because the estimate of 2% of the population is abductees that emerged from Hopkins’ and Jacobs’ research is just mind boggling. I, too, cannot handle the arithmetic. Even if these high numbers have to be significantly scaled back, say, by 80% or so, it still results in a lot more UFOs in our skies than the ones we see.
One realization that has slowly overtaken me in the last two years is that there must be many more UFOs here than we realize. My first clue that this might be true is the abduction phenomenon. Professionally done surveys have indicated that the numbers of abductions are staggering. When these abduction numbers are translated to an estimate of how many UFOs it takes to support the phenomenon, we find that the number of overflights of UFOs required greatly exceeds the numbers of visual sightings. How can this seemingly disparate data be reconciled? Read on.
An irritating peripheral question about UFOs is that they have a stealth mode, so why don’t they use it all the time? The late Budd Hopkins recognized this tough question too and had no answer. I do not think the question is IF they have a stealth mode, because there have been way too many sightings that instantaneously vanish, plus there have been many sightings where the stealth mode appeared to be compromised in some way such as an edge view or an occultation of stars in a triangle shape or just a partial see through of the UFO.
Here is some reasoning for you believers. We all agree that UFOs don’t wish to be seen. We all agree that there are several thousand visual sightings per year. We all agree that they have a stealth mode of both visual and radar invisibility. Then the logical question is why are there any sightings at all? The only way to tie all of this into a logical bundle is the following hypothesis: stealth mode is the principal operating mode of all UFOs. Occasionally, the UFO pilot encounters a reason to come out of stealth mode or else he/she/it forgets to turn on the cloaking device, and a visual sighting results. This means that the visuals of UFOs are only a small percentage of all UFOs due to possibly forgetfulness, so that the visual sightings are the exception and not the rule. If sightings are the exception and not the rule, this also means there are thousands more UFOs in our skies than we have ever conceived of. This conclusion is independent of whether one believes in abductions or not. If you buy into this, it means that we are infested with UFOs invisibly flying around in our skies, and we don’t even know about it.
But there could be a more technological reason than simple forgetfulness for why we see visible UFOs. Stealth mode may be the UFO’s preferred mode of operation only under certain “safe” operating conditions. Operating in stealth mode may impose a restriction on the pilot’s ability to gather information about the region surrounding his craft, so if he is operating in a relatively “unsafe” condition, such as very high speed, or high traffic, or complex maneuvering , he/she/it would prefer to not be in stealth mode. My belief is that stealth mode in UFOs is achieved by routing the surrounding electromagnetic energy (light, radar) around the craft so that there is no bouncing of that energy back from the craft, OR the craft’s hull can be made to absorb all electromagnetic energy that hits it (no reflections).* Now if, for example, all incoming light is being diverted around the craft, then what is the pilot going to use to “see” outside the craft? He/she/it would have to have probes or portals (“peepholes”) through the field which gather some outside energy so as to detect the outside world, and these peepholes would give only a restricted view of that world. This theory also inherently implies that there are imperfections (discontinuities) in stealth mode due to allowing for sensors to probe the outside world through the field that diverts the light. That said, we still occasionally see hovering UFOs, and hovering would certainly be a safe operational mode for the UFO. Therefore, the forgetfulness theory still remains feasible because hovering should be a completely safe operating condition during which stealth mode would be very desirable. We can deduce from this that aliens make mistakes just like we do, and sometimes they forget to turn on stealth mode. We can further deduce that stealth mode in UFO flight over earth must be a pilot’s choice, and not an automatic mode of travel for the aliens. That is, the default condition on visibility/invisibility for a UFO is visibility even though most flights require invisibility. Or the explanation could be something else entirely. Perhaps stealth mode is so complex that malfunctions occasionally occur which allow visibility. Or perhaps there is some other operational requirement imposed by stealth mode, such as using up energy that could otherwise be applied to acceleration, so if they have to accelerate fast, then they have to get out of stealth mode first. I don’t know—just speculating.
Getting back to what was claimed earlier—that there could be many, many more overflights of UFOs than we ever imagined. I will attempt to quantify what I’m talking about. Based on the work of Budd Hopkins and Dr. David Jacobs, I have extrapolated their work to estimate that several thousand UFO flights occur over the USA per DAY. (This is discussed in my book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come”, in the chapter “Abductions: Negativity and Pessimism”.) Now compare that figure to my worldwide estimate of roughly 15,000 valid sightings per YEAR over the WORLD and you can see that there is a BIG discrepancy. If you take the numbers from that chapter of my book, you can calculate that good visual UFO sightings constitute only about 0.029% of the overflights of UFOs across the USA. The other 99.971% are overflights in stealth mode (and/or super high speed) which we never see. Putting this another way, only one UFO flight in 3448 flights has a pilot who forgets to turn on stealth mode, and this means that for every good sighting, then there are 3448 invisible non-sightings. Yikes! This small number of visuals certainly puts the forgetfulness theory into the realm of human possibility. Who knows? If a human could forget to do something that is routine and simple one out of 3500 times, then maybe a humanoid could forget to turn on his cloaking device too. I further believe that our government knows these numbers as well, and feels helpless and hopeless about it. They are effete in the face of all of this.
*Notice that I have speculated that the UFO can either divert electromagnetic energy around itself or absorb it. These are two separate modes of invisibility. Radar invisibility could work with either of these two methods, whereas sight invisibility would have to work with the diversion method; otherwise the UFO might appear as a black object. I emphasize the word “might” because I could not find a clear explanation of this, and yes, I know a little about blackbodies and black holes and the information available about them and their invisibility.
Wednesday, April 4, 2012
ALIEN SPECIES ESTIMATE by Charles Tromblee
Alien Species Estimate ©
I follow a UFO blog that is quite good, and I like to read the comments from fellow readers of that blog. The motivation to write this article came because of a recent blog comment that bothered me. It bothered me because I have done research on this very item for which this person is announcing his skepticism. Here is the comment: “The entire Disclosure/Exopolitics thing is rife with people making all sorts of wild assertions (57 species of aliens, dontcha know!) breeding even wilder assertions.”
First of all, I don’t have a problem with the Exopolitics part of his remark. Exopolitics puts the cart before the horse because it deals with politically interfacing with our alien visitors. How about getting them to publicly come forward in the first place, after which we can think about playing our politics with them? Exopolitics does make wild assertions which are not data driven, and some of them appear to have been plagiarized from the work of non-Exopolitics ufologists. Unfortunately, I am embarrassed to admit that my own data driven research has compelled me to conclude that a couple of Exopolitics’ major tenets about aliens might be true. Rather than critique the Exopolitics movement any further, what I want to write about is that “57 species of aliens” remark.
A couple of things that have always bugged me about UFOs are the question of the number of alien species visiting earth and the large variety of craft shapes. Regarding craft shape, if there is only a couple of species visiting here, it is illogical to think that all those different reported craft shapes and sizes belong to just them. In fact, it is so illogical that it makes one actually disbelieve that UFOs are real. Furthermore, UFO encounters cause inconsistent trace evidence, such as some or no electrical effects, some or no magnetized metals, some or no radioactivity, and some or no medical effects. But it does not take a genius to figure out that if the number of visiting species is large, then one could logically expect that the number of observed craft shapes and sizes and will be large also, as well as those craft having a varying effect on the environment. After all, the cars designed by Detroit look different from the cars designed by Porsche or Fiat as would the craft designs from one planet to the next. I have seen lots of estimates on the number of species visiting earth, ranging from 2 or 6 up to the 160s or so. The number I have seen most commonly is about 60. What I have never seen is how any of these separate numbers were derived, so I set out to derive my own number. It is also interesting to note that the number of alleged species has increased steadily over the years, from 2 described in the Majestic document, SOM1-1, in 1954, to six some years later, and now it is popularly about five dozen.
My own number was not derived simply by taking an average of all of the extant numbers that are out there in UFO literature. What was done is to find books by the most revered of old fashioned ufologists, such as Jacques Vallee, Gordon Creighton, Richard Hall, Timothy Good, and Coral Lorenzen and filter the Close Encounters of the 3rd Kind (CE3) that are described in their books. These guys were the pillars of nuts and bolts ufology in their day, and the case studies in the books that I used were investigated much more thoroughly than case studies of today. You can see that when you compare their case studies with those of the present day, because the CE3 sighting reports of today usually don’t get investigated to any depth; consequently, there is little quantitative data in them. Before I studied these books, I established filtering criteria to objectively reject bad data, i.e. irrelevant reports and some untrustworthy reports. Among these criteria were that a UFO had to be in close proximity to the alien sighting, no sightings from children would be used, and no hypnotic recovery cases would be accepted. These criteria are more fully explained in my book, “Alien Radix”. I collected almost 300 good CE3 case studies out of maybe a thousand total, put them into a spreadsheet, and then inspected them for obviously different alien species. Some of the choices were obvious, such as a 3 eyed alien versus a one eyed alien, or an alien needing a breathing helmet versus one walking around helmet free, or a 7 foot alien versus a 3 foot alien. I counted 48 different alien species in these 300 cases. I tried to make this investigation as scientifically objective as I could, and you can see the result. It does not depend on some questionable pundit’s opinion on the matter for it was derived straight from raw case studies with no one’s intervening opinion on the matter. It is what it is. I will admit that it does depend on the truthfulness/accuracy of the original reports which goes without saying because that is the way of all reported phenomena.
