THE DEAL by Charles Tromblee

The Deal      

Most of you are probably aware of a story in the world of UFOs  about an Eisenhower meeting with aliens. This story claims that these aliens were of a species that had corn row hair much like ancient Sumerians and big noses. An allegedly real movie clip exists of several seconds of footage of their UFO landing at the air force base where the meeting took place.  Also, on 5/8/2010, retiring US New Hampshire State Representative, Henry McElroy Jr.,  made a video in which he revealed that he had seen a memo cross his desk many decades before which was informing Eisenhower that it was possible for our government to arrange a meeting between him and  aliens if he so desired. Mr. McElroy did not remember the date of the memo, but it should have been before or during 1954 when such a meeting allegedly occurred. You can easily find both video clips on YouTube. Eisenhower’s staff had set up a cover story for the pre-arranged meeting in which he went to the dentist so that the press and public would not be concerned with his whereabouts. I won’t go into more detail due to the wide dissemination of this story which you can find anywhere.

Less well known, however, is a variation of this same story in which Eisenhower met on separate occasions with two different species of aliens, neither of which were the big nosed “Sumerians.”  The first was with human appearing aliens (Nordics) followed by a meeting with the grays. This kind of thing happens all the time with UFO stories, in which several story variations follow the main story, and these variations are introduced as disinformation to confuse and reduce the believability of the main story. These variations are believed to be introduced by UFO debunkers such as the CIA to continue to maintain control of the UFO issue.

I have always felt something disturbing about this second story variation (the one with the two types of aliens).To me it shows a masterful disinformation genius at work. As the storyline goes, the Nordics promised to give humanity knowledge and a wonderful society if we would give up our weapons to them and avow peace. The stroke of genius in this story is that it is analogous to Satan’s temptation of Christ. (No, I am not religious.) Satan told Christ, “These things I will do for you if you will bow down to me.” The genius is how well the Nordics’ offer overlays Satan’s offer. My theory is that people subconsciously connect the two storylines. Just look at it: “These things (knowledge and peace) I will do for (give to) you if you will bow down (surrender your weapons) to me.” To his credit, Eisenhower refused the offer.

Instead, as the story goes, he then negotiated a wonderful deal with the rival grays to obtain their technology in exchange for permission to harmlessly abduct human beings for some kind of study of theirs (sarcasm intended). Allegedly, they were supposed to report the names of those abducted, but they never followed through with the agreement, and abducted way more people than what they originally promised to.  The abductions also inflicted psychological harm on most of the victims as well.

I do not know if either of these stories is true, but the first version has quite a few sources. Eisenhower, by the way, is in my UFO Hall of Shame, but not for the reasons of the preceding story.

MARTIAN ARCHAEOLOGY and EROSION by Charles Tromblee

MARTIAN ARCHAEOLOGY and EROSION © by Charles Tromblee

I submitted this article to Archaeology Magazine and it was rejected in a matter of a couple of hours. I thought it would get more consideration than that because one of their recent stories was about archaeology in a modern garbage dump landfill. Oh well.

Photos of the Martian face and other structures on Mars continuously pop up with commentary by people who assert that the structure looks like a building, a UFO, a monument built under intelligent intent,  etc. This happens for the moon as well. I have to admit that most of the time, the person who posts the photos sees something in them that I do not see. To me, most of them look natural. One thing that I have never seen addressed in these photos is structural erosion, so that is the purpose of the rest of this article.

Above is a photo (1976) of the face on Mars followed by a 2006 image of the same thing. A second photo was taken in 1998, another in 2001,(neither is shown) and they both look like the 2006 photo. The first looks artificial (i.e. “man”-made) and the second looks natural. I happen to believe that the face is not a face but is a natural, geologic formation, but that does not mean that I have given up hoping for some astounding discoveries on the red planet.

 I have my own predictions for Mars which I will now share with you. 1. We will reconfirm water somewhere on Mars because we already have discovered it several times. No surprise here. 2. We will confirm the theory that abundant water used to flow freely on Mars. 3. China or some country other than the USA will send the first persons to Mars, due to the fact that we are broke and that NASA seems to be more of an impediment to space exploration than not. 4. We will discover evidence of fossilized life on Mars.5. We will discover living things on Mars:  simple living things such as lichens, bacteria, and maybe something more. 6. The discoveries in 4 & 5 previous will make momentary big headlines and then settle into oblivion because people will begin to realize that it does not prove that life can spontaneously spring up on a Goldilocks [1] planet. They will be told that we of earth could have been seeded by Martian life as shown by those Martian meteorites suspected of having fossilized organic structures in a few of them. They got here by some ancient cosmic impact on Mars which ejected material into space and some of the pieces arrived here. Thus, there will be some who maintain that Earth-Mars life is one in the same, and this means that we still have not confirmed that life can spring up independently of the Earth-Mars duo. Instead, the panspermia theory will get renewed publicity and discussion.

My big hope for Mars is that the fossilized life will show larger creatures were alive there as well. One would expect that if water had flowed freely on Mars for a couple of billion years, some larger life forms would have evolved. This will cause a field of Martian paleontology to spring up overnight. I also hope (but do not expect) that ruins will be found on Mars. If that occurred, it would shock the world. After such a discovery, a new field of Martian archaeology also would spring up overnight. These ruins undoubtedly would be so old that Martian archaeology and geology would overlap one another to a great extent. I also believe that if ruins were found on Mars, our government would suppress it.

Somewhere in Mars’ history is a cataclysmic event that caused the whole planet the change from a possible “earthlike” haven to the arid, cold, and barren world we see today[1]. John Brandenburg in his book “Life and Death on Mars” speculates that Mars actually had two huge cataclysms. A large crater exists on Mars which is about 10% bigger than the crater that killed Earth’s dinosaurs, and he makes an estimate of its age at 500 million years [6]. Not coincidentally, that is also about when Mars’ magnetic field weakened according to meteorite analysis. Then, about 320 million years later (180 million years ago), a large atomic blast of likely natural cause rocked the planet. Anyhow, there is small and diminishing doubt that a cataclysm did indeed occur on Mars which altered its geology forever. If there was a civilization there at that time, for sure it ended.

Let’s discuss earthly erosion for a minute. Although not technically “erosion”, plate tectonics causes huge sections of the earth’s surface to be destroyed as one plate slides above another, with the bottom plate pushed down into the molten mantle of the earth, its surface features destroyed forever as the plate re-melts. This takes hundreds of millions of years. We also have water erosion and wind erosion. Erosion can also occur simply by thermal expansion and contraction of rock. Of the erosive types listed, the only ones that can now occur on Mars with any consistency are wind and thermal expansion and contraction. 