There were many case studies that I wanted to use but could not due to may filtering criteria. Some of the kids’ reports fell into this category. After all, kids spend a lot more of their time outdoors than adults do, and that is where the sightings are. There were a couple that I definitely did not want to use but had to, also due to my filtering criteria. For example, there was a case where some guy in Minnesota claimed to have witnessed some beer can shaped and sized robot aliens who emerged from a UFO that was shaped like a V2 rocket. I really hated to include that case at all. This shows that my filtering criteria, which were chosen to increase the veracity of the selected cases, still allowed some stories from nuts and liars (notice that I call hoaxers “liars” for that is what they are) to sneak through. I prefer to think that I rejected more good case studies (true negatives) than I accepted bad ones (false positives.)
I follow a UFO blog that is quite good, and I like to read the comments from fellow readers of that blog. The motivation to write this article came because of a recent blog comment that bothered me. It bothered me because I have done research on this very item for which this person is announcing his skepticism. Here is the comment: “The entire Disclosure/Exopolitics thing is rife with people making all sorts of wild assertions (57 species of aliens, dontcha know!) breeding even wilder assertions.”
First of all, I don’t have a problem with the Exopolitics part of his remark. Exopolitics puts the cart before the horse because it deals with politically interfacing with our alien visitors. How about getting them to publicly come forward in the first place, after which we can think about playing our politics with them? Exopolitics does make wild assertions which are not data driven, and some of them appear to have been plagiarized from the work of non-Exopolitics ufologists. Unfortunately, I am embarrassed to admit that my own data driven research has compelled me to conclude that a couple of Exopolitics’ major tenets about aliens might be true. Rather than critique the Exopolitics movement any further, what I want to write about is that “57 species of aliens” remark.
A couple of things that have always bugged me about UFOs are the question of the number of alien species visiting earth and the large variety of craft shapes. Regarding craft shape, if there is only a couple of species visiting here, it is illogical to think that all those different reported craft shapes and sizes belong to just them. In fact, it is so illogical that it makes one actually disbelieve that UFOs are real. Furthermore, UFO encounters cause inconsistent trace evidence, such as some or no electrical effects, some or no magnetized metals, some or no radioactivity, and some or no medical effects. But it does not take a genius to figure out that if the number of visiting species is large, then one could logically expect that the number of observed craft shapes and sizes and will be large also, as well as those craft having a varying effect on the environment. After all, the cars designed by Detroit look different from the cars designed by Porsche or Fiat as would the craft designs from one planet to the next. I have seen lots of estimates on the number of species visiting earth, ranging from 2 or 6 up to the 160s or so. The number I have seen most commonly is about 60. What I have never seen is how any of these separate numbers were derived, so I set out to derive my own number. It is also interesting to note that the number of alleged species has increased steadily over the years, from 2 described in the Majestic document, SOM1-1, in 1954, to six some years later, and now it is popularly about five dozen.
My own number was not derived simply by taking an average of all of the extant numbers that are out there in UFO literature. What was done is to find books by the most revered of old fashioned ufologists, such as Jacques Vallee, Gordon Creighton, Richard Hall, Timothy Good, and Coral Lorenzen and filter the Close Encounters of the 3rd Kind (CE3) that are described in their books. These guys were the pillars of nuts and bolts ufology in their day, and the case studies in the books that I used were investigated much more thoroughly than case studies of today. You can see that when you compare their case studies with those of the present day, because the CE3 sighting reports of today usually don’t get investigated to any depth; consequently, there is little quantitative data in them. Before I studied these books, I established filtering criteria to objectively reject bad data, i.e. irrelevant reports and some untrustworthy reports. Among these criteria were that a UFO had to be in close proximity to the alien sighting, no sightings from children would be used, and no hypnotic recovery cases would be accepted. These criteria are more fully explained in my book, “Alien Radix”. I collected almost 300 good CE3 case studies out of maybe a thousand total, put them into a spreadsheet, and then inspected them for obviously different alien species. Some of the choices were obvious, such as a 3 eyed alien versus a one eyed alien, or an alien needing a breathing helmet versus one walking around helmet free, or a 7 foot alien versus a 3 foot alien. I counted 48 different alien species in these 300 cases. I tried to make this investigation as scientifically objective as I could, and you can see the result. It does not depend on some questionable pundit’s opinion on the matter for it was derived straight from raw case studies with no one’s intervening opinion on the matter. It is what it is. I will admit that it does depend on the truthfulness/accuracy of the original reports which goes without saying because that is the way of all reported phenomena.
There were many case studies that I wanted to use but could not due to may filtering criteria. Some of the kids’ reports fell into this category. After all, kids spend a lot more of their time outdoors than adults do, and that is where the sightings are. There were a couple that I definitely did not want to use but had to, also due to my filtering criteria. For example, there was a case where some guy in Minnesota claimed to have witnessed some beer can shaped and sized robot aliens who emerged from a UFO that was shaped like a V2 rocket. I really hated to include that case at all. This shows that my filtering criteria, which were chosen to increase the veracity of the selected cases, still allowed some stories from nuts and liars (notice that I call hoaxers “liars” for that is what they are) to sneak through. I prefer to think that I rejected more good case studies (true negatives) than I accepted bad ones (false positives.)
Friday, March 9, 2012
PHOENIX LIGHTS RENDEZVOUS by Charles Tromblee
PHOENIX LIGHTS RENDEZVOUS March 9, 2012
In this writeup, I will speculate about a fantastic sighting covered in my book, Alien Radix. My book’s coverage was simply that the sighting occurred, gives a few salient facts about the sighting, and then uses it as a vehicle to introduce my theory about the probable causes of how and why UFOs frequently vanish right before the observer’s eyes. I thought that the Phoenix Lights part of the story woud have generated some buzz, but nothing happened and this has disappointed me. This time the story will be carried to a more speculative conclusion, completely unsupported by any evidence whatsoever, just like a UFO nut job would do. I am personally acquainted with the experiencers in this story for 6 years, and I am 100% convinced that this sighting actually did occur.
Mr. and Mrs. X were on their front porch in Chino Valley, Arizona around March, 1997. It was spring, early evening, getting dark, and a clear sky. Their porch faced west. The neighborhood was sparsely settled, with houses every few acres. Suddenly above their house right in front of them a large UFO appeared. It was a huge, oval shaped object which suddenly was just there. It was totally silent and its sudden appearance was also silent. It was black in color, but the evening sky still was light enough to allow viewing it as a structured object, but it was too dark out to see if it had rivets or seams. They viewed it for about 2 minutes. Mr. X said, “It was three times bigger than a blimp.” Mr. X, currently age 61, has flown on a blimp, so he is familiar with how large they can be. When most people compare something to a blimp, they usually mean the Goodyear blimp even though many blimps are much smaller. The Goodyear blimp is 192 feet long, so 3 times bigger could mean almost 600 feet. It had two rows of lights or windows one above the other of about 15-20 windows per row. In addition, it had lights on the bottom. They could not make a more quantitative estimate of its dimensions, height, or distance. They stared at the hovering object for about 2 minutes after which it disappeared instantly.
They did not report their sighting. Mr. and Mrs. X, however, claimed that it was on the news the next day from Tucson to back east, so this meant that they had no need to report their sighting because so many others already had. However, the only Chino Valley sighting with wide news coverage was the Phoenix Lights sighting in 1997 (not the alleged flares, but the boomerang shape that occurred a few hours before the flares.) I collected this story in a personal interview with Mr. and Mrs. X in 2009. Their initial recollection of when it occurred was about fall of ’93 or ’95. They could not remember better than that. After the interview, I went home and tried to find if there ever was a nationally broadcast UFO sighting in which Chino Valley was included. I searched to see if someone else reported this sighting, and no reference was found. The only one involving Chino was the Phoenix Lights incident which reported the boomerang object. This occurred in the spring of ’97. I re-contacted Mr. and Mrs. X to tell them my findings and ask for more exact date research. She remembered that they had been in this house for only a few months starting a few months before and they had just obtained their new dog which was with them. She had looked up her paperwork for both the house and dog. This research puts the sighting into March of 1997. No further refinement is possible to narrow the date to 3/13/97, the date of the Phoenix Lights.
It is possible that their sighting is totally independent of the Phoenix Lights which may have occurred within a few days of their own (meaning their memories incorrectly combined their sighting with the news of the Phoenix Lights) OR their sighting actually occurred on March 13, 1997, and is a previously unknown part of the Phoenix Lights famous sighting. Chino Valley was the second northernmost town in AZ that reported the boomerang object (Paulden being the farthest north, 10 miles farther), but no one has ever reported a huge oval UFO as part of that famous sighting. It is a mystery.
Either way, their sighting is a completely unknown one to this time.
Believe me when I say that this event, when coupled with the Phoenix Lights event of the same evening, was probably one of the most significant alien events of our whole modern UFO history. Here is a double decker 500-600’ disc or ellipsoid shaped craft which undoubtedly had a rendezvous with the mile wide chevron ufo. The rendezvous point was somewhere in the northern half of Arizona.
The Phoenix Lights event was really two events as you all probably know. There is the early evening sighting of the big chevron as it leisurely flew at low altitude from Paulden, AZ through Chino, Prescott, Phoenix, and so forth. This was followed about two hours later by some flares in the sky over Phoenix, allegedly as part of a military exercise. Many believe that the flares were deployed to provide a cover story to the fantastic chevron sighting. If so, it worked like a charm because the media swallowed it hook, line and sinker as they always do when confronted with government obfuscation. As far as I know, there is only one video of the chevron.
That this was a meeting of some importance in the alien world is evidenced by the huge sizes of the crafts. The radical design differences of the two craft suggest that at least two different alien races were involved. Using the ultra crude “alien estimator” in my book, I estimated that the disc held about 205 aliens and the chevron had 750 occupants. Huge mothership size UFO sightings are quite rare, and even the several hundred foot discs are pretty uncommon. Yet here are one of each sighted in the same evening over a small Arizona town.
What was this alien summit conference about? For sure, it must have been about earth and/or its dominant life form (that’s us). Were they deciding what to do with the planet? Were they worried about us? Were they dividing up our resources, including us, among themselves? Were they meeting to decide upon revealing themselves to us? Were they voting to include us in the Galactic Federation? We will never know. One last bit of speculation: this same craft may have visited Austin, Texas eleven years previously as you will see in the footnote below.*
*A few months after I interviewed Mr & Mrs X, I stumbled across the following sighting at the “UFO Chronicles” website and sent it to Mr & Mrs X. They both agreed it sounded like their sighting. Enjoy. By the way, I think it is kind of strange that this unreported sighting talks about kooks as I do in the paragraphs above, and also mentions the word “blimp” as well.
“"Reader Submitted Report
[Unedited]
4-20-10 This is an old sighting I had when I lived in Austin in 1986. Moreover, its so incredible that if you were telling me I may not want to believe it either, but it has made such an impression in my belief system that I want to share some of it. Actually it is 2 odd sightings with one being a huge solid vessel several people saw in the bright almost cloudless after sky. I saw it from arrival to departure and only now after after seeing tons of vids on the net can I saw my sighting was truly awe inspiring.
This thing instantly, and I mean INSTANTLY appeared in front of me as I was looking out west from N. Austin. It stayed completely motionless just like it was a big rock sitting on a ledge. It was positioned above a tree (only the craft was several hundred feet away and higher up just at the lowest cloud level. I used the tree as a benchmark to see if this thing was swaying with the wind and it did not move at all. No noise either and Ive seen blimps at this height and you can still hear the engine motor. No wings, not props, no jets, no windows, no lights, no nothing that was recognizable. Well it did remind me of a submarine, about the same color too, dark grey-blue-charcoal shiny and reflecting the orange sun off its western edge.
I took no pics or vids and I never spoke to the other people in the parking lot around me about this. I'm just now getting financially able to stop working and attempt some type of investigation on this.
There was a military airbase in S. Austin, Berstrom AFB (now the Austin Int. Airport) I called the AFB back at the time but they said nothing of theirs was in the air at that time.
I must restate how significant this sighting was. No doubt there was a huge dark object, like a flattened-out jellybean. When it left, well it went just like you have heard so many times now. It just was gone in the blink of an eye, only I know I didn't blink and back then I totally could not accept this type of "flight". Only recently, in the last few years have I heard of other sightings describing this kind of flight. I only knew of star trek and star wars SFX and it was not like that at all, way less dramatic.
I did not report it as I told my most trusting co-worker the next day and he thought I was seeing things. I never told anyone until 2 years ago I told my parents, and they only believed me when my wife admitted she saw it too. Well thats it. Hope you found this interesting and please don't steer any kooks my way. I went to a MUFON meeting and I know this subject brings out the wackos. Sad but true. Thanks for your website I'll have a look over it now."
Mrs X’s response to this sighting is as follows:
Hi chuck,
Wow I read it to (husband’s name.). It does sound like what we saw except for windows. What we saw was dark same shape and came and went just like he described. It is strange how people are afraid to say anything or believe it. I think most people do believe but don't want to look stupid. Hope you are having a good week. Let XXXX know I will be around this weekend and will call.
Take care.
In this writeup, I will speculate about a fantastic sighting covered in my book, Alien Radix. My book’s coverage was simply that the sighting occurred, gives a few salient facts about the sighting, and then uses it as a vehicle to introduce my theory about the probable causes of how and why UFOs frequently vanish right before the observer’s eyes. I thought that the Phoenix Lights part of the story woud have generated some buzz, but nothing happened and this has disappointed me. This time the story will be carried to a more speculative conclusion, completely unsupported by any evidence whatsoever, just like a UFO nut job would do. I am personally acquainted with the experiencers in this story for 6 years, and I am 100% convinced that this sighting actually did occur.
Mr. and Mrs. X were on their front porch in Chino Valley, Arizona around March, 1997. It was spring, early evening, getting dark, and a clear sky. Their porch faced west. The neighborhood was sparsely settled, with houses every few acres. Suddenly above their house right in front of them a large UFO appeared. It was a huge, oval shaped object which suddenly was just there. It was totally silent and its sudden appearance was also silent. It was black in color, but the evening sky still was light enough to allow viewing it as a structured object, but it was too dark out to see if it had rivets or seams. They viewed it for about 2 minutes. Mr. X said, “It was three times bigger than a blimp.” Mr. X, currently age 61, has flown on a blimp, so he is familiar with how large they can be. When most people compare something to a blimp, they usually mean the Goodyear blimp even though many blimps are much smaller. The Goodyear blimp is 192 feet long, so 3 times bigger could mean almost 600 feet. It had two rows of lights or windows one above the other of about 15-20 windows per row. In addition, it had lights on the bottom. They could not make a more quantitative estimate of its dimensions, height, or distance. They stared at the hovering object for about 2 minutes after which it disappeared instantly.
They did not report their sighting. Mr. and Mrs. X, however, claimed that it was on the news the next day from Tucson to back east, so this meant that they had no need to report their sighting because so many others already had. However, the only Chino Valley sighting with wide news coverage was the Phoenix Lights sighting in 1997 (not the alleged flares, but the boomerang shape that occurred a few hours before the flares.) I collected this story in a personal interview with Mr. and Mrs. X in 2009. Their initial recollection of when it occurred was about fall of ’93 or ’95. They could not remember better than that. After the interview, I went home and tried to find if there ever was a nationally broadcast UFO sighting in which Chino Valley was included. I searched to see if someone else reported this sighting, and no reference was found. The only one involving Chino was the Phoenix Lights incident which reported the boomerang object. This occurred in the spring of ’97. I re-contacted Mr. and Mrs. X to tell them my findings and ask for more exact date research. She remembered that they had been in this house for only a few months starting a few months before and they had just obtained their new dog which was with them. She had looked up her paperwork for both the house and dog. This research puts the sighting into March of 1997. No further refinement is possible to narrow the date to 3/13/97, the date of the Phoenix Lights.
It is possible that their sighting is totally independent of the Phoenix Lights which may have occurred within a few days of their own (meaning their memories incorrectly combined their sighting with the news of the Phoenix Lights) OR their sighting actually occurred on March 13, 1997, and is a previously unknown part of the Phoenix Lights famous sighting. Chino Valley was the second northernmost town in AZ that reported the boomerang object (Paulden being the farthest north, 10 miles farther), but no one has ever reported a huge oval UFO as part of that famous sighting. It is a mystery.