With respect to Mars’ erosion, Mars’ does not have plate tectonics anymore, if it ever had it at all. This means that the subduction process of one plate moving  under another does not occur. We do know that Mars did have some molten material as evidenced by its huge inactive volcanoes, but the huge size of them indicates that the tectonic floating plate process may never have existed because the surface vent of the volcanoes stayed in one location above the molten pocket of magma. That is why Mars volcanoes are so big. Perhaps there was some plate tectonics going on, but when the cataclysm occurred, the core of the planet was disrupted and solidified. The history of Mars’ magnetic field (once strong, now weak and broken up, especially in its northern hemisphere) indicates that the cataclysm did indeed have an important role in changing  the internal core of the planet. Also, Mars does not have significant water erosion anymore. It still does have wind erosion and the erosion of thermal expansion and contraction. However, this last erosive type is negligible and will not be addressed any more in this article.

There are further implications in this as well. The only fossilization that could possibly have occurred on Mars since the cataclysm is the compression of large amounts of windblown sand into rock due to its own weight. There is little water for petrifaction nor is there mud burial for eventual fossilization as the buried item turns into rock. Most archaeological items on Mars, therefore, would survive in their own form and original chemical structure simply to be covered over by dust and sand, or if unburied, must survive the grit sandblasting by the atmosphere.

This article will now move ahead with some assumptions about the Martian cataclysm and the hypothetical civilization that it destroyed.  Let us assume that Mars did indeed have a civilization at the time of the planet wrecking cataclysm. Let us further assume that at that point in time, all construction ceased and that whatever was not destroyed in the cataclysm was left in place to erode by the only significant remaining erosive process that the planet has: That process is airborne particulate wind erosion. The dust storms that we always observe on Mars are constantly eroding whatever is in their path, or covering it. Let us make a simplifying assumption that immediately after the cataclysm, the atmosphere thinned out and the water “went away”. (Of course it took maybe a few million years for the air and water to diminish to today’s levels.)

We have now set the stage for our analysis.  The hypothetical Martian civilization could have been primitive like ours was a couple of hundred years ago, or it could have been more advanced than where we are today. Back then, the only structures we had were wood buildings and masonry buildings. We did have some bronze statues and gold artifacts. Today we have many more metal items but our buildings are still predominantly wood and masonry, and that includes stone structures. 

Most people believe that the Mars catastrophe occurred about half a billion to a couple of billion years ago. One indication that this huge time span is correct is the large number of craters on the planet. Those impacts had to have occurred over a time span of hundreds of millions of years. Crater features before the cataclysm were erased by the large of amounts of flowing water, but once the water “went away”, the crater features immediately started lasting a much longer time. For sure, unburied buildings built of plant material and masonry would be completely obliterated since the cataclysm. But what about a really big, thick monument, such as a pyramid or the Martian face? Is one or two billion years enough to completely wear down an unburied huge piece of rock? Let’s do some arithmetic. (Note that this discussion is going to ignore the remote possibilities that the destroyed civilization was using a durable construction material that is unknown to us, or that the ruins are due not to Martians, but instead to a post-apocalyptic colonization of some kind by aliens.)

First, let’s analyze the big pyramid in Egypt which is 759 ft on a side and 480 ft high. In his article “Pyramid Repairs” [2], Ralph Ellis measured the amount of erosion on the Giza big pyramid to be 20 cm, or 7.87 inches. Although Mr. Ellis was making his case for that pyramid to be 9000 to 13000 years old, I go along with conventional archaeology with the majority opinion of about 4000 years old. Gregory Bock wrote a book in 1996 entitled “Evolution of Hydrothermal Ecosystems on Earth (and Mars?)” in which he explores erosion on both Earth and Mars, pages 261-2 [3]. He gives an erosion rate for Earth to be 10 to 1000 millionths of a meter (microns) per year, and on Mars to be one one-hundredth of a micron per year (0.01 microns/yr). For this article I will use earth’s rate to be within Gregory Bock’s range, so I will use Earth’s rate as 100 microns per year. Applying a 100 micron per year rate to the pyramids, we find that this rate gives a calculated erosion of 15 inches for the great pyramid as compared to Mr. Ellis’  measurement of 7.87 inches. This is really good agreement for what I intend to illustrate. How many years will it take the great pyramid to erode down to half its current 480 foot height? Using Bock’s general figures, we get 768,000 years.

Notice that the erosion rates for Mars are only a fraction for those on Earth, an observation which is consistent with my earlier reasoning that there is only one significant erosive process on Mars as opposed to several on Earth. In fact, Earth’s erosion rate is ten thousand times Mars' rate (comparing the 0.01 micron Mars rate to Earth’s 100 micron rate). This is brought about by the thin air not picking up as much particulate matter as Earth’s thicker air does plus the absence of those other erosive processes mentioned previously.

Thus far, we have talked about monument erosion, but what about buildings that might have existed on Mars?  In the TV series on the History Channel, “Life After People ” [5], we learn that our skyscrapers will all fall down before 600 years will have elapsed after the abrupt disappearance of humanity. Modern skyscrapers will collapse sooner than those built before about 1960.  Reasons for this short lifetime vary. Earthquakes on the west coast, basement flooding which weakens the support beams in wetter areas, metal fatigue for the Hancock Tower in Chicago, concrete core cracking allowing water infiltration at the metal rebar in the core for the Petronas Towers in Malaysia, and so forth. Notice that the Martian environment would have virtually no earthquakes or basement water flooding, once again validating the slower erosive process on Mars. The Statue of Liberty will fall in about 300 years due to galvanic corrosion, a process which is probably either non-existent on Mars or much slower. The Gateway Arch in St. Louis will fall in about 250 years due to metal fatigue at the keystone. This is worth mentioning because the skin of the arch is stainless steel, and the “Life After People” narrator intones, “Stainless steel does not last forever”. However, internal to the arch are triangular beams, probably not of stainless, which may be the cause of failure, or the fasteners whose material is not mentioned. I still think that stainless, if the Martians invented it, will last billions of years even if exposed and depending on how thick it is, subject only to pitting and wear if left above ground. Plastic items, if above ground, would last about 600 years on earth until it photo degrades, once again if situated in an area sheltered from the windblown sand. Once one of these hollow structures falls, a big pile of jagged rubble will remain. Water, soil, and plants then will get to work on the rubble piles. Please note that water and plants do not exist to any degree on Mars, nor do ice ages with their glacial grinding action, and soil acids and microbes probably would not be much of a factor on Mars either. Therefore, for this simple minded analysis, I think it will be safe to use our slowdown factor of 10,000 on the preceding numbers in this paragraph: Martian skyscrapers, will take at most 6 million years to fall down (600 x 10,000); metal monuments and statues, 3 million years; plastics, 6 million years, and so forth. At Stone Mountain, Georgia, a huge bas-relief carving is on the side of the mountain depicting heroes of the Confederacy, cut into solid, hard granite. On earth, this carving will last at least 5000 years, so on Mars such a work of art might last 50 million years. Interestingly enough, the Notre Dame Cathedral, built of stone, is predicted to last at least 2000 years, so on Mars we can estimate 20 million years. But notice this: none of these lengthy Martian numbers comes close to the 0.5-2 billion years needed to survive since the cataclysm.