Either way, their sighting is a completely unknown one to this time.
Believe me when I say that this event, when coupled with the Phoenix Lights event of the same evening, was probably one of the most significant alien events of our whole modern UFO history. Here is a double decker 500-600’ disc or ellipsoid shaped craft which undoubtedly had a rendezvous with the mile wide chevron ufo. The rendezvous point was somewhere in the northern half of Arizona.
The Phoenix Lights event was really two events as you all probably know. There is the early evening sighting of the big chevron as it leisurely flew at low altitude from Paulden, AZ through Chino, Prescott, Phoenix, and so forth. This was followed about two hours later by some flares in the sky over Phoenix, allegedly as part of a military exercise. Many believe that the flares were deployed to provide a cover story to the fantastic chevron sighting. If so, it worked like a charm because the media swallowed it hook, line and sinker as they always do when confronted with government obfuscation. As far as I know, there is only one video of the chevron.
That this was a meeting of some importance in the alien world is evidenced by the huge sizes of the crafts. The radical design differences of the two craft suggest that at least two different alien races were involved. Using the ultra crude “alien estimator” in my book, I estimated that the disc held about 205 aliens and the chevron had 750 occupants. Huge mothership size UFO sightings are quite rare, and even the several hundred foot discs are pretty uncommon. Yet here are one of each sighted in the same evening over a small Arizona town.
What was this alien summit conference about? For sure, it must have been about earth and/or its dominant life form (that’s us). Were they deciding what to do with the planet? Were they worried about us? Were they dividing up our resources, including us, among themselves? Were they meeting to decide upon revealing themselves to us? Were they voting to include us in the Galactic Federation? We will never know. One last bit of speculation: this same craft may have visited Austin, Texas eleven years previously as you will see in the footnote below.*
*A few months after I interviewed Mr & Mrs X, I stumbled across the following sighting at the “UFO Chronicles” website and sent it to Mr & Mrs X. They both agreed it sounded like their sighting. Enjoy. By the way, I think it is kind of strange that this unreported sighting talks about kooks as I do in the paragraphs above, and also mentions the word “blimp” as well.
“"Reader Submitted Report
[Unedited]
4-20-10 This is an old sighting I had when I lived in Austin in 1986. Moreover, its so incredible that if you were telling me I may not want to believe it either, but it has made such an impression in my belief system that I want to share some of it. Actually it is 2 odd sightings with one being a huge solid vessel several people saw in the bright almost cloudless after sky. I saw it from arrival to departure and only now after after seeing tons of vids on the net can I saw my sighting was truly awe inspiring.
This thing instantly, and I mean INSTANTLY appeared in front of me as I was looking out west from N. Austin. It stayed completely motionless just like it was a big rock sitting on a ledge. It was positioned above a tree (only the craft was several hundred feet away and higher up just at the lowest cloud level. I used the tree as a benchmark to see if this thing was swaying with the wind and it did not move at all. No noise either and Ive seen blimps at this height and you can still hear the engine motor. No wings, not props, no jets, no windows, no lights, no nothing that was recognizable. Well it did remind me of a submarine, about the same color too, dark grey-blue-charcoal shiny and reflecting the orange sun off its western edge.
I took no pics or vids and I never spoke to the other people in the parking lot around me about this. I'm just now getting financially able to stop working and attempt some type of investigation on this.
There was a military airbase in S. Austin, Berstrom AFB (now the Austin Int. Airport) I called the AFB back at the time but they said nothing of theirs was in the air at that time.
I must restate how significant this sighting was. No doubt there was a huge dark object, like a flattened-out jellybean. When it left, well it went just like you have heard so many times now. It just was gone in the blink of an eye, only I know I didn't blink and back then I totally could not accept this type of "flight". Only recently, in the last few years have I heard of other sightings describing this kind of flight. I only knew of star trek and star wars SFX and it was not like that at all, way less dramatic.
I did not report it as I told my most trusting co-worker the next day and he thought I was seeing things. I never told anyone until 2 years ago I told my parents, and they only believed me when my wife admitted she saw it too. Well thats it. Hope you found this interesting and please don't steer any kooks my way. I went to a MUFON meeting and I know this subject brings out the wackos. Sad but true. Thanks for your website I'll have a look over it now."
Mrs X’s response to this sighting is as follows:
Hi chuck,
Wow I read it to (husband’s name.). It does sound like what we saw except for windows. What we saw was dark same shape and came and went just like he described. It is strange how people are afraid to say anything or believe it. I think most people do believe but don't want to look stupid. Hope you are having a good week. Let XXXX know I will be around this weekend and will call.
Take care.
ALIEN ERROR by Charles Tromblee
ALIEN ERROR 3/9/12
When I was a young kid and before UFOs were even on my radar, I read A.E. van Vogt’s “Voyage of the Space Beagle” , which is a 1950 SciFi novel about 4 alien encounters. Because it was so long ago, I have forgotten 90% of its content, but one thing about the book that I do remember is that the humans involved in at least one of these alien encounters initially were not sure that an alien could make a mistake. Apparently, the concept of alien life was so far out there at the time that some people’s perception of an alien, with its high tech and high IQ, was that maybe, just maybe, they were mentally perfect.
Nowadays, we do not dwell on alien mistakes or intelligence for that matter very often if at all. Most of our UFO thoughts are on the human side of the equation, such as how to achieve Disclosure, government secrets, how can the media continue to do such a bad job, who said what about a rumored crash or significant encounter, etc. Most of the rest of our UFO thinking is about the crafts themselves, and not what is in them.
Aliens can and do make mistakes. Visual sightings occur quite often despite the known fact that they have stealth invisibility capability. Ditto for radar “sightings.” Therefore, my educated guess is that sightings must be mistakes, given that UFOs continue to operate in stealth. How about those UFO crashes? We probably did not shoot all of them down, so the remainder have to be equipment malfunctions (sort of a mistake) or operator error (a definite mistake.)
My opinion about their mistakes is that they make fewer of them than we do. Why is that? I think that they are more intelligent than we are. Those big brains and their high tech are highly suggestive of that. Just look at what is going on in Washington DC to confirm that we are not the sharpest knives in the drawer. Did you know that the human brain has shrunk in volume by 10% over the last 10,000 years? Also assisting in error mitigation is their high tech. I assume that they have double or triple redundancy backup systems and other safeguards to help override a bad decision or malfunction. I also assume that the reliability of their technology is higher than ours.
We should be glad that they make mistakes because a mistake of the right type at the right place and time will cause Disclosure. You know that Talking Heads song, “Heaven Is a Place Where Nothing Ever Happens”? Well, UFOs seems to be a place where nothing ever happens. It has been those UFO mistakes that have moved the whole issue along at its snail’s pace since the beginning.
When I was a young kid and before UFOs were even on my radar, I read A.E. van Vogt’s “Voyage of the Space Beagle” , which is a 1950 SciFi novel about 4 alien encounters. Because it was so long ago, I have forgotten 90% of its content, but one thing about the book that I do remember is that the humans involved in at least one of these alien encounters initially were not sure that an alien could make a mistake. Apparently, the concept of alien life was so far out there at the time that some people’s perception of an alien, with its high tech and high IQ, was that maybe, just maybe, they were mentally perfect.
Nowadays, we do not dwell on alien mistakes or intelligence for that matter very often if at all. Most of our UFO thoughts are on the human side of the equation, such as how to achieve Disclosure, government secrets, how can the media continue to do such a bad job, who said what about a rumored crash or significant encounter, etc. Most of the rest of our UFO thinking is about the crafts themselves, and not what is in them.
Aliens can and do make mistakes. Visual sightings occur quite often despite the known fact that they have stealth invisibility capability. Ditto for radar “sightings.” Therefore, my educated guess is that sightings must be mistakes, given that UFOs continue to operate in stealth. How about those UFO crashes? We probably did not shoot all of them down, so the remainder have to be equipment malfunctions (sort of a mistake) or operator error (a definite mistake.)
My opinion about their mistakes is that they make fewer of them than we do. Why is that? I think that they are more intelligent than we are. Those big brains and their high tech are highly suggestive of that. Just look at what is going on in Washington DC to confirm that we are not the sharpest knives in the drawer. Did you know that the human brain has shrunk in volume by 10% over the last 10,000 years? Also assisting in error mitigation is their high tech. I assume that they have double or triple redundancy backup systems and other safeguards to help override a bad decision or malfunction. I also assume that the reliability of their technology is higher than ours.