All the preceding is for above ground stuff. What about stuff that gets buried? On earth, what ruins get buried versus what ruins stay above ground is mainly determined by plate tectonics. The ruins on sinking tectonic plates will tend to get buried, and the ruins on rising plates will tend to stay exposed to the atmosphere. On Mars, no such general rule exists due to the absence of plate tectonics, so it’s the luck of the draw as to what gets buried and what does not. As a logical deduction from the earlier discussion, the whole planet, with the exception of its cratering activity, is undergoing a leveling process where it will eventually turn into a spherical, featureless plain; structures built on low areas will tend to be buried, and those built on high elevations will tend to wind eroded away. On Mars, buried items easily should endure the couple of billion years required for us humans to dig them up for study. Gold bars, if buried, will last as long as you want, and teeth will definitely survive. Even plastics might make it.  Underground earth erosion does definitely occur, but on Mars it is easily seen that the underground deterioration process definitely will be slower than on Earth simply due to the scarcity of water and microbes.

Now let us talk about the Face on Mars. I looked into my copy of Richard Hoagland’s book, ‘The Monuments of Mars”, for information on its age, dimensions, and a discussion of erosion. I could not find them. I don’t know how a guy can write a 500 page book on those structures on the Martian Cydonian plain and not address these issues, yet that is what appears to have been (not) accomplished.  Elsewhere, I found the dimensions of the Martian face to be 7920 feet long and 1584 feet tall. Repeating my opinion of earlier, I think the face is a natural formation, but I have to admit that it could have been a face at one time, carved out of a small mountain much like the sphinx was carved out of a big rock, and now partially eroded down to the unconvincing second photo above. Let’s assume that it would take about 50 to 100 feet of erosion to partially obliterate a humanoid face of those dimensions down to the appearance in photo two.  Using our 0.01 micron per year erosion rate for Mars, we find that the face on Mars is 1.5 billion to 3 billion years old. That is actually feasible. Both Earth and Mars were formed at the same time, about 4.6 billion years ago. Most thinking these days is that when Mars had free flowing water and therefore was “earthlike”, it was “earthlike” before Earth itself became “earthlike”.  As a point of reference, on August 22, 2011, a news story came out that fossilized cell walls were discovered in Australia that are 3.4 billion years old, which is before Earth had its atmosphere (they metabolized sulfur.)

I am now trying to dig out information on when the Martian cataclysm occurred. One attempt that I made failed. This was to find out about those Martian meteorites that have landed on earth. Thirty three of them have landed [4] that we have found so far. Some occasionally still fall to earth such as in 1815, 1865, 1911, 1962. My thinking was that if the majority were ejected from Mars, say, 2 billion years ago, then that probably would have been the date of cataclysm that I have been talking about. Surprisingly, their dates of ejection from Mars range from only 20 million to 700,000 years ago. This “young” ejection range is due to the sweeping up of small objects up by larger ones in space so that over time, local space is cleaned of the older ejected objects. This also shows that the cratering process has been continuously occurring on Mars, a fact which we all know.  Also surprisingly, the estimated ages of formation of these objects, indicating geological formation activity on Mars, range from 4.5 billion years to only 160 million years. That younger age is undoubtedly due to the localized volcanic activity that now appears to have disappeared on the red planet.

Therefore we should expect that most all future Martian archaeology, if it ever needs to exist at all, will probably involve lots of digging underneath the soil as opposed to finding abandoned cities and eroded monuments. I would prefer that both be found, however. That said, I highly doubt that Martian archaeologists will be able to find an ancient, intact, abandoned city like a Martian Machu Picchu and start their studies because there probably will not be any above ground features left. Furthermore, we know that here on earth whenever a large body impacted the earth, life always took a large setback, and evolution had to start all over again from small surviving creatures evolving into more complex and larger creatures. This has happened quite often given the large amount of mass extinctions in our past history, not all of which were due to impacts. The asteroid belt is the source of most objects that have impacted both Mars and earth, almost 99%. Mars is much closer to the asteroid belt than the earth is, so consequently its cratering rate (same as impact rate) is anywhere from 2x to 10x that of earth. Unfortunately, these more frequent impacts probably have reset its evolving life back to near its starting point several times in its history, so that shortens the intervals between impacts for large intelligent creatures to evolve. But, given the fact that the dinosaur impact of 63 million years ago wiped out most large land animals after which it took us that long to get to where we are now, it is not too big a stretch to think that a “quiet period” just as long took place on Mars while it had its ocean.

What conclusions can we come away with as a result of this somewhat heuristic reasoning process?

• 1.       Mars artifacts would be so old that geology and archaeology must merge to some extent.
• 2.       Even after 0.5 to 2 billion years, above ground artifacts would still exist if monumental in size.
• 3.       Some may even be recognizable.
• 4.       Underground objects would be in good condition.
• 5.       The “Face” really could have been a face, now severely eroded.
• 6.       Given the 20-100 feet of erosion expected in masonry over the last 0.5-2.0 billion years, only larger structures would have anything left still projecting above the ground.

[1] This is addressed in my blog article, “The Goldilocks Zone and Planetary Magnetism.”

[2] http://www.world-mysteries.com/gw_rellis9.htm

[3] http://books.google.com/books?id=Q_TCng7pN-wC&pg=PA261&lpg=PA261&dq=erosion+rates+on+mars+as+compared+to+earth?&source=bl&ots=rFuQwog3LU&sig=Jc5GN8hCT357ByUSAkY0lH8vT3w&hl=en&ei=NHhRTtjxCI_YiAL71sGPAQ&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=2&ved=0CCAQ6AEwAQ#v=onepage&q=erosion%20rates%20on%20mars%20as%20compared%20to%20earth%3F&f=false

[4] http://www.nhm.ac.uk/research-curation/research/projects/martian-met/meteorites.html

[5] History Channel, “Life After People”, Season 1, 2009, DVD

[6] Life and Death on Mars: The New Mars Synthesis” by John Brandenburg, Ph.D., 2011

ALIEN DISGUISE by Charles Tromblee 5/2012

Alien Disguise

This is another one of my articles which attempt to derive reasonable technical explanations for historical UFO phenomena whose reports lie dormant and virtually unused in our several sightings databases.

Anyone who has read this blog knows that I have a strong belief that alien beings are the occupants of the unexplained UFO sightings. The main reason for such a strong belief is that I started my study of the phenomenon by collecting Close Encounters of the Third Kind (CE3), and after filtering less than credible encounters, wound up with about 300 such events, all of which involved aliens on the ground performing some kind of activity, witnessed most of the time by more than one witness. Are all of these events, collected over a 60+ year time span (1933-1996)**, fakes? For sure, some of them are, but it only takes one for the phenomenon to be validated. Along the way, I have had to accept some findings that make no sense, and that I don’t like. For example, it makes no sense to me that aliens are almost entirely have humanoid shapes. I don’t like believing that there is a coverup. I don’t like believing that abductions may be occurring at a pretty high rate. And so on. I have forced myself to follow the UFO and CE3 evidence and data to a logical conclusion, and some of these conclusions can be disturbing.

But we must forge forward, and try to find out as much as we can about our visitors. If aliens are visiting us, then we must confront the possibility that some of them are among us in disguise, posing as human. Let us analyze this further.

There are some UFO stories and many Hollywood movies which deal with the disguises that aliens use which allow them to physically live and work (spy?) among us. In this writeup, I have categorized these disguises into 4 areas, and try to use reasoning and sighting data to eliminate a couple of these areas as being not feasible, and therefore, not something to give much credence to as one ponders the nature of alien contact. These four areas are shapeshifters, mental image projection, genetic alteration over several birth cycles, and aliens who are already human enough to pass for an earthling.

Shapeshifters

UFO craft often exhibit shapeshifting properties. This can occur in stranger ways than the common explanations for the phenomenon can explain. These common explanations are that 1) we are seeing a varying ionization field around the craft or 2) the craft is presenting a different cross section of itself to the viewer. An example of strangeness is two UFOs merging into one with the resultant single image being no larger than either of the original UFOs. In fact, the excellent ufologist Ivan Sanderson even hypothesized that the craft themselves could be living entities which could change shape just like any other animal can. E.g. once a bird spreads its wings, it sure looks a lot different than when its wings are folded. I doubt that Sanderson really believed this was a majority occurrence in UFO sightings, but I think he put this idea out there just for consideration and to show that he had thought of it first and wanted it documented. Well , if the craft can change shape, then why not its occupants?

For an entity to shapeshift I would think that there are severe biological requirements imposed upon that entity. It would have to have a very fleshy musculature superimposed upon either no skeleton or a very thin internal skeleton. For sure, it would not have a chitinous exoskeleton due to its rigidity. It would take a great deal of continuous muscle flexing and mental capacity for that being to maintain its disguise. It would have to maintain control of all of the fleshy parts of its body almost continuously, and that includes the epidermal color changing cells for color matching. A big percentage of its brain would have to be dedicated to this activity. If it had no internal skeleton, then that would allow more freedom to shape shift, but that would impose even greater requirements upon the stamina of the muscles because the skeleton could not be relied upon to allow the muscles to rest while in a standing position. We humans rely upon our skeleton quite a bit to save energy.

We have a shapeshifter on our planet that has been evolving for 400 million years-- the octopus. Videos of it disguising itself show that it sometimes is ok at it, and other times is bad at it, depending on the octopus species and what it is trying to emulate. Note that even though this is one of the smartest creatures in the sea which has had 400 million years of evolution to perfect shapeshifting, it still has mediocre results. Plus it still requires the support of the water around it to maintain its shape even though it is a very muscular mollusk. Aliens have better brains than octopi, but wouldn’t you think that this mental load of maintaining a human appearance while functioning in our society is a bit much? Furthermore, the stories of a big creature which has shapeshifted into a smaller human form belies conservation of mass. And what would the majority of aliens, who are smaller than us, do to achieve our larger size? Create a big air bladder to pump up its volume? Overall, my final opinion about alien shapeshifters is that we don’t have any here working among us, and the likelihood of not having any here is way up there near 100%. Sure, there could be something really far out, such as an alien having as its first step being to “program” for itself its own internal skeleton and then solidify these new skeletal bones to support the muscles, followed by a second step to use the new skeleton’s surrounding muscles to achieve the proper form desired, followed by a color match third step. Once completed, it would then switch these setting over to its autonomous nervous system for unconscious control, leaving its conscious brain freed up for other thoughts. Just think of the energy expenditure required to do all of this. All in all, even though the mental capacity of aliens appears to be greater than our own, I think the additional requirements of shapeshifting when imposed upon both its alien brain and its torso pushes this pop culture idea into the realm of imagination.

Mental Image Projection

Occasionally we run across a movie or theory that an alien keeps its natural shape but simply mentally projects its desired physical image of a human that it wishes to be. Or, if its human acquaintances are few, it has previously hypnotized them into believing that it is a human. For sure, abduction literature tells us of aliens that have imposed post hypnotic commands upon the abductees so that the abductees remember their captors as human. Plus there are even stories of humans who believed in real time that the “person” that they were associating with was human, but upon further analysis was most likely an alien of far different appearance than they realized. According to abduction researchers Budd Hopkins and David Jacobs, aliens use post hypnotic commands all the time. But in our population centers our present society has imposed electromechanical constraints on ourselves which would “out” this type of interloper, such as surveillance cameras all over the place which would be immune to such projection and hypnosis, employee blood samples for drug testing, airport x-rays, and so forth. Furthermore, what if the alien is in a crowd (necessitating a huge crowd control false image), or what if there are lots of mirrors around, or what if someone views the alien from long distance with binoculars? Therefore, it is my judgment that this type of being does not function in our society at all. It may be doing abductions while working out of a base or mother ship (or living in remote and rural areas where it would encounter only a few people so as to control them), but as far as functioning with us in our day to day activities, this just does not happen.