We should be glad that they make mistakes because a mistake of the right type at the right place and time will cause Disclosure. You know that Talking Heads song, “Heaven Is a Place Where Nothing Ever Happens”? Well, UFOs seems to be a place where nothing ever happens. It has been those UFO mistakes that have moved the whole issue along at its snail’s pace since the beginning.
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
THE LEVELS OF UFO BELIEF by Charles Tromblee
The Levels of UFO Belief ©
My preference when writing about UFOs is to try to focus on the alien beings and their crafts as quantitatively as possible. Ufologists who specialize in Disclosure rarely present data that further illuminates any alien facts, especially quantitative facts; instead their focus is to get the government to admit what it knows, which is considerable. It could be that this approach, if ever successful, would result in faster progress than the direct approach of having laymen looking at the craft and close encounter data for trends and new revelations.
This article will focus solely on humanity’s mental steps on dealing with the UFO phenomenon, so unfortunately it will reveal nothing about our alien visitors.
As people become educated on the UFO phenomenon, some will advance to various levels of belief and acceptance on the matter. These are my conclusions about my fellow man regarding his approach to UFOs.
THE LEVELS OF UFO BELIEF ARE AS FOLLOWS:
LEVEL 1: AWARE OF THE PHENOMENON: Almost every adult on earth is aware that occasional unidentified objects are seen in our skies. Lots of people never advance out of this level (simple awareness), preferring to believe that all such sightings can be explained using known, earthly explanations. Still another portion of this group is just not interested in the phenomenon. Or they were like me, waiting for someone else or else a great sighting to prove it one way or the other. I was at this level for at least 40 years. Lots of people at this level believe the “explanations” that occasionally are put forth. Sometimes the explanations are prosaic, such as Chinese lanterns, and sometimes their explanations require some fancier beliefs such as top secret test aircraft, NAZI UFOs, or even plasma balls generated by a natural earthly process. Explanations such as these (i.e. non-extraterrestrial) are correct 80-90% of the time. All true UFO skeptics are in this first level. This level also harbors the vocal skeptics who think that they are protecting humanity or the government by stonewalling the UFO phenomenon. These people actually believe in the phenomenon (or are very afraid that it is real), so these fakers actually belong at one of the next levels. Almost everyone at this level believes that there is no government cover-up of UFOs.
LEVEL 2: STRONGLY SUSPECT THAT THE PHENOMENON IS UNEXPLAINABLE BY EARTHLY CAUSES: These people include the ones who say, “All I’m saying is that the phenomenon needs a lot more scientific study.” They are aware of the Extraterrestrial Hypothesis (ETH) and that it is but one of several possible explanations including those of Level 1. I was at this level for about a year once I made the commitment to actually study the issue objectively, and this study forced me to move to the next level. I think at least 70% of humanity falls into the total of Level 1 + level 2. Surprisingly, many UFO experts are in this level. One of my favorite UFO blogs is by such a person, and he does good work too. This is the “safe” level for those who have interest in UFOs to be at because all you are doing at this level is calling for scientific studies to be done, and it shows you have not made the total commitment to believe in alien visitation. They are UFO agnostics. You can probably avoid most public ridicule by being here and hang onto your job as well for it preserves one’s political correctness. For sure, this level also harbors some closet Level 3 people who don’t want to be branded as kooks. Most Level 2 people believe that there is a government UFO cover-up.
LEVEL 3: ACCEPTANCE OF THE ETH: This group has figured out that we are being visited by non-human beings. I am at this level. Some people who have had spectacular or even a very good sighting immediately advance from Level 1 to Level 3 because they know what they saw. People can even regress from this level to a previous level. This level should come with a warning because it is filled with pitfalls which can cause a believer to “go off into left field” and never return. By this I mean that once at this level, the person now might feel compelled to choose among several popular alternatives about the beings who are piloting the crafts, and most of these alternatives are wrong, or so I believe. At this level, you might believe that the beings are native to earth and have been keeping themselves secret from us since recorded history began (yes, I know that such alien beings would not be “extraterrestrial”). You can choose to believe that the beings are sent here by God, and that they are nephilim, or you can take a pure nuts-and-bolts interpretation of the phenomenon. You can also believe that they are simply evolved human time travelers from the future. All UFO nut jobs are at this level. This level should probably be broken up into the separate beliefs categories that prevail: Level 3 Paranormal or Spiritual, Level 3 Nuts and Bolts, Level 3 etc. Not surprisingly, some ufologists are at this level, and even they can succumb to the dangers of being in it as they are gradually seduced by the easy answers (read “easy” to mean “no investigative work required”) of the Level 3 Paranormal or Spiritual. Almost everyone at this level also believes in the government UFO cover-up, although there are some notable exceptions at this level to that belief such as Col. John Alexander and Dr. David Jacobs, abduction researcher.
Because this article can be criticized for trying to put people into slots, let me now now increase the criticism by envisioning a hypothetical UFO symposium where everyone who attends has to wear a name tag with their belief about UFOs coded per this article. My name tag would have my first name and underneath it would say: ”Level 3-Nuts and Bolts-GC”. The “GC” means that I believe there is a government cover-up.
My preference when writing about UFOs is to try to focus on the alien beings and their crafts as quantitatively as possible. Ufologists who specialize in Disclosure rarely present data that further illuminates any alien facts, especially quantitative facts; instead their focus is to get the government to admit what it knows, which is considerable. It could be that this approach, if ever successful, would result in faster progress than the direct approach of having laymen looking at the craft and close encounter data for trends and new revelations.
This article will focus solely on humanity’s mental steps on dealing with the UFO phenomenon, so unfortunately it will reveal nothing about our alien visitors.
As people become educated on the UFO phenomenon, some will advance to various levels of belief and acceptance on the matter. These are my conclusions about my fellow man regarding his approach to UFOs.
THE LEVELS OF UFO BELIEF ARE AS FOLLOWS:
LEVEL 1: AWARE OF THE PHENOMENON: Almost every adult on earth is aware that occasional unidentified objects are seen in our skies. Lots of people never advance out of this level (simple awareness), preferring to believe that all such sightings can be explained using known, earthly explanations. Still another portion of this group is just not interested in the phenomenon. Or they were like me, waiting for someone else or else a great sighting to prove it one way or the other. I was at this level for at least 40 years. Lots of people at this level believe the “explanations” that occasionally are put forth. Sometimes the explanations are prosaic, such as Chinese lanterns, and sometimes their explanations require some fancier beliefs such as top secret test aircraft, NAZI UFOs, or even plasma balls generated by a natural earthly process. Explanations such as these (i.e. non-extraterrestrial) are correct 80-90% of the time. All true UFO skeptics are in this first level. This level also harbors the vocal skeptics who think that they are protecting humanity or the government by stonewalling the UFO phenomenon. These people actually believe in the phenomenon (or are very afraid that it is real), so these fakers actually belong at one of the next levels. Almost everyone at this level believes that there is no government cover-up of UFOs.
LEVEL 2: STRONGLY SUSPECT THAT THE PHENOMENON IS UNEXPLAINABLE BY EARTHLY CAUSES: These people include the ones who say, “All I’m saying is that the phenomenon needs a lot more scientific study.” They are aware of the Extraterrestrial Hypothesis (ETH) and that it is but one of several possible explanations including those of Level 1. I was at this level for about a year once I made the commitment to actually study the issue objectively, and this study forced me to move to the next level. I think at least 70% of humanity falls into the total of Level 1 + level 2. Surprisingly, many UFO experts are in this level. One of my favorite UFO blogs is by such a person, and he does good work too. This is the “safe” level for those who have interest in UFOs to be at because all you are doing at this level is calling for scientific studies to be done, and it shows you have not made the total commitment to believe in alien visitation. They are UFO agnostics. You can probably avoid most public ridicule by being here and hang onto your job as well for it preserves one’s political correctness. For sure, this level also harbors some closet Level 3 people who don’t want to be branded as kooks. Most Level 2 people believe that there is a government UFO cover-up.