However, what about alien invisibility? An invisible alien could travel around among us with impunity. We know their craft have stealth invisibility capability, so could this craft technology be miniaturized down to a smaller size such that an alien could be outfitted with a portable type of apparatus which affords him invisibility? There are a very few stories where this has apparently happened, but only a very few. In the Alberto Rosales website, “Humanoid Reports & Journal of Humanoid Studies”***, there are about 9000 story summaries which average about a half page long, perhaps about half or a third of which involve alien encounters. I have read all of these in my search for CE3 data. So many are obviously the product of hoaxers and impaired individuals that filtering criteria had to be established to sort out the more credible ones. Here are a couple of such encounters from Mr. Rosales’ website for your consideration:

223.
Location. Puente San Miguel, Cantabria Spain
Date: December 1 1977
Time: 0450A
The principal witness, Emilio Ruiz was suddenly awakened by the barking of the dogs in the neighborhood and a clear luminosity that shone through the window. The witness then saw a gigantic being looking at him through the window, the being stood in a crouched down position. The figure was man like and appeared to have a huge oval shaped head, huge black oval shaped eyes and a silvery white mustache. It then walked backwards several feet looked around and vanished. He wore a khaki colored uniform with a white ring or collar around the neck and a white stripe on one side; it was easily at least 3 meters tall. At the same time another independent witness Balbina Noriega spotted a bright white disc shaped object rising up from the center of a nearby empty field. Strange tracks were found at the site the next day.

HC addition # 360
Source: Juan Jose Benitez, "Tempestad en Bonanza" 46.

Location. Kamloops British Columbia, Canada
Date: January 16 1989
Time: 2300
A woman was walking her dog on a cloudy night, when she saw an intense bright light on a nearby hill; the light suddenly turned and flew off from the hill at high speed. The witness went back home but could not go to sleep and was very restless, she walked over to the bedroom window and briefly saw a figure standing in the shadow of a pine tree in her yard, the figure suddenly vanished. It was described as very tall and slim. She also saw a dark metallic rectangular shaped object with lighted windows as it left the area silently.

HC addition # 119
Source: Lawrence Fenwick, CUFOM Bulletin 9/10-90

Most of the reports that have humanoids who vanish probably are hallucinations brought about by any of the many stresses of life, such as sickness, intense dreams, and other possible impairments. The two I chose for this article are not very convincing but are better than most because they have what could be a sighted UFO to go along with the humanoid sighting. Most vanishing humanoid stories have no UFO at all in them, and most of the stories that do have UFOs in them have the alien vanish immediately before or at the time that the UFO takes off. This indicates that the humanoid was most likely transported back into the UFO, and is not lingering around in an invisible state. Most all these vanishing alien cases have only one witness, further reducing their believability.

Because there are so few of these types of stories, I am putting this possibility in the “gray basket” a la Stanton Friedman. It could be possible, but probably is not happening here to any significant extent if at all.

Genetic Alteration Over Several Birth Cycles

Abduction researchers David Jacobs and Budd Hopkins plus several others have concluded that at least one alien group is developing alien-human hybrids who look just like us and can function within our society. They are achieving this through gene splicing over about 5 generations of breeding. The end result is a being with apparently only a small percentage of alien DNA, but whose mind, thought processes, and allegiances are totally alien. As far as is known, no one has caught one of these 4th or 5th generation hybrids and tested it for its DNA to see what alien markers it has so as to prove what the abduction scholars believe. The possibility of alien/human hybrids being here right now is a very strong and disturbing one mainly because so much abduction research by independent investigators points to it, and it bespeaks of a long term project with an unknown end goal.

Aliens Who Are Already Human Enough in Appearance to Pass

The percentage of alien species (of those that have been seen visiting earth) who can pass for human is amazingly high, possibly about 24%*. My logic tells me that it should be in the zero percent range. When you consider that they must breathe our air, withstand our gravity, see in our light, function in our temperature range, and (if they live among us) withstand our microbes and eat our food is absolutely astounding. It seems like a bit much. When you remove the pass-for-human constraint (i.e. include the smalls and the giants) and calculate what percentage of all CE3 aliens can survive our earth environmental conditions , the percentage reaches a mind boggling 80%*. And while we are on the subject, why would any alien want to live here among us? With the bazillions of planets that exist, there may be a very few aliens who might be wish to live here, but it seems to me that the majority that are here probably stay in their secret bases or mother ships. The only reason that any might live in one of our population centers is for surveillance and espionage. That is, they are on assignment; i.e. a mission.

In conclusion, I think that the alien-human hybrids and aliens who are naturally human looking could indeed be here functioning in our society as scouts or spies. I do not believe for a second in shapeshifters. Invisible aliens or aliens telepathically projecting a human image to the people around them are only a very small likelihood, and probably not worth further consideration.

*From my book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come”, 2011.

**For a list of these encounters, see my spreadsheet at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aj0F2i1zgohJdEVzNko2YWswUnVTRS0yUDF6OURDalE&hl=en#gid=0

*** http://www.ufoinfo.com/humanoid/index.shtml

VISIBLE UFOS--STEALTH MODE MISTAKES OR SOMETHING ELSE? by Charles Tromblee

visible ufos—stealth mode mistakes or something else? © April, 2012

When the Civil War started, many generals were ineffective because they just could not adjust to the large numbers of casualties in the battles. Lincoln stated that they could not handle the arithmetic. After WWII, some people could not comprehend or believe that the holocaust occurred due to its pure evil and huge numbers of murders. Then we come to UFO abductions. I personally cannot adjust to the huge numbers of abductions that may be occurring, not only because it is a silent and invisible process, but because the estimate of 2% of the population is abductees that emerged from Hopkins’ and Jacobs’ research is just mind boggling. I, too, cannot handle the arithmetic. Even if these high numbers have to be significantly scaled back, say, by 80% or so, it still results in a lot more UFOs in our skies than the ones we see.

One realization that has slowly overtaken me in the last two years is that there must be many more UFOs here than we realize. My first clue that this might be true is the abduction phenomenon. Professionally done surveys have indicated that the numbers of abductions are staggering. When these abduction numbers are translated to an estimate of how many UFOs it takes to support the phenomenon, we find that the number of overflights of UFOs required greatly exceeds the numbers of visual sightings. How can this seemingly disparate data be reconciled? Read on.

An irritating peripheral question about UFOs is that they have a stealth mode, so why don’t they use it all the time? The late Budd Hopkins recognized this tough question too and had no answer. I do not think the question is IF they have a stealth mode, because there have been way too many sightings that instantaneously vanish, plus there have been many sightings where the stealth mode appeared to be compromised in some way such as an edge view or an occultation of stars in a triangle shape or just a partial see through of the UFO.

Here is some reasoning for you believers. We all agree that UFOs don’t wish to be seen. We all agree that there are several thousand visual sightings per year. We all agree that they have a stealth mode of both visual and radar invisibility. Then the logical question is why are there any sightings at all? The only way to tie all of this into a logical bundle is the following hypothesis: stealth mode is the principal operating mode of all UFOs. Occasionally, the UFO pilot encounters a reason to come out of stealth mode or else he/she/it forgets to turn on the cloaking device, and a visual sighting results. This means that the visuals of UFOs are only a small percentage of all UFOs due to possibly forgetfulness, so that the visual sightings are the exception and not the rule. If sightings are the exception and not the rule, this also means there are thousands more UFOs in our skies than we have ever conceived of. This conclusion is independent of whether one believes in abductions or not. If you buy into this, it means that we are infested with UFOs invisibly flying around in our skies, and we don’t even know about it.

But there could be a more technological reason than simple forgetfulness for why we see visible UFOs. Stealth mode may be the UFO’s preferred mode of operation only under certain “safe” operating conditions. Operating in stealth mode may impose a restriction on the pilot’s ability to gather information about the region surrounding his craft, so if he is operating in a relatively “unsafe” condition, such as very high speed, or high traffic, or complex maneuvering , he/she/it would prefer to not be in stealth mode. My belief is that stealth mode in UFOs is achieved by routing the surrounding electromagnetic energy (light, radar) around the craft so that there is no bouncing of that energy back from the craft, OR the craft’s hull can be made to absorb all electromagnetic energy that hits it (no reflections).* Now if, for example, all incoming light is being diverted around the craft, then what is the pilot going to use to “see” outside the craft? He/she/it would have to have probes or portals (“peepholes”) through the field which gather some outside energy so as to detect the outside world, and these peepholes would give only a restricted view of that world. This theory also inherently implies that there are imperfections (discontinuities) in stealth mode due to allowing for sensors to probe the outside world through the field that diverts the light. That said, we still occasionally see hovering UFOs, and hovering would certainly be a safe operational mode for the UFO. Therefore, the forgetfulness theory still remains feasible because hovering should be a completely safe operating condition during which stealth mode would be very desirable. We can deduce from this that aliens make mistakes just like we do, and sometimes they forget to turn on stealth mode. We can further deduce that stealth mode in UFO flight over earth must be a pilot’s choice, and not an automatic mode of travel for the aliens. That is, the default condition on visibility/invisibility for a UFO is visibility even though most flights require invisibility. Or the explanation could be something else entirely. Perhaps stealth mode is so complex that malfunctions occasionally occur which allow visibility. Or perhaps there is some other operational requirement imposed by stealth mode, such as using up energy that could otherwise be applied to acceleration, so if they have to accelerate fast, then they have to get out of stealth mode first. I don’t know—just speculating.

Getting back to what was claimed earlier—that there could be many, many more overflights of UFOs than we ever imagined. I will attempt to quantify what I’m talking about. Based on the work of Budd Hopkins and Dr. David Jacobs, I have extrapolated their work to estimate that several thousand UFO flights occur over the USA per DAY. (This is discussed in my book, “Alien Radix: The Shape of Things That Come”, in the chapter “Abductions: Negativity and Pessimism”.) Now compare that figure to my worldwide estimate of roughly 15,000 valid sightings per YEAR over the WORLD and you can see that there is a BIG discrepancy. If you take the numbers from that chapter of my book, you can calculate that good visual UFO sightings constitute only about 0.029% of the overflights of UFOs across the USA. The other 99.971% are overflights in stealth mode (and/or super high speed) which we never see. Putting this another way, only one UFO flight in 3448 flights has a pilot who forgets to turn on stealth mode, and this means that for every good sighting, then there are 3448 invisible non-sightings. Yikes! This small number of visuals certainly puts the forgetfulness theory into the realm of human possibility. Who knows? If a human could forget to do something that is routine and simple one out of 3500 times, then maybe a humanoid could forget to turn on his cloaking device too. I further believe that our government knows these numbers as well, and feels helpless and hopeless about it. They are effete in the face of all of this.

*Notice that I have speculated that the UFO can either divert electromagnetic energy around itself or absorb it. These are two separate modes of invisibility. Radar invisibility could work with either of these two methods, whereas sight invisibility would have to work with the diversion method; otherwise the UFO might appear as a black object. I emphasize the word “might” because I could not find a clear explanation of this, and yes, I know a little about blackbodies and black holes and the information available about them and their invisibility.

ALIEN SPECIES ESTIMATE by Charles Tromblee

Alien Species Estimate ©

I follow a UFO blog that is quite good, and I like to read the comments from fellow readers of that blog. The motivation to write this article came because of a recent blog comment that bothered me. It bothered me because I have done research on this very item for which this person is announcing his skepticism. Here is the comment: “The entire Disclosure/Exopolitics thing is rife with people making all sorts of wild assertions (57 species of aliens, dontcha know!) breeding even wilder assertions.”

First of all, I don’t have a problem with the Exopolitics part of his remark. Exopolitics puts the cart before the horse because it deals with politically interfacing with our alien visitors. How about getting them to publicly come forward in the first place, after which we can think about playing our politics with them? Exopolitics does make wild assertions which are not data driven, and some of them appear to have been plagiarized from the work of non-Exopolitics ufologists. Unfortunately, I am embarrassed to admit that my own data driven research has compelled me to conclude that a couple of Exopolitics’ major tenets about aliens might be true. Rather than critique the Exopolitics movement any further, what I want to write about is that “57 species of aliens” remark.

A couple of things that have always bugged me about UFOs are the question of the number of alien species visiting earth and the large variety of craft shapes. Regarding craft shape, if there is only a couple of species visiting here, it is illogical to think that all those different reported craft shapes and sizes belong to just them. In fact, it is so illogical that it makes one actually disbelieve that UFOs are real. Furthermore, UFO encounters cause inconsistent trace evidence, such as some or no electrical effects, some or no magnetized metals, some or no radioactivity, and some or no medical effects. But it does not take a genius to figure out that if the number of visiting species is large, then one could logically expect that the number of observed craft shapes and sizes and will be large also, as well as those craft having a varying effect on the environment. After all, the cars designed by Detroit look different from the cars designed by Porsche or Fiat as would the craft designs from one planet to the next. I have seen lots of estimates on the number of species visiting earth, ranging from 2 or 6 up to the 160s or so. The number I have seen most commonly is about 60. What I have never seen is how any of these separate numbers were derived, so I set out to derive my own number. It is also interesting to note that the number of alleged species has increased steadily over the years, from 2 described in the Majestic document, SOM1-1, in 1954, to six some years later, and now it is popularly about five dozen.