LEVEL 3: ACCEPTANCE OF THE ETH: This group has figured out that we are being visited by non-human beings. I am at this level. Some people who have had spectacular or even a very good sighting immediately advance from Level 1 to Level 3 because they know what they saw. People can even regress from this level to a previous level. This level should come with a warning because it is filled with pitfalls which can cause a believer to “go off into left field” and never return. By this I mean that once at this level, the person now might feel compelled to choose among several popular alternatives about the beings who are piloting the crafts, and most of these alternatives are wrong, or so I believe. At this level, you might believe that the beings are native to earth and have been keeping themselves secret from us since recorded history began (yes, I know that such alien beings would not be “extraterrestrial”). You can choose to believe that the beings are sent here by God, and that they are nephilim, or you can take a pure nuts-and-bolts interpretation of the phenomenon. You can also believe that they are simply evolved human time travelers from the future. All UFO nut jobs are at this level. This level should probably be broken up into the separate beliefs categories that prevail: Level 3 Paranormal or Spiritual, Level 3 Nuts and Bolts, Level 3 etc. Not surprisingly, some ufologists are at this level, and even they can succumb to the dangers of being in it as they are gradually seduced by the easy answers (read “easy” to mean “no investigative work required”) of the Level 3 Paranormal or Spiritual. Almost everyone at this level also believes in the government UFO cover-up, although there are some notable exceptions at this level to that belief such as Col. John Alexander and Dr. David Jacobs, abduction researcher.
Because this article can be criticized for trying to put people into slots, let me now now increase the criticism by envisioning a hypothetical UFO symposium where everyone who attends has to wear a name tag with their belief about UFOs coded per this article. My name tag would have my first name and underneath it would say: ”Level 3-Nuts and Bolts-GC”. The “GC” means that I believe there is a government cover-up.
ALIEN CONFLICT, part 2
July 15,2011 ©
Alien Conflict: Earth versus the Aliens
My book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come” has a chapter in it entitled, “Alien Conflict” which is a compilation of reports of alien-on-alien hostilities. This article deals with the other side of the picture, which would be alien-on-human hostilities.
I have read and watched many scifi books and movies over the years and can attest to the large quantities of fiction that have been created to cover the possible alien invasion and takeover of earth. Then it dawned on me, almost startling me, that none of the UFO books that I’ve read have ever covered the scenario of such a thing. Sure there might be a mention of it, but no reasoned out scenario. Of course, there is probably something that has been done that I do not know about, but I have read a lot of these UFO books and there has been nothing about it so far. It is pretty obvious that this is one of those psychological avoidance issues so common in the UFO field. This is a very unpleasant thing to think about and so maybe that is why no one has covered it yet, until now. For sure, our government has generated lots of reports and studies on this very subject because it is their job to look for threats, and this would be a threat of the highest priority. But in the public domain, there is hardly anything about what such a takeover attempt might be like.
After giving this some thought, it became clear that most of the bullet points that will be developed in this paper will state what the conflict will not be like, instead of what it will be like. In many cases the bullet points will state what may not occur which is weaker but the best I can do. Along the way, I will also give my opinion on alien-human warfare as well.
So let me begin my bullet points of the type of war we would have with aliens who wish to take over the earth.
A WAR BETWEEN EARTH AND AN ALIEN FORCE:
1. WOULD BE ASYMMETRIC.
An asymmetric war is a lopsided war, where one side has disproportionate resources or uses a weapon or tactic that the other side is not ready for. Wikipedia has a good treatment of asymmetric war, so I will not go deeply into it. Our armed forces are mainly structured for large scale confrontations with similarly equipped hostile forces. We have an army, navy and air force, but so does every other major power in the world. A guerilla war allows a weaker force to hassle a more powerful one, and if it lasts long enough, the major power might give up the conflict in frustration. So an asymmetric war can sometimes be won by a weaker power simply due to the asymmetry involved. In my opinion, the end of WWII became asymmetric when we deployed our super weapon, the A-bomb, which the enemy was not ready for. We were not the weaker power, but used asymmetry to our advantage nevertheless. Nowadays, wars can have an asymmetric component that works in harmony with the conventional components. Cyber warfare departments exist in the USA, China, USSR, North Korea, and several other places. A physical attack from a hostile country which also has the cyber warfare department would occur with that department hacking and destroying what they can of our military command and control structure. They would also disrupt the power grid to deny electricity to big parts of the country. They will do their best to deter and disrupt military and domestic operations through electronic means, thereby reducing the effectiveness of any response. A quote from the book, “Cyber War”, by Richard A. Clarke* and Robert Knake follows: “In the case of cyber war, the power of the offense is largely secret...” You may remember Richard A. Clarke. He is the guy who warned Condoleezza Rice that a terror attack might occur soon against the USA about 8 months before 9/11/2001. Now, we are discussing alien war here, so substitute the word “alien” for the word “cyber” and you get the main crux of the problem with alien warfare: “In the case of alien war, the power of the offense is largely secret...” We simply don’t have a clue what weapons of offense the aliens have. In the movie, “Independence Day”, the aliens had a primary weapon which would somehow cause an explosion to radiate outward from the targeted center of every major city. In the remake of “The Day the Earth Stood Still”, the aliens had an undefensible weapon like a cloud of insects or nano-technology particles that would eat everything in sight. In the book, “Battlefield Earth” by L. Ron Hubbard, the aliens simply put a lot of poison gas into a single rocket which traveled a few hundred miles an hour around the globe for several weeks, killing almost all life. Attempts to destroy it were ineffective because the outer hull of the rocket existed partially in another dimension so an A-bomb exploded against it had no effect. And so forth. Needless to say, in all of these works, the fictional earthlings were caught by surprise at the nature of the alien weaponry, and so it would be in real life.
2. WILL NOT BE KINETIC
Our wars are now mainly kinetic, meaning they depend largely on kinetic energy weapons, such as exploding bombs and high velocity projectiles. Sure, other forms of weapons exist also, such as biological (diseases), and chemical (gas), and we really hate it when other countries use them. Aliens might use not only these types of weapons, but they also could use far out things as well. For example, they could project powerful telepathic commands to the humans, or deploy their antigravity technology to crush and destroy. In the movie, “The Arrival”, they used weather wrecking apparatus to heat up the world more to their liking. Of course, we will attempt to make our resistance as kinetic as possible, but the aliens will not. As far as I know, there has never been a case where a UFO is seen dropping a bomb or firing a projectile. They only are known to use fields and rays, so that is what I expect their weapons to be based on. It is known that they do have heat rays, and that is very kinetic, but I am restricting my definition of kinetic weapons to be explosives and projectiles.
3. WILL NOT OBEY THE GENEVA CONVENTIONS
Civilians will be treated about the same as military. After all, when we steal honey from a hive, we do not distinguish between their soldier bees and any other bees.
4. WILL NOT BE THERMONUCLEAR
There are many true reports reaching back decades (and still continuing) of UFOs hovering around our nuclear plants, military nuclear powered ships, and military and missile bases where nuclear weapons are stored. They are quite interested in our nuclear items, but that does not mean that they would use weapons of nuclear fusion or fission. Throughout their short public history here, their focus has been on the planet, its fauna and flora, and when discussing the grays, ourselves. They will not use weapons which scar and pollute this place, or so I believe. Their past behavior as gleaned from Close Encounters of the Third Kind show no tendency to destroy this place. There is even a report that a UFO aimed a ray at the newly destroyed Chernobyl reactor and lessened its radiation by a significant percentage. I do not know how true that report is, but that, plus the CE3 report history, plus the fact that only a few UFO reports mention atomic radiation leads me to believe that the thermonuclear scenario is not going to happen.
5. WOULD CAUSE US TO FINALLY DEPLOY OUR SECRET WEAPONS
At long last, if no other alternatives are available for us, the USA would finally deploy its weapons based on ET captured technology. Our own black triangles, our directed energy weapons from our Star Wars program, and our weaponized space installations would be brought into action. Our secret underground bases would become less secret as more and more use is made of them. Even during an alien war, the USA would still try to keep this stuff under wraps as much as possible because they know repercussions would occur if the war ever ended favorably.
6. MAY NOT EVEN BE NOTICEABLE
Did you ever consider that we may be in a war with aliens right now? Why do our jets chase them? Is the abduction program evidence of a slow, long term attempt at takeover by infiltration? Infiltration aimed at takeover is a slow war. Abductions are now into their 6th decade or so. Would we even notice an alien takeover program that lasts 60 years? 600 years? It would be especially hard to notice because both our government and the aliens themselves do not want us to notice anything out of the ordinary.
7. WILL NOT HAVE A CYBER COMPONENT
There are almost 200 countries on this planet, and “over twenty nations’ militaries and intelligence services have created offensive cyber war units …” according to authors Clarke and Knake in their book, “Cyber War”, c2010. Cyber warfare capability is now a very big deal in military strategy and intelligence gathering these days. These 20 countries include the biggest and most powerful nations in the world plus some rogue nations. The problem for these cyber departments in an alien war is simply what would they connect to? There appears to be nothing. The best form of cyber war defense is to disconnect from the internet. Conversely, if we can not connect to the alien computer system at all, then our cyber expertise will be useless against them. In the movie, “Independence Day”, cyber war was used to upload a virus into the alien mothership. I think that this is pretty far fetched, and that it is safe to say that during an alien war, these cyber departments would not have anything to do directly against the aliens. There is also another reason that I say this which will be addressed in number 9 following.