My own number was not derived simply by taking an average of all of the extant numbers that are out there in UFO literature. What was done is to find books by the most revered of old fashioned ufologists, such as Jacques Vallee, Gordon Creighton, Richard Hall, Timothy Good, and Coral Lorenzen and filter the Close Encounters of the 3rd Kind (CE3) that are described in their books. These guys were the pillars of nuts and bolts ufology in their day, and the case studies in the books that I used were investigated much more thoroughly than case studies of today. You can see that when you compare their case studies with those of the present day, because the CE3 sighting reports of today usually don’t get investigated to any depth; consequently, there is little quantitative data in them. Before I studied these books, I established filtering criteria to objectively reject bad data, i.e. irrelevant reports and some untrustworthy reports. Among these criteria were that a UFO had to be in close proximity to the alien sighting, no sightings from children would be used, and no hypnotic recovery cases would be accepted. These criteria are more fully explained in my book, “Alien Radix”. I collected almost 300 good CE3 case studies out of maybe a thousand total, put them into a spreadsheet, and then inspected them for obviously different alien species. Some of the choices were obvious, such as a 3 eyed alien versus a one eyed alien, or an alien needing a breathing helmet versus one walking around helmet free, or a 7 foot alien versus a 3 foot alien. I counted 48 different alien species in these 300 cases. I tried to make this investigation as scientifically objective as I could, and you can see the result. It does not depend on some questionable pundit’s opinion on the matter for it was derived straight from raw case studies with no one’s intervening opinion on the matter. It is what it is. I will admit that it does depend on the truthfulness/accuracy of the original reports which goes without saying because that is the way of all reported phenomena.

There were many case studies that I wanted to use but could not due to may filtering criteria. Some of the kids’ reports fell into this category. After all, kids spend a lot more of their time outdoors than adults do, and that is where the sightings are. There were a couple that I definitely did not want to use but had to, also due to my filtering criteria. For example, there was a case where some guy in Minnesota claimed to have witnessed some beer can shaped and sized robot aliens who emerged from a UFO that was shaped like a V2 rocket. I really hated to include that case at all. This shows that my filtering criteria, which were chosen to increase the veracity of the selected cases, still allowed some stories from nuts and liars (notice that I call hoaxers “liars” for that is what they are) to sneak through. I prefer to think that I rejected more good case studies (true negatives) than I accepted bad ones (false positives.)

PHOENIX LIGHTS RENDEZVOUS by Charles Tromblee

PHOENIX LIGHTS RENDEZVOUS                     March 9, 2012

In this writeup, I will speculate about a fantastic sighting covered in my book, Alien Radix. My book’s coverage was simply that the sighting occurred, gives a few salient facts about the sighting, and then uses it as a vehicle to introduce my theory about the probable causes of how and why UFOs frequently vanish right before the observer’s eyes. I thought that the Phoenix Lights part of the story woud have generated some buzz, but nothing happened and this has disappointed me. This time the story will be carried to a more speculative conclusion, completely unsupported by any evidence whatsoever, just like a UFO nut job would do. I am personally acquainted with the experiencers in this story for 6 years, and I am 100% convinced that this sighting actually did occur.

Mr. and Mrs. X were on their front porch in Chino Valley, Arizona around March, 1997. It was spring, early evening, getting dark, and a clear sky. Their porch faced west. The neighborhood was sparsely settled, with houses every few acres. Suddenly above their house right in front of them a large UFO appeared. It was a huge, oval shaped object which suddenly was just there. It was totally silent and its sudden appearance was also silent. It was black in color, but the evening sky still was light enough to allow viewing it as a structured object, but it was too dark out to see if it had rivets or seams. They viewed it for about 2 minutes. Mr. X said, “It was three times bigger than a blimp.” Mr. X, currently age 61, has flown on a blimp, so he is familiar with how large they can be. When most people compare something to a blimp, they usually mean the Goodyear blimp even though many blimps are much smaller. The Goodyear blimp is 192 feet long, so 3 times bigger could mean almost 600 feet. It had two rows of lights or windows one above the other of about 15-20 windows per row. In addition, it had lights on the bottom. They could not make a more quantitative estimate of its dimensions, height, or distance. They stared at the hovering object for about 2 minutes after which it disappeared instantly.

They did not report their sighting. Mr. and Mrs. X, however, claimed that it was on the news the next day from Tucson to back east, so this meant that they had no need to report their sighting because so many others already had. However, the only Chino Valley sighting with wide news coverage was the Phoenix Lights sighting in 1997 (not the alleged flares, but the boomerang shape that occurred a few hours before the flares.) I collected this story in a personal interview with Mr. and Mrs. X in 2009. Their initial recollection of when it occurred was about fall of ’93 or ’95. They could not remember better than that. After the interview, I went home and tried to find if there ever was a nationally broadcast UFO sighting in which Chino Valley was included. I searched to see if someone else reported this sighting, and no reference was found. The only one involving Chino was the Phoenix Lights incident which reported the boomerang object. This occurred in the spring of ’97. I re-contacted Mr. and Mrs. X to tell them my findings and ask for more exact date research. She remembered that they had been in this house for only a few months starting a few months before and they had just obtained their new dog which was with them. She had looked up her paperwork for both the house and dog. This research puts the sighting into March of 1997. No further refinement is possible to narrow the date to 3/13/97, the date of the Phoenix Lights.

It is possible that their sighting is totally independent of the Phoenix Lights which may have occurred within a few days of their own (meaning their memories incorrectly combined their sighting with the news of the Phoenix Lights) OR their sighting actually occurred on March 13, 1997, and is a previously unknown part of the Phoenix Lights famous sighting. Chino Valley was the second northernmost town in AZ that reported the boomerang object (Paulden being the farthest north, 10 miles farther), but no one has ever reported a huge oval UFO as part of that famous sighting. It is a mystery.

Either way, their sighting is a completely unknown one to this time.

Believe me when I say that this event, when coupled with the Phoenix Lights event of the same evening, was probably one of the most significant alien events of our whole modern UFO history. Here is a double decker 500-600’ disc or ellipsoid shaped craft which undoubtedly had a rendezvous with the mile wide chevron ufo. The rendezvous point was somewhere in the northern half of Arizona.

The Phoenix Lights event was really two events as you all probably know. There is the early evening sighting of the big chevron as it leisurely flew at low altitude from Paulden, AZ through Chino, Prescott, Phoenix, and so forth. This was followed about two hours later by some flares in the sky over Phoenix, allegedly as part of a military exercise. Many believe that the flares were deployed to provide a cover story to the fantastic chevron sighting. If so, it worked like a charm because the media swallowed it hook, line and sinker as they always do when confronted with government obfuscation. As far as I know, there is only one video of the chevron.

That this was a meeting of some importance in the alien world is evidenced by the huge sizes of the crafts. The radical design differences of the two craft suggest that at least two different alien races were involved. Using the ultra crude “alien estimator” in my book, I estimated that the disc held about 205 aliens and the chevron had 750 occupants. Huge mothership size UFO sightings are quite rare, and even the several hundred foot discs are pretty uncommon. Yet here are one of each sighted in the same evening over a small Arizona town.

What was this alien summit conference about? For sure, it must have been about earth and/or its dominant life form (that’s us). Were they deciding what to do with the planet? Were they worried about us? Were they dividing up our resources, including us, among themselves? Were they meeting to decide upon revealing themselves to us? Were they voting to include us in the Galactic Federation? We will never know. One last bit of speculation: this same craft may have visited Austin, Texas eleven years previously as you will see in the footnote below.*

*A few months after I interviewed Mr & Mrs X, I stumbled across the following sighting at the “UFO Chronicles” website and sent it to Mr & Mrs X. They both agreed it sounded like their sighting. Enjoy. By the way, I think it is kind of strange that this unreported sighting talks about kooks as I do in the paragraphs above, and also mentions the word “blimp” as well.

“"Reader Submitted Report
[Unedited]

4-20-10 This is an old sighting I had when I lived in Austin in 1986. Moreover, its so incredible that if you were telling me I may not want to believe it either, but it has made such an impression in my belief system that I want to share some of it. Actually it is 2 odd sightings with one being a huge solid vessel several people saw in the bright almost cloudless after sky. I saw it from arrival to departure and only now after after seeing tons of vids on the net can I saw my sighting was truly awe inspiring.

This thing instantly, and I mean INSTANTLY appeared in front of me as I was looking out west from N. Austin. It stayed completely motionless just like it was a big rock sitting on a ledge. It was positioned above a tree (only the craft was several hundred feet away and higher up just at the lowest cloud level. I used the tree as a benchmark to see if this thing was swaying with the wind and it did not move at all. No noise either and Ive seen blimps at this height and you can still hear the engine motor. No wings, not props, no jets, no windows, no lights, no nothing that was recognizable. Well it did remind me of a submarine, about the same color too, dark grey-blue-charcoal shiny and reflecting the orange sun off its western edge.

I took no pics or vids and I never spoke to the other people in the parking lot around me about this. I'm just now getting financially able to stop working and attempt some type of investigation on this.

There was a military airbase in S. Austin, Berstrom AFB (now the Austin Int. Airport) I called the AFB back at the time but they said nothing of theirs was in the air at that time.

I must restate how significant this sighting was. No doubt there was a huge dark object, like a flattened-out jellybean. When it left, well it went just like you have heard so many times now. It just was gone in the blink of an eye, only I know I didn't blink and back then I totally could not accept this type of "flight". Only recently, in the last few years have I heard of other sightings describing this kind of flight. I only knew of star trek and star wars SFX and it was not like that at all, way less dramatic.

I did not report it as I told my most trusting co-worker the next day and he thought I was seeing things. I never told anyone until 2 years ago I told my parents, and they only believed me when my wife admitted she saw it too. Well thats it. Hope you found this interesting and please don't steer any kooks my way. I went to a MUFON meeting and I know this subject brings out the wackos. Sad but true. Thanks for your website I'll have a look over it now."

Mrs X’s response to this sighting is as follows:
Hi chuck,
Wow I read it to (husband’s name.). It does sound like what we saw except for windows. What we saw was dark same shape and came and went just like he described. It is strange how people are afraid to say anything or believe it. I think most people do believe but don't want to look stupid. Hope you are having a good week. Let XXXX know I will be around this weekend and will call.
Take care.

ALIEN ERROR by Charles Tromblee

ALIEN ERROR 3/9/12

When I was a young kid and before UFOs were even on my radar, I read A.E. van Vogt’s “Voyage of the Space Beagle” , which is a 1950 SciFi novel about 4 alien encounters. Because it was so long ago, I have forgotten 90% of its content, but one thing about the book that I do remember is that the humans involved in at least one of these alien encounters initially were not sure that an alien could make a mistake. Apparently, the concept of alien life was so far out there at the time that some people’s perception of an alien, with its high tech and high IQ, was that maybe, just maybe, they were mentally perfect.

Nowadays, we do not dwell on alien mistakes or intelligence for that matter very often if at all. Most of our UFO thoughts are on the human side of the equation, such as how to achieve Disclosure, government secrets, how can the media continue to do such a bad job, who said what about a rumored crash or significant encounter, etc. Most of the rest of our UFO thinking is about the crafts themselves, and not what is in them.

Aliens can and do make mistakes. Visual sightings occur quite often despite the known fact that they have stealth invisibility capability. Ditto for radar “sightings.” Therefore, my educated guess is that sightings must be mistakes, given that UFOs continue to operate in stealth. How about those UFO crashes? We probably did not shoot all of them down, so the remainder have to be equipment malfunctions (sort of a mistake) or operator error (a definite mistake.)

My opinion about their mistakes is that they make fewer of them than we do. Why is that? I think that they are more intelligent than we are. Those big brains and their high tech are highly suggestive of that. Just look at what is going on in Washington DC to confirm that we are not the sharpest knives in the drawer. Did you know that the human brain has shrunk in volume by 10% over the last 10,000 years? Also assisting in error mitigation is their high tech. I assume that they have double or triple redundancy backup systems and other safeguards to help override a bad decision or malfunction. I also assume that the reliability of their technology is higher than ours.

We should be glad that they make mistakes because a mistake of the right type at the right place and time will cause Disclosure. You know that Talking Heads song, “Heaven Is a Place Where Nothing Ever Happens”? Well, UFOs seems to be a place where nothing ever happens. It has been those UFO mistakes that have moved the whole issue along at its snail’s pace since the beginning.