One last item of interest regarding cyber war against aliens might be that in an entirely telepathic culture as many aliens are thought to be from, there probably would not be any beings who would purposely put viruses onto their computer network as there are in our human culture. That is because telepathy would reveal their guilt pretty quickly. Therefore, if their network were available to our human hackers, it might be completely wide open to implantation of human computer viruses.
8. WILL REVEAL TACTICS BORNE OF AN OVERWHELMING ESPIONAGE ADVANTAGE FOR THE ALIENS
The history of UFOs snooping around military installations has already been mentioned. The amazing thing about this is that the aliens appear to have the capability to analyze what is secretly stored at these bases. They have the capability to detect, activate, or control items that are behind solid, closed, opaque barriers. You may recall the UFO at Rendlesham forest in the UK in 1980. It was not publicly revealed until well after the incident that this base was storing nuclear weapons. Apparently the aliens knew what the public did not. Now add to this the persistent stories about human looking aliens among us, some of whom are naturally human appearing and others who may be alien hybrids created by the abduction program who are bred to be human appearing, and who probably have 99+% human DNA after several generational cycles of breeding. These “people” will have espionage on their agenda, for sure, if there is to be an alien conflict. Now take a look at our own infiltration of the aliens. There isn’t any. We cannot plant a human spy into their ranks. They have telepathy which would reveal our spy even if we could find someone who could act and speak the part. It would have to be a turncoat alien, and I bet we have none of those. When we do catch a live alien, we pump it for all it’s worth trying to extract information. That’s not really espionage even though it is bonafide intelligence gathering. I also doubt very highly that we can insert data into their communication stream (if we even have found any such streams) or even interpret their data streams so as to snoop, deter, and disrupt like hackers do.
The main espionage that we may have to use against aliens is our remote viewing program, allegedly cancelled by our CIA in 1995, but it is undoubtedly still in use if and only if it was deemed effective. And yes, it probably was deemed effective because the CIA kept it for 20 years before they cancelled it. Also, our remote viewers kept bumping into UFOs and aliens while they worked, and this was irritating and a distraction. Why did they cancel remote viewing? Because it leaked, so they had to avoid embarrassment while it was taken further into blackness.
9. MAY NOT HAVE ANY CONFLICT
How could a war not have any conflict? By this I mean a large amount of physical conflict. Here is my opinion on the likelihood of physical conflict in an alien war. In the scifi book, “The Alien Years” by Robert Silverberg, he relates how beings come to earth and conquer the planet by simply stopping the operation of electricity, and that includes battery stoppage. The result was that there was no meaningful resistance whatsoever against the invasion. We know that UFOs are strongly associated with stoppage of electricity, plus there are many stories of UFOs having been observed before electrical power grid failure. We know that humans can stop electricity too, albeit crudely, through the use of electromagnetic pulses (EMP). My opinion regarding electricity stoppage is that it is a natural outgrowth of being near the fields generated by the craft’s propulsion system, and that it is NOT a deliberate goal imposed by the aliens on our electrical grid and machinery. UFOs also appear to have the capability to suck power from our power grid. These field effects from the UFOs are not weapons; however, they certainly could be weaponized by them and maybe already have been. Another example of a war-stopper secret weapon could be a biological weapon like a virus that attacks and kills humans in just a few hours. But here is the main point of this section: aliens might have a weapon so universal, so thorough, so quick, and so dominant, that in just a few hours after its deployment there would be no opposition at all. And that is what I think will be most likely.
I have used a lot of movies and books to illustrate some of my points. I had to do this because I know of no UFO books that do. A few of the other invasion/takeover movies that I did not use in this writeup are ”Invasion of the Bodysnatchers”, “War of the Worlds”, “Plan 9 from Outer Space” (thought by some to be the worst movie ever made), Transformers”, and “Skyline.” I could go on. Of recent movies, the one that violates most of the points in this writeup is “Battle: LA”. It was horrible, packed with clichés, and simply showed an alien force using conventional earth tactics such as a command and control center which was controlling an alien infantry and aircraft, all shooting projectile weapons. One could just as well have substituted a human invasion force doing pretty much the same things as the aliens. It also mentioned that they are here to steal our liquid water, when everyone knows that there is plenty of frozen water in outer space. No originality whatsoever.
* I thought it would be interesting to include the following footnote although it has nothing to do with aliens. This book, Cyber War, released in April, 2010, states that bin Laden is hiding in a villa and not a cave. I presume that if it were released in 2010, then it may have been written in 2009. Furthermore, Christiane Amanpour on October 3, 2008, stated that bin Laden was hiding in a villa in Pakistan. A YouTube video of this is at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-ySteY3r9I. Here are two serious public figures whose careers depend on their credibility making these declarative statements. It makes one wonder.
Alien Conflict: Earth versus the Aliens
My book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come” has a chapter in it entitled, “Alien Conflict” which is a compilation of reports of alien-on-alien hostilities. This article deals with the other side of the picture, which would be alien-on-human hostilities.
I have read and watched many scifi books and movies over the years and can attest to the large quantities of fiction that have been created to cover the possible alien invasion and takeover of earth. Then it dawned on me, almost startling me, that none of the UFO books that I’ve read have ever covered the scenario of such a thing. Sure there might be a mention of it, but no reasoned out scenario. Of course, there is probably something that has been done that I do not know about, but I have read a lot of these UFO books and there has been nothing about it so far. It is pretty obvious that this is one of those psychological avoidance issues so common in the UFO field. This is a very unpleasant thing to think about and so maybe that is why no one has covered it yet, until now. For sure, our government has generated lots of reports and studies on this very subject because it is their job to look for threats, and this would be a threat of the highest priority. But in the public domain, there is hardly anything about what such a takeover attempt might be like.
After giving this some thought, it became clear that most of the bullet points that will be developed in this paper will state what the conflict will not be like, instead of what it will be like. In many cases the bullet points will state what may not occur which is weaker but the best I can do. Along the way, I will also give my opinion on alien-human warfare as well.
So let me begin my bullet points of the type of war we would have with aliens who wish to take over the earth.
A WAR BETWEEN EARTH AND AN ALIEN FORCE:
1. WOULD BE ASYMMETRIC.
An asymmetric war is a lopsided war, where one side has disproportionate resources or uses a weapon or tactic that the other side is not ready for. Wikipedia has a good treatment of asymmetric war, so I will not go deeply into it. Our armed forces are mainly structured for large scale confrontations with similarly equipped hostile forces. We have an army, navy and air force, but so does every other major power in the world. A guerilla war allows a weaker force to hassle a more powerful one, and if it lasts long enough, the major power might give up the conflict in frustration. So an asymmetric war can sometimes be won by a weaker power simply due to the asymmetry involved. In my opinion, the end of WWII became asymmetric when we deployed our super weapon, the A-bomb, which the enemy was not ready for. We were not the weaker power, but used asymmetry to our advantage nevertheless. Nowadays, wars can have an asymmetric component that works in harmony with the conventional components. Cyber warfare departments exist in the USA, China, USSR, North Korea, and several other places. A physical attack from a hostile country which also has the cyber warfare department would occur with that department hacking and destroying what they can of our military command and control structure. They would also disrupt the power grid to deny electricity to big parts of the country. They will do their best to deter and disrupt military and domestic operations through electronic means, thereby reducing the effectiveness of any response. A quote from the book, “Cyber War”, by Richard A. Clarke* and Robert Knake follows: “In the case of cyber war, the power of the offense is largely secret...” You may remember Richard A. Clarke. He is the guy who warned Condoleezza Rice that a terror attack might occur soon against the USA about 8 months before 9/11/2001. Now, we are discussing alien war here, so substitute the word “alien” for the word “cyber” and you get the main crux of the problem with alien warfare: “In the case of alien war, the power of the offense is largely secret...” We simply don’t have a clue what weapons of offense the aliens have. In the movie, “Independence Day”, the aliens had a primary weapon which would somehow cause an explosion to radiate outward from the targeted center of every major city. In the remake of “The Day the Earth Stood Still”, the aliens had an undefensible weapon like a cloud of insects or nano-technology particles that would eat everything in sight. In the book, “Battlefield Earth” by L. Ron Hubbard, the aliens simply put a lot of poison gas into a single rocket which traveled a few hundred miles an hour around the globe for several weeks, killing almost all life. Attempts to destroy it were ineffective because the outer hull of the rocket existed partially in another dimension so an A-bomb exploded against it had no effect. And so forth. Needless to say, in all of these works, the fictional earthlings were caught by surprise at the nature of the alien weaponry, and so it would be in real life.
2. WILL NOT BE KINETIC
Our wars are now mainly kinetic, meaning they depend largely on kinetic energy weapons, such as exploding bombs and high velocity projectiles. Sure, other forms of weapons exist also, such as biological (diseases), and chemical (gas), and we really hate it when other countries use them. Aliens might use not only these types of weapons, but they also could use far out things as well. For example, they could project powerful telepathic commands to the humans, or deploy their antigravity technology to crush and destroy. In the movie, “The Arrival”, they used weather wrecking apparatus to heat up the world more to their liking. Of course, we will attempt to make our resistance as kinetic as possible, but the aliens will not. As far as I know, there has never been a case where a UFO is seen dropping a bomb or firing a projectile. They only are known to use fields and rays, so that is what I expect their weapons to be based on. It is known that they do have heat rays, and that is very kinetic, but I am restricting my definition of kinetic weapons to be explosives and projectiles.
3. WILL NOT OBEY THE GENEVA CONVENTIONS
Civilians will be treated about the same as military. After all, when we steal honey from a hive, we do not distinguish between their soldier bees and any other bees.
4. WILL NOT BE THERMONUCLEAR
There are many true reports reaching back decades (and still continuing) of UFOs hovering around our nuclear plants, military nuclear powered ships, and military and missile bases where nuclear weapons are stored. They are quite interested in our nuclear items, but that does not mean that they would use weapons of nuclear fusion or fission. Throughout their short public history here, their focus has been on the planet, its fauna and flora, and when discussing the grays, ourselves. They will not use weapons which scar and pollute this place, or so I believe. Their past behavior as gleaned from Close Encounters of the Third Kind show no tendency to destroy this place. There is even a report that a UFO aimed a ray at the newly destroyed Chernobyl reactor and lessened its radiation by a significant percentage. I do not know how true that report is, but that, plus the CE3 report history, plus the fact that only a few UFO reports mention atomic radiation leads me to believe that the thermonuclear scenario is not going to happen.
5. WOULD CAUSE US TO FINALLY DEPLOY OUR SECRET WEAPONS
At long last, if no other alternatives are available for us, the USA would finally deploy its weapons based on ET captured technology. Our own black triangles, our directed energy weapons from our Star Wars program, and our weaponized space installations would be brought into action. Our secret underground bases would become less secret as more and more use is made of them. Even during an alien war, the USA would still try to keep this stuff under wraps as much as possible because they know repercussions would occur if the war ever ended favorably.
6. MAY NOT EVEN BE NOTICEABLE
Did you ever consider that we may be in a war with aliens right now? Why do our jets chase them? Is the abduction program evidence of a slow, long term attempt at takeover by infiltration? Infiltration aimed at takeover is a slow war. Abductions are now into their 6th decade or so. Would we even notice an alien takeover program that lasts 60 years? 600 years? It would be especially hard to notice because both our government and the aliens themselves do not want us to notice anything out of the ordinary.
7. WILL NOT HAVE A CYBER COMPONENT
There are almost 200 countries on this planet, and “over twenty nations’ militaries and intelligence services have created offensive cyber war units …” according to authors Clarke and Knake in their book, “Cyber War”, c2010. Cyber warfare capability is now a very big deal in military strategy and intelligence gathering these days. These 20 countries include the biggest and most powerful nations in the world plus some rogue nations. The problem for these cyber departments in an alien war is simply what would they connect to? There appears to be nothing. The best form of cyber war defense is to disconnect from the internet. Conversely, if we can not connect to the alien computer system at all, then our cyber expertise will be useless against them. In the movie, “Independence Day”, cyber war was used to upload a virus into the alien mothership. I think that this is pretty far fetched, and that it is safe to say that during an alien war, these cyber departments would not have anything to do directly against the aliens. There is also another reason that I say this which will be addressed in number 9 following.
One last item of interest regarding cyber war against aliens might be that in an entirely telepathic culture as many aliens are thought to be from, there probably would not be any beings who would purposely put viruses onto their computer network as there are in our human culture. That is because telepathy would reveal their guilt pretty quickly. Therefore, if their network were available to our human hackers, it might be completely wide open to implantation of human computer viruses.
8. WILL REVEAL TACTICS BORNE OF AN OVERWHELMING ESPIONAGE ADVANTAGE FOR THE ALIENS
The history of UFOs snooping around military installations has already been mentioned. The amazing thing about this is that the aliens appear to have the capability to analyze what is secretly stored at these bases. They have the capability to detect, activate, or control items that are behind solid, closed, opaque barriers. You may recall the UFO at Rendlesham forest in the UK in 1980. It was not publicly revealed until well after the incident that this base was storing nuclear weapons. Apparently the aliens knew what the public did not. Now add to this the persistent stories about human looking aliens among us, some of whom are naturally human appearing and others who may be alien hybrids created by the abduction program who are bred to be human appearing, and who probably have 99+% human DNA after several generational cycles of breeding. These “people” will have espionage on their agenda, for sure, if there is to be an alien conflict. Now take a look at our own infiltration of the aliens. There isn’t any. We cannot plant a human spy into their ranks. They have telepathy which would reveal our spy even if we could find someone who could act and speak the part. It would have to be a turncoat alien, and I bet we have none of those. When we do catch a live alien, we pump it for all it’s worth trying to extract information. That’s not really espionage even though it is bonafide intelligence gathering. I also doubt very highly that we can insert data into their communication stream (if we even have found any such streams) or even interpret their data streams so as to snoop, deter, and disrupt like hackers do.
The main espionage that we may have to use against aliens is our remote viewing program, allegedly cancelled by our CIA in 1995, but it is undoubtedly still in use if and only if it was deemed effective. And yes, it probably was deemed effective because the CIA kept it for 20 years before they cancelled it. Also, our remote viewers kept bumping into UFOs and aliens while they worked, and this was irritating and a distraction. Why did they cancel remote viewing? Because it leaked, so they had to avoid embarrassment while it was taken further into blackness.
9. MAY NOT HAVE ANY CONFLICT
How could a war not have any conflict? By this I mean a large amount of physical conflict. Here is my opinion on the likelihood of physical conflict in an alien war. In the scifi book, “The Alien Years” by Robert Silverberg, he relates how beings come to earth and conquer the planet by simply stopping the operation of electricity, and that includes battery stoppage. The result was that there was no meaningful resistance whatsoever against the invasion. We know that UFOs are strongly associated with stoppage of electricity, plus there are many stories of UFOs having been observed before electrical power grid failure. We know that humans can stop electricity too, albeit crudely, through the use of electromagnetic pulses (EMP). My opinion regarding electricity stoppage is that it is a natural outgrowth of being near the fields generated by the craft’s propulsion system, and that it is NOT a deliberate goal imposed by the aliens on our electrical grid and machinery. UFOs also appear to have the capability to suck power from our power grid. These field effects from the UFOs are not weapons; however, they certainly could be weaponized by them and maybe already have been. Another example of a war-stopper secret weapon could be a biological weapon like a virus that attacks and kills humans in just a few hours. But here is the main point of this section: aliens might have a weapon so universal, so thorough, so quick, and so dominant, that in just a few hours after its deployment there would be no opposition at all. And that is what I think will be most likely.
I have used a lot of movies and books to illustrate some of my points. I had to do this because I know of no UFO books that do. A few of the other invasion/takeover movies that I did not use in this writeup are ”Invasion of the Bodysnatchers”, “War of the Worlds”, “Plan 9 from Outer Space” (thought by some to be the worst movie ever made), Transformers”, and “Skyline.” I could go on. Of recent movies, the one that violates most of the points in this writeup is “Battle: LA”. It was horrible, packed with clichés, and simply showed an alien force using conventional earth tactics such as a command and control center which was controlling an alien infantry and aircraft, all shooting projectile weapons. One could just as well have substituted a human invasion force doing pretty much the same things as the aliens. It also mentioned that they are here to steal our liquid water, when everyone knows that there is plenty of frozen water in outer space. No originality whatsoever.
* I thought it would be interesting to include the following footnote although it has nothing to do with aliens. This book, Cyber War, released in April, 2010, states that bin Laden is hiding in a villa and not a cave. I presume that if it were released in 2010, then it may have been written in 2009. Furthermore, Christiane Amanpour on October 3, 2008, stated that bin Laden was hiding in a villa in Pakistan. A YouTube video of this is at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-ySteY3r9I. Here are two serious public figures whose careers depend on their credibility making these declarative statements. It makes one wonder.
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